Great question, but at this point I'm afraid its hard to say. Before Snow White was pulled from its original March '24 release date and sent back for heavy reworking for a year, it had spent $270 Million on just its production budget. Using the basic formula here that it would have received $100 Million for marketing,
it would have needed $740 Million to break even if it had been released last March. (Give or take $50 Million based on domestic/overseas ticket sales mix)
But now? The reworks and rewrites to the movie, plus the year long delay, have added to the $270 Million already spent on it back in 2023. We'll have to wait until March, 2025 when we get some solid reporting on its budget and its marketing just prior to its opening to learn the new total required for breakeven. Usually reputable trade media like
Variety and
The Hollywood Reporter will get that budget info on a big tentpole movie like this.
A few folks here as I skimmed this thread this afternoon have thrown out the $1 Billion breakeven point, and that could be accurate. It needed $740 Million to breakeven a year ago, and its rework and rewrite costs have only ballooned since then.
Suffice it to say, I doubt that
Snow White will break even in its theatrical run in the spring of 2025. Just a gut instinct.
Disney has revealed that the cost of making its live action Snow White ballooned to $269.4 million by the end of 2023 putting it on course to blow its budget more than a year before release.
www.forbes.com