xdan0920
Think for yourselfer
This is false.Unlike COVID-19, influenza almost always causes symptoms.
This is false.Unlike COVID-19, influenza almost always causes symptoms.
Yeah. Nothing new here. Except testing dropped.
I asked this a another thread. Essentially some labs are only reporting positive tests and not all tests, meaning negative tests aren't a part of the "Total Tests" number which inflates the positivity rate.Regarding the Fox 35 report about inflation. How may these revelations affect totals? I am admittedly not a statistician.
We know this is likely spread over weeks, or even months, so it doesn’t well us much. But more deaths do suck. Not what you want.And a record number of deaths.
Not sure. Depends on how many more of these instances are out there I imagine.Regarding the Fox 35 report about inflation. How may these revelations affect totals? I am admittedly not a statistician.
True. I also may have had COVID. I do a lot in my daily life to help my natural immune system do what it's gotta do. I don't think I've taken care of a young, middle-aged, or old COVID patient that didn't have at least two or three comorbidities. I know it happens but it's rare.Or, you got it and didn't know. The flu has a very high asymptomatic rate.
It will mainly effect percentage, which will be lower then reported on days when the mistake was made. It won’t effect the stats that, at this point in the crisis, folks are most concerned with - hospitalizations, ICU use, and negative outcomes.Regarding the Fox 35 report about inflation. How may these revelations affect totals? I am admittedly not a statistician.
Does it matter if they happened today or if they were spread out? Either way it's still bad. Florida should be doing more to mitigate them.We know this is likely spread over weeks, or even months, so it doesn’t well us much. But more deaths do suck. Not what you want.
It has zero impact on total case numbers. The only thing it impacts is percent positive. Since we have stopped looking at percent positive as a metric and are now solely focused on hospital capacity and deaths (although deaths are in question now too) I guess it’s completely irrelevant. Or do we pivot back to percent positive now? Hard to say where the goal posts move nextRegarding the Fox 35 report about inflation. How may these revelations affect totals? I am admittedly not a statistician.
Again, if the nature of the lag is steady, it tells us a lot - it tells us negative outcomes are increasing, and things have been worse then we thought over the last several weeks.We know this is likely spread over weeks, or even months, so it doesn’t well us much. But more deaths do suck. Not what you want.
My guess is enough to get the percent positive down to 5% or lessNot sure. Depends on how many more of these instances are out there I imagine.
It matters when tracking current trends. But as I said. More deaths suck. Not what I want to see.Does it matter if they happened today or if they were spread out? Either way it's still bad. Florida should be doing more to mitigate them.
I was referring specifically to current trends. Either way, we know deaths are slightly increasing. But it still is important to note that this record death count isn’t all from one day or one week.Again, if the nature of the lag is steady, it tells us a lot - it tells us negative outcomes are increasing, and things have been worse then we thought over the last several weeks.
It has zero impact on total case numbers. The only thing it impacts is percent positive. Since we have stopped looking at percent positive as a metric and are now solely focused on hospital capacity and deaths (although deaths are in question now too) I guess it’s completely irrelevant. Or do we pivot back to percent positive now? Hard to say where the goal posts move next
I’m pretty sure it means we had some days with record increases a couple weeks ago and didn’t know it.I was referring specifically to current trends. Either way, we know deaths are slightly increasing. But it still is important to note that this record death count isn’t all from one day or one week.
Whatever number works for you to keep Disney opens will work for you.Most of the people wanting Disney shuttered again emphasized the positivity rate a week ago so we've now moved on to hospital capacity and mortality? Deaths are still in a lag, no?
Dizzy emoji.
I am new to posting on these specific boards but not new to reading them. Just like almost all of you I am a life long disney-holic who lives for my next trip to Disney. We spend 10 days every August at the Poly and have been on 11 cruises. Some years we do two trips a year so you can see where my hard earned dollars have gone. I always joke that half my salary should just be direct deposited to Disney. But I am happy to do it because it provides us memories like no other.
In saying that we have thought long and hard about our upcoming trip this August. Back when Disney first announced they were re-opening we booked our park reservations and re-made our dining reservations and were fully intent on going. I am by no means a hypochondriac. However with the state of the virus in Florida my wife and I decided that it just wasn't worth the inherent risk for us to make the trip this year. It breaks our heart and we want to go so badly, but we just feel it may be too risky for us and our kids. Not because of anything Disney has done, as we fully believe they are doing everything possible to keep everyone safe. But as I said this is a CHOICE we are making.
Reading these boards, which are usually filled with great info and some fun debate, I am honestly blown away by the amount of people who believe it's OK to shame others or feel they have an invitation to tell others what they should do. We are making the decision not to go, because we feel it is too risky...that is OUR choice. However I would never begrudge anyone who felt differently and felt it was safe enough for them to go. If you feel safe...go and I hope you have a wonderful time.... if you don't feel safe, then do as we are and stay at home. It really sucks, but it's the choice we feel we have to make.
It was my understanding that it does effect total tests. If there are actually more tests being conducted than reported then that would effect the positivity rate no?It has zero impact on total case numbers. The only thing it impacts is percent positive. Since we have stopped looking at percent positive as a metric and are now solely focused on hospital capacity and deaths (although deaths are in question now too) I guess it’s completely irrelevant. Or do we pivot back to percent positive now? Hard to say where the goal posts move next
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