Coronavirus and Walt Disney World general discussion

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DCBaker

Premium Member
Current Florida vaccine status -

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correcaminos

Well-Known Member
Continued acceleration is good! I was a bit jealous on Sunday having lunch with 3 other adults all of whom had been vaccinated.

I assume the storm will throw a wrench into this week's numbers, and not just in Texas. My parents 2nd shot was scheuled for today and was cancelled. Rescheduled for Thursday.
Not sure where you are, but I'm worried about Thursdays reschedule for us as it is. Though hopefully only snow, and no ice this time.

Currently sitting at 7 days post first shot... I'm just counting down the days/hours/minutes until shot two. It'd be just my luck to get infected this close to the finish line lol
Try not to worry. I hope the next few weeks fly by.
 

DCBaker

Premium Member
"Moderna Inc said on Tuesday the release of some of its COVID-19 vaccine doses to the U.S. government have lagged recently because of “short-term delays” in the final stages of production at its contractor Catalent Inc.

The delays are expected to be resolved soon and will not impact monthly delivery targets, the company said, adding it was aiming to deliver 300 million doses by the end of July, instead of September end.

Moderna expects to deliver an average of 30 million to 35 million doses a month in February and March and 40 million to 50 million doses every month from April to July end.

The United States, which is fighting supply constraints in its large-scale efforts to vaccinate its population, earlier this month bought an additional 100 million vaccine doses from Moderna, taking the total ordered doses to 300 million.

The biotech firm reiterated it was on track to deliver the first batch of 100 million doses by the end of March and was moving forward the supply target for the second batch by a month to May end.

Meanwhile, Catalent said in an email statement it is meeting all its vaccine production commitments, including Moderna’s goal of 100-million doses by the end of March. The firm signed an agreement last year to help fill and package vials with Moderna vaccine.

The U.S. government has so far administered about 25.5 million doses of the two-dose vaccine, with 45.4 million doses supplied, Moderna said.

An additional 33.2 million doses have been filled in vials and are at various stages of final production and testing before release to the U.S. government, the company said."


 

DisneyCane

Well-Known Member
Long term care facilities residents and staff report:

60% decline in currently infected residents 1/18-2/16, 57.7% decline in currently infected staff in the same time frame.

Data seems encouraging that the vaccine(s) are preventing infections, not just symptoms since I believe the staff is still tested once every two weeks. Staff should roughly be in line with the general population without the vaccine so the dramatic decrease in staff current positives seems to indicate the vaccine(s) having an effect.

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Disney Experience

Well-Known Member
Any country want some AstraZeneca covid shots? South Africa is considering selling the ones they are getting because of the minimal effectiveness against the dominate variant in South Africa.
They are looking at using Johnson & Johnson (Janssen) vaccine instead.,

 

BrianLo

Well-Known Member
In a positive North of the border development, finally we are resuming after an entire month stall out. Our volume of shipments corrected for population still pales to the US, but at least it is like 3 times less instead of like 100 times.

I got a call to book today, unfortunately for a health region I'm not going to be back to until March 12th, but they were happy to defer me.

For context I qualify as Phase 1A in 3 separate health regions and have gotten 1 call. Physicians who are not being flagged as intensivists or COVID medical wards are not expected to be called until April. The US situation is not representative of the rest of the world right now.
 

Disney Experience

Well-Known Member
I do not remember if I already stated this. I am in the Pfizer study, but my wife is in the Moderna study. I was called a while ago to let me know I did get the vaccine, not the placebo in September.

She got a call last week. but Moderna policy is to reveal whether one got the placebo in person only. The research site is nice enough to be open on Sundays, so we will drive up there this weekend to find out.

They said if she was in the placebo group she will immediately be offered the first shot of the Moderna vaccine.

She reported to me mild symptoms on her second shot, so she likely got the actual vaccine in late September. But we will see Sunday. Maybe we will stop by Disneyworld afterwards as a treat.(Oh that is right. I am not allowed to be spontaneous, have to make park reservation). Just hate making a reservation (If there is availability) and then at the last moment decide not to go. But that is the system.
 

correcaminos

Well-Known Member
I do not remember if I already stated this. I am in the Pfizer study, but my wife is in the Moderna study. I was called a while ago to let me know I did get the vaccine, not the placebo in September.

She got a call last week. but Moderna policy is to reveal whether one got the placebo in person only. The research site is nice enough to be open on Sundays, so we will drive up there this weekend to find out.

They said if she was in the placebo group she will immediately be offered the first shot of the Moderna vaccine.

She reported to me mild symptoms on her second shot, so she likely got the actual vaccine in late September. But we will see Sunday. Maybe we will stop by Disneyworld afterwards as a treat.(Oh that is right. I am not allowed to be spontaneous, have to make park reservation). Just hate making a reservation (If there is availability) and then at the last moment decide not to go. But that is the system.
I'm quite glad we were told via the phone. Another friend who was placebo though (Pfizer/BioNTech) was scheduled like 2 days later. So it was quick. Best wishes to your wife!
 

GoofGoof

Premium Member
"Moderna Inc said on Tuesday the release of some of its COVID-19 vaccine doses to the U.S. government have lagged recently because of “short-term delays” in the final stages of production at its contractor Catalent Inc.

The delays are expected to be resolved soon and will not impact monthly delivery targets, the company said, adding it was aiming to deliver 300 million doses by the end of July, instead of September end.

Moderna expects to deliver an average of 30 million to 35 million doses a month in February and March and 40 million to 50 million doses every month from April to July end.

The United States, which is fighting supply constraints in its large-scale efforts to vaccinate its population, earlier this month bought an additional 100 million vaccine doses from Moderna, taking the total ordered doses to 300 million.

The biotech firm reiterated it was on track to deliver the first batch of 100 million doses by the end of March and was moving forward the supply target for the second batch by a month to May end.

Meanwhile, Catalent said in an email statement it is meeting all its vaccine production commitments, including Moderna’s goal of 100-million doses by the end of March. The firm signed an agreement last year to help fill and package vials with Moderna vaccine.

The U.S. government has so far administered about 25.5 million doses of the two-dose vaccine, with 45.4 million doses supplied, Moderna said.

An additional 33.2 million doses have been filled in vials and are at various stages of final production and testing before release to the U.S. government, the company said."


Good news from the Moderna side. Backing into the numbers they are still targeting 100M doses in Jun/July and 100M doses in Apr/May plus they must are still on track for the first 100M doses by the end of March. If Pfizer follows a similar plan as Moderna we should have 300M doses of Pfizer and Moderna by the end of April. Sprinkle in some JnJ and we should have enough doses for over half the total population or 65% of eligible adults. Now they just need to keep up the good work and get the doses delivered.
 

carolina_yankee

Well-Known Member
Okay so I got it.

The first one I did not feel go in and didn't feel it at all that afternoon (about 5 pm). I felt it in the night and next day.

This second one I felt go in, and it has NOT stopped burning since it went in.
Please tell me you can sleep in your jammies tomorrow and not face the world! It will get better, Though. It’s just your Covid repelling armor getting into place!
 

MrHappy

Well-Known Member
Good news from the Moderna side. Backing into the numbers they are still targeting 100M doses in Jun/July and 100M doses in Apr/May plus they must are still on track for the first 100M doses by the end of March. If Pfizer follows a similar plan as Moderna we should have 300M doses of Pfizer and Moderna by the end of April. Sprinkle in some JnJ and we should have enough doses for over half the total population or 65% of eligible adults. Now they just need to keep up the good work and get the doses delivered.
Now I’m confused. I usually can track along. I followed @MisterPenguin ‘s projections, it was something like 149% of adults can get vaccinated by April. What happened?
 

havoc315

Well-Known Member
Sadly but not shockingly, already timeframes are getting pushed back.
From enough vaccine for all adults by end of April...
Fauci now says end of May or early June:


Meanwhile, in his Town Hall, Biden is talking about sufficient vaccine by end of July... and less need for masks by Christmas.

That said, there is reason for optimism.
We should soon have enough Moderna/Pfizer vaccine for 2 million injections per day. That pace alone, could give us about 150 million Americans vaccinated by end of June.
If JNJ gets approved and gives us the first 50 million doses of their delivery by then, could be looking at 200 million Americans vaccinated by end of June.
Under the most optimistic scenarios, that could start to reach herd immunity. Even if shy of herd immunity, it should dramatically reduce cases and deaths.
 

GoofGoof

Premium Member
Now I’m confused. I usually can track along. I followed @MisterPenguin ‘s projections, it was something like 149% of adults can get vaccinated by April. What happened?
Nothing changed really. Fauci made a statement that turned into clickbait headlines. I think Penguin’s 149% projection included Novavax and JnJ.

As posted above Moderna confirmed expected deliveries of 200M doses by end of May, 250M by end of June and 300M by end of July. Pfizer is on the same path. Without JnJ or Novavax we will have enough vaccine doses for 250M Americans by end of June if they hit their projections and 350M if JnJ gets approved next week and hits their projection which their execs are still saying they will by the end of June. There are only 250M adults in America. If you assume Pfizer gets approval for kids 12-16 by then it expands to 280M. High end based on polling is 80% of people want the vaccine so 80% of 280M is 224M people. That basically means if Pfizer and Moderna hit their targets for end of May and JnJ delivers just 24M doses before end of May then we will still have enough doses for everyone who wants one by then. 50M+ people would likely still be getting 2nd shots in June, but there is nothing from the manufacturers suggesting anything happened. They say we are still on track for deliveries but they need to pick it up some to meet those Q1 targets in about 7 weeks.
 

MisterPenguin

President of Animal Kingdom
Premium Member
Now I’m confused. I usually can track along. I followed @MisterPenguin ‘s projections, it was something like 149% of adults can get vaccinated by April. What happened?
That was by end of May, and included AZ and Novavax in the mix.

Going back one month earlier to April and excluding AZ and Novavax, but including J&J, end of April sees enough doses to immunize 71% of U.S. adults (it still has to get into arms).

In May, assuming J&J and Novavax (but not AZ), then there are enough doses to immunize 112% of adults, which is good, since it's likely younger and younger people will be OK'd for the vaccines.
 
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