Originally posted by thedisneyfan
You could not be more wrong in this entire situation! You are flat out incorrect in everything that you say here. . . .
As to the fact that 20 million dollars does not create enough of a profit, oh wise and brilliant business leader, you forget the HUNDREDS of millions of dollars that are spent by these most loyal fans AND HENCE CUSTOMERS at the theme parks, in Disney stores, etc. while using the Disney Club discount. . . . Therefore, the cost of membership paid for all of the administration costs + a profit and then resulted in Hundreds of millions of dollars in revenue! I hope, oh economics genius, that you have not forgotten about these numbers?
Okay, I was being good, but I'm going to jump in here. I'm going to try to look at this from a logical, financial point of view, without being
too rude.
![Smile :) :)](https://cdn.jsdelivr.net/joypixels/assets/8.0/png/unicode/64/1f642.png)
First, since business school qualifications apparently matter in this discussion, I went to b-school at the #1 ranked school in the country according to a recent major publication. Despite that, I still think I know what I'm talking about.
![Wink ;) ;)](https://cdn.jsdelivr.net/joypixels/assets/8.0/png/unicode/64/1f609.png)
Anyway, here are my comments:
You're making the assumption that the, as you call them, "most loyal fans," will stop spending their hundreds of millions of dollars if the club goes away. You really think the "most loyal fans" will cut off Disney entirely? Some loyalty... Maybe what you mean to say is that these "most loyal fans" will spend hundreds of millions of dollars
more with the card than without. Let's see if that's actually the case:
Let's do some actual financial analysis with absurd assumptions to try to prove your point and still fail. Note I'm only looking at revenue here, not income, for simplicity's sake.
The assumptions I'm using
-There are 500,000 members in the Disney Club.
-Half don't use their card in a given year
(probably a good assumption, many forget, or are members through their company as a perk but never use it, or just like the magazine. I know many people who fit this category).
-For those who use the card, the average purchases at the Disney Store are $150 yearly. And, assume they would have spent only $50 per year otherwise.
(in other words, that 10% discount triples expenditures.)
-Every single one of those 250,000 people went to Disney
(absolutely absurd assumption, I bet it's half that).
-Only 200,000 would have gone to Disney otherwise.
(an absurd assumption, I can't imagine a 5-10% discount makes that big a difference to the "most loyal fans." I really don't think they have such elastic demand on price that a 5% discount increases demand by 25%. But hey, let's go with it.)
-Each park attendee spends $1000 on tickets, $1000 on Disney hotels, and $1000 on other Disney stuff.
-Assume a 5% discount on tickets, 10% on hotels, and 10% on other stuff.
-Also, assume these hotel rooms would all go empty otherwise (again, totally absurd assumption), and so every room filled is additional revenue. (When, in fact, they would often be filled by those who pay more than the Disney Club price). Oh, and they'll never go to a sold-out restaurant, so no food purchases would be replaced by others.
Revenues from these folks with club fees:
Club fee: $40 * 500,000 = $20MM
Disney store: $150*(.9) * 250,000 = $33.7MM
Tickets = $1000*250,000*(.95) = $237.5MM
Hotels = $1000*250,000*(.9) = $225MM
Other stuff = $1000*250,000*(.9) = 225MM
Total revenue from these folks with the Disney Club = $741MM
Now lets look at the same group without the Disney Club:
Revenue:
Club fee: Nothing
Disney Store = $50*250,000 = $12.5MM
Tickets = 1000*200000 = $200 MM
Hotels = 1000*200000 = 200MM
Other Stuff = 1000*200000 = 200MM
Total Revenue from these folks without the Disney Club = $613MM
The difference in revenue before taxes, using my
extremely optimistic assumptions, is under $130 Million.
Last year, according to their annual report, Disney's revenue was $25
billion.
So, with these incredibly absurd assumptions, the Disney Club accounts for an increase of just
one half of one percent of all revenue. I suspect Disney folks did similar analysis with better assumptions (they have far better and more realistic data than than I, not to mention the ability to do market research), and I wouldn't be surprised if the total revenue difference is under $20 million, or, essentially, nothing.
Is it really worth much management attention for less than 1/2 of 1% of your revenue? Especially when they have a far more appealing (and profitable) alternative - the Visa Disney Card deal. You're a die-hard Disney fan - you're telling me you won't get one to earn Disney points? To get cheaper vacations? Of course you will. And will you use these points to go to Disney more? You might. And what's the cost to Disney? If it's like the airline mileage cards, essentially nothing. If it's like a mileage card, the bank will pay Disney something like 1 cent per "mile", to cover the cost of the benefits Disney gives. On top of that, the bank has agreed to advertise more on Disney-owned networks.
The "die hard fan" will use the card for all purchases (and of course pay off the balance in full each month
![Smile :) :)](https://cdn.jsdelivr.net/joypixels/assets/8.0/png/unicode/64/1f642.png)
). After a few years, he/she may have, oh, 100,000 points. It's worth a week at a deluxe resort! Woo hoo! Tell me that
free hotel stays or tickets won't be even more of an incentive than a paltry 5-10% discount.
If you're going to make arguments based on what's best for Disney financially, be sure you can back up your argument...
Did anyone actually read to the end of this long post? :lol: