I have a reasonably sophisticated Excel file to calculate the cost/benefit of DVC so I can write with some confidence that DVC generally makes
financial sense if the following three criteria are satisfied:
- You normally stay at Disney Deluxe Resorts.
- You intend to vacation at DVC Resorts for many years.
- You can afford the initial purchase price and annual Maintenance Fees (MF).
The following article provides an excellent summary of the pros and cons of DVC ownership:
http://www.mousesavers.com/dvc.html
I highly recommend it for anyone considering a DVC purchase.
DVC is not the least expensive option for visiting WDW. It is cheaper to stay offsite (offsite condos or home rentals offer the most space at the lowest price), at Disney Value Resorts, or Disney Moderate Resorts. These will nearly always be less expensive than DVC.
Even for those who consistently stay at Deluxe Resorts, with Disney's current pricing and point structure, it will be at least 10 years (and probably longer) before you reach the breakeven point where a DVC purchased directly from Disney (vs. a DVC resale) becomes less expensive than just paying cash.
Still, DVC does offer value under the right circumstances but these are limited.
You always have more flexibility by not purchasing DVC. Disney will gladly rent you a room at any hotel at any time. With DVC, you commonly have to plan your vacations 7 months out, sometimes even 11 months. Sarasota Springs Resort (SSR) generally is available on short notice but most other DVC Resorts require planning well in advance. More than anything, this is the biggest difference between DVC and Disney hotels.
Sales pitch aside, a DVC purchase is first-and-foremost a financial decision. Effectively you are buying vacations in bulk. As with most things purchased in bulk, the upfront cost is higher but you could save a lot of money if you use enough of the product. Think buying toilet paper in bulk.
Long-term, a DVC purchase will save you money if you stay at Deluxe Resorts. The question becomes:
How long will it take before you start saving money?
Doing some basic number crunching, without financing, a purchase at the Polynesian Villas & Bungalows (PVB) has a breakeven point of roughly 15-20 years. That means that for the next 15-20 years, you'll actually spend
more by purchasing DVC than you would have if you just rented DVC points or rented Polynesian hotel rooms directly from Disney. That breakeven point gets pushed out further if you finance.
These numbers are approximate and will change depending on assumptions. Do you visit when Disney typically offers hotel discounts? How much will Disney increase prices? How much could you have made if you invested that money instead of purchasing a DVC? There are many assumptions that need to be made to determine the value of a DVC purchase. Depending on how I massage these numbers, I can get the PVB breakeven point down to about 10 years or as high as 25 years without financing.
Also consider that these breakeven points assume Deluxe Resort stays. If, for example, you are happy at a Disney Moderate or Value Resort, then you might never reach the breakeven point.
DVC only makes financial sense if you are a "Deluxe Resort" person.
Good luck with your decision!