Potential Major Hurricane Idalia Possibly to Impact Central/Northern Florida 8/29

JohnD

Well-Known Member
We got stuck at Disney for Irma after our flight was cancelled a few days before the storm (unrelated to the hurricane). They closed the parks for two days I believe. Interestingly, they gave us a super discounted rate at Pop because we couldn’t get out, it was like $50 for additional nights, and they brought food to our rooms (also discounted). I was pretty impressed with how they handled it.

The day before Irma was a ghost town. We went to three different parks and every ride was a walk on.

Edit: the hotels were like bunkers. We actually slept through the storm itself without waking up.
That was exactly my experience with Ian last year in AK Lodge. A nice bonus was discounted breakfast and dinner at Boma.
 

wdwmagic

Administrator
Moderator
Premium Member
Current radar showing WDW's conditions.

812.jpg
 

Gringrinngghost

Well-Known Member
Code:
000
WTNT65 KNHC 301259
TCUAT5

Hurricane Idalia Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL102023
900 AM EDT Wed Aug 30 2023

...CATASTROPHIC STORM SURGE OCCURING ALONG THE COAST OF THE 
FLORIDA BIG BEND AND DAMAGING WINDS SPREADING INLAND OVER 
NORTHERN FLORIDA...
...900 AM POSITION UPDATE...

NOAA radar data indicate that the maximum sustained winds are 
now near 110 mph (175 km/h) with higher gusts. The estimated 
minimum pressure based on surface observations is 957 mb (28.26 
inches). 

An automated weather station at Perry Airport recently reported a 
sustained wind of 62 mph (100 km/h) with a gust to 85 mph (137 
km/h) within the past hour.

A Florida Coastal Monitoring Program tower located near Perry,
Florida, recently reported a wind gust of 81 mph (130 km/h). 

A NOAA National Ocean Service tide gauge at Cedar Key, Florida, 
recently reported a water level of 6.8 feet above mean higher high 
water, which is an approximation of inundation in that area. 

SUMMARY OF 900 AM EDT...1300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.2N 83.5W
ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM SSW OF MADISON FLORIDA
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM SSW OF VALDOSTA GEORGIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...957 MB...28.26 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Brown/Stevenson
 

Ayla

Well-Known Member
Code:
000
WTNT65 KNHC 301259
TCUAT5

Hurricane Idalia Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL102023
900 AM EDT Wed Aug 30 2023

...CATASTROPHIC STORM SURGE OCCURING ALONG THE COAST OF THE
FLORIDA BIG BEND AND DAMAGING WINDS SPREADING INLAND OVER
NORTHERN FLORIDA...
...900 AM POSITION UPDATE...

NOAA radar data indicate that the maximum sustained winds are
now near 110 mph (175 km/h) with higher gusts. The estimated
minimum pressure based on surface observations is 957 mb (28.26
inches).

An automated weather station at Perry Airport recently reported a
sustained wind of 62 mph (100 km/h) with a gust to 85 mph (137
km/h) within the past hour.

A Florida Coastal Monitoring Program tower located near Perry,
Florida, recently reported a wind gust of 81 mph (130 km/h).

A NOAA National Ocean Service tide gauge at Cedar Key, Florida,
recently reported a water level of 6.8 feet above mean higher high
water, which is an approximation of inundation in that area.

SUMMARY OF 900 AM EDT...1300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.2N 83.5W
ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM SSW OF MADISON FLORIDA
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM SSW OF VALDOSTA GEORGIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...957 MB...28.26 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Brown/Stevenson
Pressure is going back up. That is good news. Relative, I know, but that means it is weakening a bit.
 

LAKid53

Official Member of the Girly Girl Fan Club
Premium Member
Send videos from the resorts and parks (if you can and if they remain open). Would like to see how bad it actually gets. CNN only reporting on coastal areas. Not sure why Disney would put employees and families at risk by keeping parks open. Yea families can stay at resorts but employees can’t. And what value are you actually going to get at the parks today?

I'm about 2 miles from WDW. It's a typical rainy summer day.
 

Brian

Well-Known Member
11am NHC update

093940_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png


525
WTNT35 KNHC 301446
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
Hurricane Idalia Advisory Number 16
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102023
1100 AM EDT Wed Aug 30 2023

...CENTER OF IDALIA CROSSING INTO SOUTHERN GEORGIA...
...HIGH WATER LEVELS CONTINUE ALONG THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.6N 83.2W
ABOUT 15 MI...20 KM SSE OF VALDOSTA GEORGIA
ABOUT 165 MI...265 KM SW OF SAVANNAH GEORGIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...971 MB...28.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Storm Surge Warning has been discontinued west of Aucilla
River, Florida.

The Hurricane Warning from the Middle of Longboat Key to Suwanee
River, Florida, including Tampa Bay, has been changed to a Tropical
Storm Warning.

The Tropical Storm Warning has been discontinued west of Indian
Pass, Florida.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* Englewood northward to Aucilla River Florida, including Tampa Bay
* St. Catherine's Sound Georgia to South Santee River South Carolina

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Suwanee River westward to Indian Pass Florida
* Altamaha Sound Georgia to Edisto Beach South Carolina

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Bonita Beach northward to Suwanee River Florida, including Tampa
Bay
* Sebastian Inlet Florida to the North Carolina/Virginia border
* Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* Bonita Beach northward to Englewood, including Charlotte Harbor
* Mouth of the St. Mary's River to St. Catherine's Sound Georgia
* Beaufort Inlet to Ocracoke Inlet North Carolina
* Neuse and Pamlico Rivers North Carolina

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Mouth of the St. Mary's River to Altamaha Sound
* Edisto Beach to South Santee River South Carolina

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion.

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline in
the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please
see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic,
available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation.
Persons located within these areas should take all necessary
actions to protect life and property from rising water and the
potential for other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow
evacuation and other instructions from local officials.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline in the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at
risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge
Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Idalia was
located by Doppler radar near latitude 30.6 North, longitude 83.2
West. Idalia is moving toward the north-northeast near 20 mph (31
km/h). A turn toward the northeast is expected later today,
followed by an east-northeastward to eastward motion on Thursday.
On the forecast track, the center of Idalia will move across
southeastern Georgia today, near the coast of South Carolina
tonight, and just offshore the coast of southern North Carolina on
Thursday. Idalia is then expected to move east-southeastward over
the western Atlantic on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 90 mph (150 km/h)
with higher gusts. Although Idalia will weaken further while the
center is inland, it is still expected to be a hurricane through
this afternoon or evening while moving across southeastern Georgia
and southern South Carolina. Idalia is forecast to be a tropical
storm while moving near the coasts of northeastern South Carolina
and North Carolina tonight and on Thursday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles
(370 km). Sustained winds of 40 mph (65 km/h) with a gust to 52 mph
(84 km/h) was recently reported at Moody Air Force Base near
Valdosta, Georgia.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 971 mb (28.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Idalia can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC,
and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtml

STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and tide will cause
normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters
moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the
following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if
the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Keaton Beach, FL to Yankeetown, FL...7-11 ft
Yankeetown, FL to Anclote River, FL...5-8 ft
Aucilla River, FL to Keaton Beach, FL...3-5 ft
Anclote River, FL to Englewood, FL...3-5 ft
Tampa Bay...3-5 ft
Saint Catherines Sound, GA to South Santee River, SC...3-5 ft
Englewood, FL to Bonita Beach, FL...2-4 ft
Charlotte Harbor...2-4 ft
Mouth of the St. Mary's River to Saint Catherines Sound, GA...2-4 ft
Beaufort Inlet, NC to Ocracoke Inlet, NC...2-4 ft
Neuse River and Pamlico River...2-4 ft
Bonita Beach, FL to East Cape Sable, FL...1-3 ft
South Santee River, SC to Beaufort Inlet, NC...1-3 ft
Ocracoke Inlet, NC to Duck, NC...1-3 ft
Flagler/Volusia County Line, FL to Mouth of the St. Mary's
River...1-3 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to
the right of the center, where the surge will be accompanied by
large and destructive waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the
relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary
greatly over short distances. For information specific to your
area, please see products issued by your local National Weather
Service forecast office.

WIND: Hurricane conditions are occurring within the hurricane
warning area in Florida and southern Georgia and will spread to the
coasts of Georgia and southern South Carolina within the
hurricane warning area later today. Tropical storm conditions
will continue through today within the tropical storm warning area
along the Florida west coast. Hurricane conditions are possible
within the hurricane watch area along the Georgia and South
Carolina coasts later today and tonight.

Tropical storm conditions are occurring within the tropical storm
warning area along the northeastern coast of Florida and Georgia
and will spread into South Carolina and North Carolina through the
day and into Thursday.

RAINFALL: Idalia is expected to produce a swath of 4 to 8 inches of
rainfall with isolated maxima up to 12 inches from portions of North
Florida through central Georgia and South Carolina, and through
eastern North Carolina into Thursday. These rainfall amounts will
lead to areas of flash, urban, and moderate river flooding, with
considerable impacts.

SURF: Swells generated by Idalia are affecting the eastern and
central Gulf coast from Florida to Louisiana, and will increase
along the southeastern U.S. coast today. These swells are likely to
cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.

TORNADOES: A couple of tornadoes are possible today across central
and northeast Florida into southeast Georgia. The tornado threat
will increase through this afternoon across coastal South Carolina
and continue into tonight for coastal North Carolina.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM EDT.
Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Berg
 

some other guy

Well-Known Member
just drove up 434 a bit, nothing super serious, but there's definitely some gusts of wind with the rain so it'll get under outdoor coverings, probably relevant to people at WDW
 

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