News Reedy Creek Improvement District and the Central Florida Tourism Oversight District

GoofGoof

Premium Member
Or it could be that all projects are going into standby mode.


Could be, but the Lake Nona move would save the company money on salaries as well as generate half a billion dollars in state tax credits. Pulling back on that move doesn‘t seem like a logical cost cutting measure. It’s not like cancelling a new attraction or delaying constructing a hotel.
 

Disstevefan1

Well-Known Member
Is this Disney's first counterpunch, or just a coincidence?

Walt Disney Imagineering Move to Lake Nona Delayed to 2026​

The Walt Disney Company has delayed their plan to move Walt Disney Imagineering, consumer products, and other departments to Lake Nona until mid-2026. The move was previously planned to be completed next year, 2023.​
This announcement came at an all-hands-on-deck meeting today. Some employees were already searching for homes and are understandably upset about the delay because they had already sold their California homes.​

The move was initially announced because at the time TWDC was mad that California shutdown DLR for so long due to COVID and at that time TWDC and Florida were still friends.

It's totally different now. The pandemic is over and TWDC and Florida are no longer friends

I truly doubt this will happen now.
 

mmascari

Well-Known Member
So you don’t think anyone either from Disney or representing Disney is talking to anyone in the FL government about the current situation with RCID?
If I were Disney, I'm not sure I would be talking to them at all.



That doesn't mean they're doing nothing. In fact, I would also bet they're doing many many different things all along different lines. From at one end preparing to no longer need to pay RCID taxes and the impacts that will have on services and project priority. To at the other end setting up a super pac designed to get a new governor that's more business friendly and less concerned with culture wars. Plus 20 other options in between those two extremes. The one thing common to all those actions is that there's no reason to be the first to act today and no reason to execute any of them immediately. Which means, we're not going to hear any actions from Disney until they have to take one.

Secret negotiating meetings are hard to keep secret. They would probably come out in news someplace. Taking no public action is much easier to keep secret. Then, when it's time, they'll take all the action rapidly, all at the same time.

Depending on the plan they favor, that could be September/October or it could be right before the change date.
 
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lazyboy97o

Well-Known Member
So you don’t think anyone either from Disney or representing Disney is talking to anyone in the FL government about the current situation with RCID? The tax deal not being special doesn’t mean Disney can’t pull those jobs back. They just don’t get the tax credits. The leverage Disney has is pretty simple. If you don’t want us to pull back on moving those jobs to FL then here is what we want. In an election year I assume the Governor is hyper sensitive to negative PR, especially around job losses as a recession looms. He will not win Orange County, but he will also not get zero votes. It still matters.
Someone may be talking to someone to say they’re talking but there is no reason to believe it is in anyway serious or meaningful. Negotiation requires specific goals and desires on which compromise can be made, and those with the authority to act on them. The State has no policy objectives that can be discussed and negotiated. The only objective is to try to harm Disney.



These hypothetical negotiations all revolve around the governor having absolute control. Even if he realizes that this isn’t going the way he wants and he needs to play nicer with Orange County, why do any of the Republican representatives from other counties care? They’re the ones who would have to actually implement the terms of a negotiation in the form of legislation.
 
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lazyboy97o

Well-Known Member
Could be, but the Lake Nona move would save the company money on salaries as well as generate half a billion dollars in state tax credits. Pulling back on that move doesn‘t seem like a logical cost cutting measure. It’s not like cancelling a new attraction or delaying constructing a hotel.
Walt Disney Imagineering does a lot of project hiring. Delaying an attraction or hotel means they’re not hiring, and thus not paying, those employees and contractors. They can also give a whack at other strategies like more outsourcing.
 

GoofGoof

Premium Member
If I were Disney, I'm not sure I would be talking to them at all.

We know one side isn't bargaining in good faith or based on reality and actual facts. So, what's the use in negotiating with them?

That doesn't mean they're doing nothing. In fact, I would also bet they're doing many many different things all along different lines. From at one end preparing to no longer need to pay RCID taxes and the impacts that will have on services and project priority. To at the other end setting up a super pac designed to get a new governor that's more business friendly and less concerned with culture wars. Plus 20 other options in between those two extremes. The one thing common to all those actions is that there's no reason to be the first to act today and no reason to execute any of them immediately. Which means, we're not going to hear any actions from Disney until they have to take one.

Secret negotiating meetings are hard to keep secret. They would probably come out in news someplace. Taking no public action is much easier to keep secret. Then, when it's time, they'll take all the action rapidly, all at the same time.

Depending on the plan they favor, that could be September/October or it could be right before the change date.
Guys, it’s not secret negotiations like something out of a spy novel. Disney uses lobbyists just like any other corporation. These lobbyists meet with politicians for a living, literally every day, in the open with no attempt to hide it. There’s absolutely no need to keep it secret. Nobody cares. I can almost guarantee you that there are people on the ground in FL meeting with politicians and talking about what Disney wants.

How would Disney know what the state would or wouldn’t be willing to do without having someone ask? I’m not saying it’s that easy to end this, but it would be gross negligence for management to sit back and do nothing assuming there’s no good path forward. As I keep saying, this isn’t a Facebook argument where giving any ground or listening to anything the other side is saying shows weakness. Disney will do what’s best for TWDC. If that means negotiation and ultimately even a compromise with the state then that’s what they will do but I can see from a lot of comments here some people will be upset because they want them to keep up the fight even if that is ultimately not in the company’s best interest.
 

lazyboy97o

Well-Known Member
Guys, it’s not secret negotiations like something out of a spy novel. Disney uses lobbyists just like any other corporation. These lobbyists meet with politicians for a living, literally every day, in the open with no attempt to hide it. There’s absolutely no need to keep it secret. Nobody cares. I can almost guarantee you that there are people on the ground in FL meeting with politicians and talking about what Disney wants.

How would Disney know what the state would or wouldn’t be willing to do without having someone ask? I’m not saying it’s that easy to end this, but it would be gross negligence for management to sit back and do nothing assuming there’s no good path forward. As I keep saying, this isn’t a Facebook argument where giving any ground or listening to anything the other side is saying shows weakness. Disney will do what’s best for TWDC. If that means negotiation and ultimately even a compromise with the state then that’s what they will do but I can see from a lot of comments here some people will be upset because they want them to keep up the fight and take it to the evil Governor even if that is ultimately not in the company’s best interest.
Meeting who? Where? The Florida legislature is not in session. The politicians have other jobs and they’re not in Tallahassee. So that only leaves the governor.

They’re being called secret meetings because nobody has seemingly reported on these meetings occurring.
 

GoofGoof

Premium Member
Walt Disney Imagineering does a lot of project hiring. Delaying an attraction or hotel means they’re not hiring, and thus not paying, those employees and contractors. They can also give a whack at other strategies like more outsourcing.
We can just agree to disagree on that point. The delay in moving those jobs almost certainly is related to the current political conflict. In my opinion it’s very unlikely that it’s purely based on a pending recession and cutbacks as was implied in the post I was quoting.
 

GoofGoof

Premium Member
Meeting who? Where? The Florida legislature is not in session. The politicians have other jobs and they’re not in Tallahassee. So that only leaves the governor.

They’re being called secret meetings because nobody has seemingly reported on these meetings occurring. The governor was pretty adamant that he did not speak with Disney over Don’t Say Gay and would not speak to them. That makes talking with Disney noteworthy because it’s the exact opposite of what he has said.

Giving ground to an aggressor is absolutely taken as a sign of weakness. It is why appeasement never works and only leads to escalation. The only desire is to hurt Disney. There’s nothing to compromise over.
Seriously, it’s not this difficult. A lobbyist can drive or fly to meet with someone in person wherever they are. Go out to dinner, meet them at their office. They can also make phone calls, or use Zoom or Teams or FaceTime.
 

lazyboy97o

Well-Known Member
Seriously, it’s not this difficult. A lobbyist can drive or fly to meet with someone in person wherever they are. Go out to dinner, meet them at their office. They can also make phone calls, or use Zoom or Teams or FaceTime.
People who are still saying that Disney is pushing a dangerous ideology meeting with Disney is noteworthy, so no hints of that means secret. And again, what is their motivation? They’re getting what they want right now.
 

mmascari

Well-Known Member
Seriously, it’s not this difficult. A lobbyist can drive or fly to meet with someone in person wherever they are. Go out to dinner, meet them at their office. They can also make phone calls, or use Zoom or Teams or FaceTime.
They could, and someone would report about it. Nobody has reported that, and as you said, they don’t need to keep it secret about meeting. Ergo, they’re not meeting. Although, I would think they would want to keep the contents of meetings secret, which would also be hard.

The delay in moving those jobs almost certainly is related to the current political conflict. In my opinion it’s very unlikely that it’s purely based on a pending recession and cutbacks as was implied in the post I was quoting.
That may actually be the first public comment about the events, even if most of the details are just implied.

Disney will do what’s best for TWDC. If that means negotiation and ultimately even a compromise with the state then that’s what they will do but I can see from a lot of comments here some people will be upset because they want them to keep up the fight and take it to the evil Governor even if that is ultimately not in the company’s best interest.
Beyond unclear end goals for the governor, Disney is also working on a different time horizon. While the governor cares about November and 2024, Disney cares about the next 25+ years. We know Disney cannot leave FL. They don’t want just the best outcome from this event, they want the best outcome that’s for the long term and durable. If the give in on a bunch of stuff, they may become a punching bag again and again and again. That’s bad business.

Paradoxically that doesn’t necessarily mean they fight this at all. Just accepting it completely may actually be the best long term outcome. They’ll be evaluating that now and gaming out all the options from do nothing to scorched earth and everything in the middle. They do not need to rush.
 

GoofGoof

Premium Member
They could, and someone would report about it. Nobody has reported that, and as you said, they don’t need to keep it secret about meeting. Ergo, they’re not meeting. Although, I would think they would want to keep the contents of meetings secret, which would also be hard.
I’m not trying to belabor this point, but lobbyists are consultants who work for multiple clients. It’s a guy in a suit meeting a politician for breakfast or drinks or on a phone call. They aren’t wearing mouse ears or a name tag that says I lobby for Disney. There’s nothing to report. I am not sure I follow the logic that if nobody is reporting about it they are not meeting.
 

lazyboy97o

Well-Known Member
I’m not trying to belabor this point, but lobbyists are consultants who work for multiple clients. It’s a guy in a suit meeting a politician for breakfast or drinks or on a phone call. They aren’t wearing mouse ears or a name tag that says I lobby for Disney. There’s nothing to report. I am not sure I follow the logic that if nobody is reporting about it they are not meeting.
Lobbyist register who they represent. People know who they represent. Staff who set up meetings know the attendees. It’s not just the two people who know about the meeting. Such meetings happening in the context of one publicly demonizing and disavowing the other makes it noteworthy.
 

GoofGoof

Premium Member
Lobbyist register who they represent. People know who they represent. Staff who set up meetings know the attendees. It’s not just the two people who know about the meeting. Such meetings happening in the context of one publicly demonizing and disavowing the other makes it noteworthy.
So you are saying you don’t think any Disney lobbyist could have called or reached out to any FL politician without it becoming a news story? Are their phones tapped? Seems unlikely.
 

lazyboy97o

Well-Known Member
So you are saying you don’t think any Disney lobbyist could have called or reached out to any FL politician without it becoming a news story? Are their phones tapped? Seems unlikely.
You are not supposing a single conversation. You repeatedly suggest there are ongoing negotiations. That means multiple conversations, multiple meetings over some amount of time.
 

mmascari

Well-Known Member
So you are saying you don’t think any Disney lobbyist could have called or reached out to any FL politician without it becoming a news story? Are their phones tapped? Seems unlikely.
I'm suggesting that nobody with any Disney connection is offering any suggestions on a way to resolve the current situation in any discussions with anyone outside the company.

They could be talking about all kinds of other stuff. Business and governments are very good at compartmentalization.

Any solutions suggested by Disney would be news to someone. Someone who is likely to want to publish them and they would be reported.

If Disney discussed with the government that they were not going to give an inch and government could go pound sand. That would be leaked and reported about. Probably as an example of standing up against a woke company.

If Disney discussed rolling over completely and volunteered to pay off/buy 100% of the RCID bonds as a way to make the entire dissolution easy and have the least local impacts while Disney paid for everything. That would be leaked and reported about. Announced from on high as a total victory.

If Disney discussed some in between plan. That would be leaked and reported about. Just about any amount of concession would be proclaimed a victory and used to show wining.

Disney talking to anyone about any solutions at all right now is all downside. There's no advantage to not just waiting and lots of risk for any conversation at all.

If this was two good faith parties both with well defined goals, both of whom could achieve an advantage with early discussion and both would benefit from those details not being public and used against each other as leverage, then they would be talking. None of those are true and any details would clearly be used in public to gain advantage over the other. That nobody is talking about that advantage is evidence that they're not talking.
 

GoofGoof

Premium Member
You are not supposing a single conversation. You repeatedly suggest there are ongoing negotiations. That means multiple conversations, multiple meetings over some amount of time.
There are multiple people in the legislature. It would make sense they would reach out to more than one. I never suggested there were any sort of formal negotiations occurring. Simply people representing Disney reaching out to see what their options are.
I'm suggesting that nobody with any Disney connection is offering any suggestions on a way to resolve the current situation in any discussions with anyone outside the company.

They could be talking about all kinds of other stuff. Business and governments are very good at compartmentalization.

Any solutions suggested by Disney would be news to someone. Someone who is likely to want to publish them and they would be reported.

If Disney discussed with the government that they were not going to give an inch and government could go pound sand. That would be leaked and reported about. Probably as an example of standing up against a woke company.

If Disney discussed rolling over completely and volunteered to pay off/buy 100% of the RCID bonds as a way to make the entire dissolution easy and have the least local impacts while Disney paid for everything. That would be leaked and reported about. Announced from on high as a total victory.

If Disney discussed some in between plan. That would be leaked and reported about. Just about any amount of concession would be proclaimed a victory and used to show wining.

Disney talking to anyone about any solutions at all right now is all downside. There's no advantage to not just waiting and lots of risk for any conversation at all.

If this was two good faith parties both with well defined goals, both of whom could achieve an advantage with early discussion and both would benefit from those details not being public and used against each other as leverage, then they would be talking. None of those are true and any details would clearly be used in public to gain advantage over the other. That nobody is talking about that advantage is evidence that they're not talking.
Who suggested they were talking to anyone about solutions or offering anything? All I said is there were likely people representing Disney who have had discussions with FL politicians about the situation. These guys are very likely meeting with the same politicians on any number of other issues and possibly about multiple clients too. They aren’t necessarily exclusively discussing RCID.

You guys are suggesting that if anyone had those discussions, even a phone call, that it would somehow go public and be a major news story. I just don’t think this story is that important to the vast majority of people and I’m not sure who would leak that info. If the politician goes to the press and reports that a lobbyist who represents Disney mentioned RCID to him what would he get out of that? He’d burn that relationship and local politicians depend on these relationships to stay in office.
 

mmascari

Well-Known Member
Who suggested they were talking to anyone about solutions or offering anything?
Isn't that what negotiating means?

If they're negotiating, aren't two sides trying to work out details that would allow them to come to a resolution? Each side getting some stuff it wants and giving up other stuff so that the whole is better than the parts and they can get to a resolution. If you're not doing those things, are you really negotiating?

These guys are very likely meeting with the same politicians on any number of other issues and possibly about multiple clients too. They aren’t necessarily exclusively discussing RCID.
I'm sure they're talking about all kinds of other things. As I said, business and governments are very good at compartmentalization. But, if they're not hitting on RCID topics, they're not talking about a solution to RCID. That's kind of the point.

You guys are suggesting that if anyone had those discussions, even a phone call, that it would somehow go public and be a major news story. I just don’t think this story is that important to the vast majority of people and I’m not sure who would leak that info. If the politician goes to the press and reports that a lobbyist who represents Disney mentioned RCID to him what would he get out of that? He’d burn that relationship and local politicians depend on these relationships to stay in office.
So, yes, I'm saying if Disney was to suggest anything at all to those same politicians as a way to resolve the current problem, those politicians would announce it publicly and get it reported on as a way to show their victory over Disney. It would certainly be better PR for them than the nonsense word salad magic resolution that the problems will just go away they're saying now. At the very least they would announce something like "Disney has agreed to X as part of resolving the impacts to local communities as a result of RCID changes".

It would be victory declared. Basically, any suggestion about anything by Disney today puts Disney in a weaker position. There's no reason for them to not wait it out much longer. So, there's no reason for them to talk to anyone. We all know that legislatures make much faster action when there is a deadline looming over them. All of the advantage to Disney comes from waiting as long as possible before suggesting anything at all.

Again, it doesn't even matter what type of solution Disney wants anywhere between just give up RCID and fight to the end or anywhere in between. The advantage to Disney is the same for all of them to just wait longer and not talk to anyone about RCID at all.
 

lazyboy97o

Well-Known Member
There are multiple people in the legislature. It would make sense they would reach out to more than one. I never suggested there were any sort of formal negotiations occurring. Simply people representing Disney reaching out to see what their options are.
That’s still multiple meeting with multiple people all happening in complete secrecy.
Who suggested they were talking to anyone about solutions or offering anything? All I said is there were likely people representing Disney who have had discussions with FL politicians about the situation. These guys are very likely meeting with the same politicians on any number of other issues and possibly about multiple clients too. They aren’t necessarily exclusively discussing RCID.

You guys are suggesting that if anyone had those discussions, even a phone call, that it would somehow go public and be a major news story. I just don’t think this story is that important to the vast majority of people and I’m not sure who would leak that info. If the politician goes to the press and reports that a lobbyist who represents Disney mentioned RCID to him what would he get out of that? He’d burn that relationship and local politicians depend on these relationships to stay in office.
You have repeatedly hypothesized about negotiations happening. What you are now trying to describe are nothing close to negotiations.

You don’t see how a politician would benefit from announcing that Disney came to them in secret begging for their special tax status to be protected? That they wouldn’t brag about standing firm and protecting the people? That’s a huge win. You keep assuming there is some sort of actual policy goal and a desire to be civil. There is not. This is about being vindictive.
 

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