There are two groups of people being tested.
A. People who get sick enough to head to a testing site. These people, due to severity of their symptoms are likely heavily weighted to the unvaccinated. They're the ones showing up in the reporting, because they are by far the largest group.
B. People who are still being regularly tested as part of their employment. If they’re athletes we hear about them. But are we getting reporting about anyone else? This behavior isn't just happening with athletes.
We definitely aren’t getting surveillance about the people who would test positive if they were actually tested but aren’t because they don't realize they have a technical infection going on. I'm going to call them Group C.
We know breakthrough cases occur, so does it really make sense for the numbers to come back 99% infections in the unvaccinated? To me, that doesn't make sense either. No one believes the vaccines are THAT good. And so I will continue to wonder if the Israel data is capturing something different than we are because we aren't looking for the same things.
And do not interpret that as an "end of discussion." I get way more of that feeling from your dismissal of the Israeli data. I am certainly open to the Israeli data being wrong. Are you open to the Israeli data capturing something important? The main difference between us is should a study like this be treated as valid or invalid until proven or not with additional data. IMO, if you dismiss the validity and wait for our data, we lose the opportunity to react to it and change behavior and therefore the outcome for our people who would be affected, if validity is eventually proven. If you proceed as it as valid, and take additional precautions do you make the situation worse in terms of protection against infection (American head space is another thing), if it's found to be invalid. The whole "plan for the worst." Everyone says they want early warning systems, but then when the light flashes people seem to just want to chalk it up to error, doesn't mean anything, so they don't have to change what they are doing.