Coronavirus and Walt Disney World general discussion

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DisneyDebRob

Well-Known Member
What do those things have to do with resistance to contact tracing? A while ago Dr. Fauci brought up the difficulty contact tracing in minority neighborhoods due to distrust of government. I didn't make it up.
Distrust in government is not only located in minority neighborhoods. It’s all over in this climate. I saw a news show about 2 weeks ago on contract tracing where they were interviewing the tracers.. from upper to middle to lower class.. from Harvard to the inner city of Philadelphia. They were having a impossible time of getting the information they needed because so many weren’t going along with it.
 

disneycp

Active Member
Doesn’t matter the size of the state, it’s the commitment from the people wanting to do the right thing.

How does size of the state not matter....? It’s obviously much easier to contain outbreaks with fewer people. Also, no offense to Vermont, but it’s not exactly the tourism capital of the country. Every comment you make acts like everything is black and white and every situation is the same. Yikes.
 

DisneyDebRob

Well-Known Member
How does size of the state not matter....? It’s obviously much easier to contain outbreaks with fewer people. Also, no offense to Vermont, but it’s not exactly the tourism capital of the country. Every comment you make acts like everything is black and white and every situation is the same. Yikes.
You must be confusing me with someone else. Of course it is easier to trace with fewer people. That’s common sense. But if those few people didn’t go along with it then things would be the same like other places. If it’s done in a state with double or triple the amount of people, it still wouldn’t matter if the people wanted to be part of the bigger picture and helped out. The biggest problem, and this is my opinion, is a lot of people feel, in some deranged way, that their rights are being compromised in some way. Like the big mask thing.I’ll say it again, if people are committed it can be done. Or could have been done.. I also wonder if that ship has sailed.
 

disneycp

Active Member
You must be confusing me with someone else. Of course it is easier to trace with fewer people. That’s common sense. But if those few people didn’t go along with it then things would be the same like other places. If it’s done in a state with double or triple the amount of people, it still wouldn’t matter if the people wanted to be part of the bigger picture and helped out. The biggest problem, and this is my opinion, is a lot of people feel, in some deranged way, that their rights are being compromised in some way. Like the big mask thing.I’ll say it again, if people are committed it can be done.

In other words:

If, in a completely perfect world, every single person in America trusted the government and believed in contact tracing then, yes, contact tracing would be a huge help in this situation.

We don’t live in that world. And it seems like you want to frame that in a moral light - aka “if everyone was a good person and wanted to help their fellow American, this would all be over with” - but I think that speaks to what I was saying before about you acting like every single situation is the same. If I can’t work from home and I need to work a certain number of hours to support myself (and I know the government isn’t going to take care of me, we’ve already seen that) then why on earth would I willingly allow the government to force me to quarantine for 2 weeks at a moment’s notice?

And this is where you say: yes, but if the government gave people money to stay home every time they have to quarantine... and to that I say, again: we don’t live in that world. So why don’t we focus on things that we actually can do.
 

disneycp

Active Member
What do you suggest CP?
Well, instead of half-assing the contact tracing (I read in another thread on here that Florida is only doing 25% of the contact tracing it should be...why even bother?), especially in light of so many people being resistant to it, let’s use those funds for other things - funnel it into unemployment, buying extra PPE for at-risk individuals, hazard pay for essential workers. If contact tracing is working really well in states like Vermont, that’s great and they should keep at it. But if it’s still not working in other places seven months into this whole thing, let’s try something else.
 

TrainsOfDisney

Well-Known Member
Well, instead of half-assing the contact tracing (I read in another thread on here that Florida is only doing 25% of the contact tracing it should be...why even bother?), especially in light of so many people being resistant to it, let’s use those funds for other things - funnel it into unemployment, buying extra PPE for at-risk individuals, hazard pay for essential workers. If contact tracing is working really well in states like Vermont, that’s great and they should keep at it. But if it’s still not working in other places seven months into this whole thing, let’s try something else.
Was it state or federal money in Vermont? That’s the problem, it’s a 50 state free for all.

I agree - unemployment and renters being evicted is such a mess right now. Does the Florida Governor know that 30,000 or so theme park employees leave the state he won’t get there tax?
 

DisneyDebRob

Well-Known Member
In other words:

If, in a completely perfect world, every single person in America trusted the government and believed in contact tracing then, yes, contact tracing would be a huge help in this situation.

We don’t live in that world. And it seems like you want to frame that in a moral light - aka “if everyone was a good person and wanted to help their fellow American, this would all be over with” - but I think that speaks to what I was saying before about you acting like every single situation is the same. If I can’t work from home and I need to work a certain number of hours to support myself (and I know the government isn’t going to take care of me, we’ve already seen that) then why on earth would I willingly allow the government to force me to quarantine for 2 weeks at a moment’s notice?

And this is where you say: yes, but if the government gave people money to stay home every time they have to quarantine... and to that I say, again: we don’t live in that world. So why don’t we focus on things that we actually can do.
Wow. Thanks for putting words in my mouth. I’m glad you see what everyone believes and thinks here. I never said one sentence that you credited to me. If you want someone’s feelings on something ask. We all know what happens when we assume.
 

Heppenheimer

Well-Known Member
How does size of the state not matter....? It’s obviously much easier to contain outbreaks with fewer people. Also, no offense to Vermont, but it’s not exactly the tourism capital of the country. Every comment you make acts like everything is black and white and every situation is the same. Yikes.
Being a small, not particularly densely populated state helps, but our case rate per 100,000 people is still the lowest in the country, at 281. For comparison, Florida is the 3rd worst in this matter at 3,290.

And Vermont actually does see quite a bit of tourism. Hiking, mountain biking and camping in the summer, foliage viewing in the autumn, and skiing in the winter (I've talked to a surprising number of Floridians at Stowe and Bretton Woods in New Hampshire). Only in the transition between autumn and winter and spring mud season is the state usually rather devoid of tourists. Hotels have just recently reopened, for an idea how seriously our governor took this pandemic (he's Republican, BTW).

There are some unique structural reasons why Vermont has kept the case rate so low, but a lot of the success comes down to just doing the standard things correctly.
 

disneycp

Active Member
Wow. Thanks for putting words in my mouth. I’m glad you see what everyone believes and thinks here. I never said one sentence that you credited to me. If you want someone’s feelings on something ask. We all know what happens when we assume.

Okay, fair. Direct quote from your post:

“The biggest problem, and this is my opinion, is a lot of people feel, in some deranged way, that their rights are being compromised in some way.”

You think it’s deranged that not everyone wants to be involved in contact tracing. I laid out a scenario (that’s probably pretty common) where people have very valid reasons for not wanting to participate.
 

DisneyDebRob

Well-Known Member
Okay, fair. Direct quote from your post:

“The biggest problem, and this is my opinion, is a lot of people feel, in some deranged way, that their rights are being compromised in some way.”

You think it’s deranged that not everyone wants to be involved in contact tracing. I laid out a scenario (that’s probably pretty common) where people have very valid reasons for not wanting to participate.
And I agree with some of your reasons. Now we are connecting! My point is that there’s to many people that believe those reasons, right or wrong, that we can’t possibly do it efficiently. On occasion, like Vermont you can see it’s working. But for every Vermont there’s another 35 that it’s not working in. You think the reason is because it’s smaller and easier to trace. That’s part of it as I said before. But Iill stuck by my opinion and it’s being proven over and over.
 

disneycp

Active Member
Being a small, not particularly densely populated state helps, but our case rate per 100,000 people is still the lowest in the country, at 281. For comparison, Florida is the 3rd worst in this matter at 3,290.

And Vermont actually does see quite a bit of tourism. Hiking, mountain biking and camping in the summer, foliage viewing in the autumn, and skiing in the winter (I've talked to a surprising number of Floridians at Stowe and Bretton Woods in New Hampshire). Only in the transition between autumn and winter and spring mud season is the state usually rather devoid of tourists. Hotels have just recently reopened, for an idea how seriously our governor took this pandemic (he's Republican, BTW).

There are some unique structural reasons why Vermont has kept the case rate so low, but a lot of the success comes down to just doing the standard things correctly.

Like you said, there’s a million different factors at play here to explain the discrepancies between states. But, for the cases at least, Florida does a lot more testing than Vermont, so they’re going to find more cases.

As of yesterday, Vermont has done 165k tests. Florida has done 7.6 million tests.

Florida pop: 21.5 millIon (35% of people tested)
Vermont pop: 624k (26% of people tested)

That’s not enough to explain why Florida has ten times the cases that Vermont has, but I think it’s one of (many many) factors at play here.

Another important factor - population density:
Florida: 353 people per square mile
Vermont: 68 people per square mile
 

GimpYancIent

Well-Known Member
And I agree with some of your reasons. Now we are connecting! My point is that there’s to many people that believe those reasons, right or wrong, that we can’t possibly do it efficiently. On occasion, like Vermont you can see it’s working. But for every Vermont there’s another 35 that it’s not working in. You think the reason is because it’s smaller and easier to trace. That’s part of it as I said before. But Iill stuck by my opinion and it’s being proven over and over.
Just do what the government officials tell you to do Komrad. You don't need no rights. Independent thought and logic are not authorized.
 

Heppenheimer

Well-Known Member
Like you said, there’s a million different factors at play here to explain the discrepancies between states. But, for the cases at least, Florida does a lot more testing than Vermont, so they’re going to find more cases.

As of yesterday, Vermont has done 165k tests. Florida has done 7.6 million tests.

Florida pop: 21.5 millIon (35% of people tested)
Vermont pop: 624k (26% of people tested)

That’s not enough to explain why Florida has ten times the cases that Vermont has, but I think it’s one of (many many) factors at play here.

Another important factor - population density:
Florida: 353 people per square mile
Vermont: 68 people per square mile
Vermont is 37th in population density, though. That means the 23 states that are less densely populated are doing worse for case rates, some by over an order of magnitude.
 

GoofGoof

Premium Member
Well, instead of half-assing the contact tracing (I read in another thread on here that Florida is only doing 25% of the contact tracing it should be...why even bother?), especially in light of so many people being resistant to it, let’s use those funds for other things - funnel it into unemployment, buying extra PPE for at-risk individuals, hazard pay for essential workers. If contact tracing is working really well in states like Vermont, that’s great and they should keep at it. But if it’s still not working in other places seven months into this whole thing, let’s try something else.
Instead of half-assing contact tracing maybe they should have just tried doing it right.
And this is where you say: yes, but if the government gave people money to stay home every time they have to quarantine... and to that I say, again: we don’t live in that world. So why don’t we focus on things that we actually can do.
We don’t live in that world by choice. There were proposals to require employers to provide paid sick leave for anyone who had to quarantine. We could have passed that into law. “We” chose not to. Instead you are saying since we don’t have that it’s Ok for people to go to work when they are sick or potentially sick if they need the money. That’s part of the reason things are how they are. The only way to slow the virus down is to isolate sick people (which is hard given asymptomatic spread - hence the need for testing and tracing) and follow things like masks, social distancing, no large group gatherings and limit indoor activities without masks (dining/bars). I do understand that some people could care less about slowing the virus spread because they don’t think it’s a serious threat, but that’s a whole different issue.
 

GoofGoof

Premium Member
Like you said, there’s a million different factors at play here to explain the discrepancies between states. But, for the cases at least, Florida does a lot more testing than Vermont, so they’re going to find more cases.

As of yesterday, Vermont has done 165k tests. Florida has done 7.6 million tests.

Florida pop: 21.5 millIon (35% of people tested)
Vermont pop: 624k (26% of people tested)

That’s not enough to explain why Florida has ten times the cases that Vermont has, but I think it’s one of (many many) factors at play here.

Another important factor - population density:
Florida: 353 people per square mile
Vermont: 68 people per square mile
Florida has done a lot more testing per capita than Vermont because there were a lot more sick people. There has been widespread community spread for a long period of time now. Percent positive gives us a good indication of whether enough testing is being done. What’s the percent positive in VT vs FL? Did they have long stretches of time over 5% in VT? If Vermont wasn’t doing enough testing and that’s why they have less cases then their percent positive would be high (over 5%) instead of 0.2%...not 2%...0.2%. As of a few weeks ago Vermont hadn’t had a Covid death since the end of July and only had a handful of people still hospitalized. Deaths and hospitalizations can’t be skewed by more testing or lack of testing.

Here’s a decent read on what VT did:
 
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networkpro

Well-Known Member
In the Parks
Yes
What needs to really be done is get people to stay home if they are sick. IMO that's the biggest thing that would help with all of this.

In recent history, they've never done that even pre- 'rona. It was not uncommon to contract whatever flu or cold bug was going around at the time with a trip to Disney. Look at the measles outbreak at Disneyland last year. Lots of people arent concerned with thier impact on others.
 
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