Sirwalterraleigh
Premium Member
I'm a physicians assistant in emergency medicine. Spent some time in family practice before this.
excellent...
where at?
And what do they have on in the waiting room outside the cardiac lab?
I'm a physicians assistant in emergency medicine. Spent some time in family practice before this.
Nobody knows for sure, but all we can do is continue to follow Covid safety protocols and get the vaccine as soon as it’s available (Which I know you already did). Outside of that we can’t do much else to prevent mutations or nature running its course. There is always a chance that a new variant that resists the vaccines spreads rapidly in the US but so far it hasn’t happened and if we get enough people vaccinated soon it never will.Good. I thought the escape variant is gonna be reality.
I agree with this. Those were my 2 what-if scenarios.
Vaccine hesitancy is real. We will not get to 100% vaccinated or even 90%. 75% is a realistic goal but it will likely end up being lower, maybe 60-70%. Off the bat 15% of the population is under 12. That means if everyone who is eligible (once kids 12-15 are approved) got the vaccine we would only be at 85% vaccinated. If we get 80% of eligible to take the vaccine we get to about 68% of the total population. 70% of eligible gets us to 60% of the population. IMHO thats the min we need to target. Recent polling makes 70% look like a realistic and achievable number. Will 60% of the population vaccinated get us to herd immunity? Looking at Israel they are at 59% with at least 1 shot and they may have reached herd immunity. It’s possible that ballpark gets us there. The good news is we are at 40% of the population started so we would need another 20% or 66M more people. Based on current pace of first shots we can and should hit 60% of the population with 1 shot in 4-6 weeks. That puts us Mid to late May or to be conservative Memorial Day weekend. We will have enough doses to do it and we‘ve shown we can inject enough doses to get there, the only hold back is getting enough people in.
If there is an escape variant that becomes dominant in the US it delays our return to normal for sure. We would need a new booster to stop the variant and that would take a few months to develop and test before kicking off manufacturing and distribution. In theory once the booster was developed and manufacturing kicked off we could roll it out to the whole population in a matter of 3 months. Start to finish probably a 5-6 month process. So if this theoretical variant became dominant by July it could mean a delay of a return to normal until Christmas. Again, this is a “what if” and a worst case scenario that is in no way a guarantee to happen.
Biden needs to mandate vaccines to the people who don't wanted to get vaccinating.I'm concerned we won't ever get enough shots in. There are huge numbers of people spread across the country who now have access to shots but simply aren't interested in getting them. I was reading an article earlier about places in Ohio and several other states that have dozens of empty vaccine appointments every day even though they're not even close to vaccinating the majority of the population yet.
If that's the case, variants are going to continue to develop and spread and we could end up nearly back where we started.
Biden needs to mandate vaccines to the people who don't wanted to get vaccinating.
So that means we will never get back to normal if the people don't takes vaccine?I think it would be very difficult for the federal government to issue such a mandate and not have it struck down by the Supreme Court. Individual states would have a better chance of doing so successfully due to existing precedent, but not enough of them would be willing to do so to make a difference.
The federal government could do something like levy a special tax on anyone who doesn't get the vaccine -- that way a person wouldn't actually be forced to do so, but would suffer consequences for their choice -- but I don't think that's very likely to happen.
It means we need to be vigilant and debunk all the conspiracy theories and encourage (but not bully) those who are hesitant about the vaccines.So that means we will never get back to normal if the people don't takes vaccine?
So that means we will never get back to normal if the people don't takes vaccine?
It's interesting to see other people's list. For me #1 by far would be parades/fireworks. Lack of entertainment/streetmosphere would be a close 2nd. I'd probably put my line there and the other's on your list would be in some order below.Just for fun, this would be my ranking using the same 15. For context, I'm local and an AP.
15. No housekeeping
14. Not all resorts are open
13. Some dining locations ONLY support mobile ordering
12. Temperature screening
11. Cast member masks and face shields
10. Queues spilling out onto every walking path
9. No parades or fireworks
8. Plexiglass at registers
7. Can't park hop until 2:00
6. Limited dining options
5. Wearing masks (dry weather)
4. Wearing masks (torrential downpours)
3. Can't walk around and snack
2. Plexiglass on rides
1. Park Pass reservation system
Vaccine hesitancy can be an issue, too soon to know for sure if it will be. First we don’t know how many people we need vaccinated and second we also don’t know how many people will ultimately go in and get it. There’s still plenty of overall demand for the vaccines so if it continues that areas have supply and no demand then we need to allocate doses elsewhere. Get the doses to the people who want them. At the same time it’s up to state and local governments to do a better job encouraging people to be vaccinated. In a lot of cases the same Governors who downplayed Covid are also doing a poor job in encouraging vaccinations. That will hurt their states in the long run. The focus needs to shift to making vaccinations even easier and more convenient. Make it so easy that it’s impossible for people to say they didn’t get it because it was too much of a hassle.I'm concerned we won't ever get enough shots in. There are huge numbers of people spread across the country who now have access to shots but simply aren't interested in getting them. I was reading an article earlier about places in Ohio and several other states that have dozens of empty vaccine appointments every day even though they're not even close to vaccinating the majority of the population yet.
If that's the case, variants are going to continue to develop and spread and we could end up nearly back where we started.
It's interesting to see other people's list. For me #1 by far would be parades/fireworks. Lack of entertainment/streetmosphere would be a close 2nd. I'd probably put my line there and the other's on your list would be in some order below.
That's where I think I'm at, too.My top two would be park pass reservation system and inability to park hop until after 2 PM. The next two would probably be queues spilling into walkways and limited dining options.
That's where I think I'm at, too.
Not all the resorts being open bothers me just because of the dining options being closed.The limited resorts would be high on the list as well, mainly because I think Port Orleans offers the best overall value and it's not open. I couldn't care less about something like the All-Stars being closed because I would never stay there anyways.
It sounds like they may keep the park reservation system post Covid for staffing planning purposes but it won’t matter on any but the most crowded days so at most a couple weeks out of the year and even then probably only DHS and maybe MK. I don’t know what that means for park hopping.My top two would be park pass reservation system and inability to park hop until after 2 PM. The next two would probably be queues spilling into walkways and limited dining options.
The limited resorts would be high on the list as well, mainly because I think Port Orleans offers the best overall value and it's not open. I couldn't care less about something like the All-Stars being closed because I would never stay there anyways.
It sounds like they may keep the park reservation system post Covid for staffing planning purposes but it won’t matter on any but the most crowded days so at most a couple weeks out of the year and even then probably only DHS and maybe MK. I don’t know what that means for park hopping.
Lack of dining options would be high on my list along with lack of fireworks or night shows.
Not all the resorts being open bothers me just because of the dining options being closed.
I think they'll lose a lot of people if they keep the 2pm hopping. People will only allow themselves to be herded to a certain degree and that's too much, IMO.Yeah, it sounds like they're keeping the park reservation system, which probably means they're also keeping the park hopping after 2 PM. That will put a huge damper on any potential future WDW trips for me.
If they extend back to normal hours I would think it would be less of an issue. I would think most people spend at least 4 hours in a park before hopping so 9-1 then grab lunch and be at park 2 at 2PM and if that park is open until 9 or later plenty of time to do stuff and grab dinner. I guess if you wanted to just do 1 ride then go to another park it could be an issue.Yeah, it sounds like they're keeping the park reservation system, which probably means they're also keeping the park hopping after 2 PM. That will put a huge damper on any potential future WDW trips for me.
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