News Disney and Fox come to terms -- announcement soon; huge IP acquisition

Rodan75

Well-Known Member
If by "top job," you mean CEO, not going to happen.

That would be Kevin Mayer, unless something earth-shattering happens.

Well, the analysts seem to be setting it up as a contest between Mayer and Chapek. I don't know enough about Mayer TBH, but if he doesn't do wonders with the DTC division and quickly he won't be in the running for long either.

Just read over Mayers resume on the TWDC site, honestly I would imagine Chapek may have a better shot if he executes within his division over the next couple of years.
 

seascape

Well-Known Member
The DOJ is going to approve the Disney Fox merger today. What does that mean?

First Comcast will have to offer a substantial premium over the Disney offer and second the breakup fee would also have to be higher.

Do what we will Comcast have to bid? Well the prior breakup fee was 2.5 billion. Then there is the 1.5 billion that has to be paid to Disney. Now there is no longer a risk of Disney backing out of a great deal for Fox shareholders and if Comcast is blocked by the feds there may be no deal. Therefore Comcast would have to offer a breakup fee of 5 billion plus the 1.5 billion up front to pay Disney. Then the offer would likely have to be 90 billion plus assuming the 14 billion in debt. That would total 105.5 billion plus at least 23 billion debt for Sky. Forget it! It's over and Comcast should move on to buy Sony/Columbia pictures.
 

Rodan75

Well-Known Member
The DOJ is going to approve the Disney Fox merger today. What does that mean?

First Comcast will have to offer a substantial premium over the Disney offer and second the breakup fee would also have to be higher.

Do what we will Comcast have to bid? Well the prior breakup fee was 2.5 billion. Then there is the 1.5 billion that has to be paid to Disney. Now there is no longer a risk of Disney backing out of a great deal for Fox shareholders and if Comcast is blocked by the feds there may be no deal. Therefore Comcast would have to offer a breakup fee of 5 billion plus the 1.5 billion up front to pay Disney. Then the offer would likely have to be 90 billion plus assuming the 14 billion in debt. That would total 105.5 billion plus at least 23 billion debt for Sky. Forget it! It's over and Comcast should move on to buy Sony/Columbia pictures.

Comcast should scoop up the RSNs, SKY and Sony and leave happy.
 

Rodan75

Well-Known Member
I doubt they’ll let them scoop up the RSNs with this DoJ ordered divestiture given CSMA’s existing RSN footprint.

Also, there’s a rumor Sony will buy Lionsgate.

Lionsgate is part of Malone's empire, who knows what he will do. It could be a reverse merger with Sony buying Lionsgate and Malone ending up with control of Sony. His method for empire building makes him a lot of money, but it gets super confusing and convoluted. Sony would be wise to stay away.
 

Rodan75

Well-Known Member
I’m surprised there’s crickets from them on the theatrical market share front.

I have to imagine even the government views that as cyclical. There is no guarantee that what Disney is doing successfully today in theaters will be successful in 2 years, let alone 5. And realistically there is plenty of healthy competition on that front, including from Amazon and Netflix competing with theatres as well as TV distribution.
 

MisterPenguin

President of Animal Kingdom
Premium Member
I’m surprised there’s crickets from them on the theatrical market share front.

DOJ didn't buy Comcast's breathless take on Disney hording the Box Office take. It's not about how much the movies make, but how many you produce. Disney, with all its subsidiaries barely puts out 10 movies a year. It has a huge take because they're very good/popular movies. As far as movies produced, Disney plus Fox still has a minority of the production of the several hundred movies produced per year. If other movie studios made better and more popular movies, the Box Office take wouldn't be so skewed toward Disney.
 

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