Coronavirus and Walt Disney World general discussion

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PeoplemoverTTA

Well-Known Member
I'd like to give a shout out to @marni1971 right now. I've been a member on this site (and MouseBits, where I would eagerly wait for new uploads of Martin's Ultimate Tributes) for over a decade and have enjoyed Martin's videos for many years.

We didn't have a trip planned when all of this happened, but man are we down in the dumps. The past few days, my husband and I have been watching a bunch of Martin's videos to cheer us up.

Thank you, Martin -- I know I'm far from the only one in this community (and the greater Disney Fan Community) to appreciate your work, but now more than ever, they are providing a little escapism and happiness when it is so dearly needed ❤️
 

John park hopper

Well-Known Member
If I knew I would have a very mild case, and my family too, I would just want to get this flipping thing and stay home and isolate for several weeks so as to not pass it to anyone else. Then when Disney opened again, we'd go and feel invincible. (We'd probably get the flu, haha.) At this point, I'd be willing to go even if hardly anything was open. I need to see a happy place again.

The problem is that no one knows that a case will be very mild. The thing we need most is more information. If we knew what specific factors were giving people such wildly different outcomes with this, etc., it would really help to build herd immunity. There are probably much better and less destructive ways to deal with this problem than what we're doing, but until we have more information, we just don't have much other choice. And so I haven't left my house almost at all for two weeks...
I agree with most of what you posted. IMO the average person with little or no science background has no idea how difficult it is to identify and develop reliable accurate tests, have them tested and produced in mass quantity. Any unknown virus it takes time(studies) to characterize how they affect the human body as not all infected react the same way
 

Josh Hendy

Well-Known Member
Not sure how you can trust any info coming from China. They have had more opportunity to study the virus than anyone else including its genome, antecedents, evolution, etc. yet they have issued two completely different official explanations of its origins. As far as I know, neither explanation has been withdrawn and no attempt has been made to reconcile them.

When I see the words, "China outbreak is doing XYZ" ... I say "uh huh" and go looking for news from South Korea, UK, Italy, USA and other countries with probably incompetent, but mentally sane leadership.
 

DisneyDebRob

Well-Known Member
. Of course we need more data. That’s what we do for everything, get the best data you have and make predictions.As I said in my post, I hope it’s wrong. But you need people predicting things for whatever crisis you have. If you don’t then we are not prepared like we weren’t for this whole thing now. We ignored the predictions.
 
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GoofGoof

Premium Member
I think we know this. Of course we need more data. That’s what we do for everything, get the best data you have and make predictions.As I said in my post, I hope it’s wrong. But you need people predicting things for whatever crisis you have. If you don’t then we are not prepared like we weren’t for this whole thing now. We ignored the predictions.
Good leaders make nearly impossible decisions based on incomplete information on a regular basis. It would be wonderful if we knew exactly how the disease would progress, but we cannot sit back and do nothing because we don’t have complete certainty on the outcome. Same goes for the economy. We don’t have complete data for what the economic impact will be for the country and the world. That doesn’t mean we shouldn’t act based on the economic models and projections we have. As you said, get the best data you can, consider all options and then make a call. That’s what’s happening now at all levels of government.
 

Kamikaze

Well-Known Member
Well its going to be a while, Shades of Green canceled all reservations out to the 15th of May today.


Yup, thats where the CDCs 8 week social distancing guidelines took us basically. Not really a surprise. Its just a question of what Disney will announce and how close to that mid-May date they get to actually opening.
 
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Disney Analyst

Well-Known Member
IT hurts and mine was pretty mild compared to what I see other's report. The coughing goes on for days.

Have you described your symptoms somewhere on here already? I hate to ask, just curious. Interested to know what it felt like early on and throughout for you. Hope you are better now.
 

LittleBuford

Well-Known Member
His quote in the article posted before says it is 2.5 to 3 times more transmittable than originally thought. That doesn't sound like slightly more to me. Unless I'm misunderstanding his statement.

You’ve misunderstood his meaning. The quotation in question: “And so we are revising our quotes, our central best estimate of the reproduction… something more, a little bit above of the order of three or a little bit above rather than about 2.5.

In other words, he now thinks the infection rate may be slightly above 3, whereas previously he thought it was closer to 2.5.

This does not represent a major shift in his thinking or modelling. See the following from back in January:

“Ferguson, whose team have been modelling the disease for the World Health Organization, said they estimated the virus had a reproductive rate of 2.5-3, meaning that each person infected would potentially transmit it to up to three others.”

 

John park hopper

Well-Known Member
My son has had a something started out as a slight cough and day 2 a low grade fever (under 100) lasted a day-- chest congestion got worse but resolved quickly after a week and a half still has cough but he is getting better. Has not been tested for cover-19-- wife (retired nurse) thinks it is a common chest cold but pretty much have isolated him from me I'm laid up in bedroom after knee replacement. would have to drive 40 mile to get a cover-19 test
 

DCBaker

Premium Member
"A woman who intentionally coughed on more than $35,000 worth of groceries at a Northeast Pennsylvania supermarket and claimed she had the coronavirus has been arrested."

 
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