A jump of 117% and still rising is definitely a spike. It is only a small spike relative to the earlier much larger spikes.
Let's put it this way... if the earlier spikes had never happened, the current spike would look MASSIVE.
This is Australia:
View attachment 562393
Wow... huge summer 2021 spike!!! But that's because the Y-axis has a high point of 600.
The UK Y-axis has a high point of 80,000!!!!!!
So yes, when you set a Y-axis to 80,000... a spike to 5,000 looks like nothing. If you set the Y-axis to 600, then a spike to 600 looks huge.
Putting the UK numbers in full context -- They have spiked back up to the numbers they were experiencing during the Spring 2020 surge! Their high case average in Spring 2020 was 4900 -- in Mid April 2020.
So they are now HIGHER than they were in mid April 2020.
There is no way to look at that and deny that it is a spike.
So far, thankfully, nothing like they saw in the winter, but it is still definitely a spike. Not talking about 10% variance here. It is a 117% increase in JUST 3 weeks.