Coronavirus and Walt Disney World general discussion

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mickeymiss

Well-Known Member

Flu may be asymptomatic in up to 50% of cases but less infectious. I suspect flu and covid both infect people at lower rates when asymptomatic. I wish we had firm studies to show this. We all benefit from that.
 

Miss Bella

Well-Known Member
Or, you got it and didn't know. The flu has a very high asymptomatic rate.
True. I also may have had COVID. I do a lot in my daily life to help my natural immune system do what it's gotta do. I don't think I've taken care of a young, middle-aged, or old COVID patient that didn't have at least two or three comorbidities. I know it happens but it's rare.
 

Casper Gutman

Well-Known Member
Regarding the Fox 35 report about inflation. How may these revelations affect totals? I am admittedly not a statistician.
It will mainly effect percentage, which will be lower then reported on days when the mistake was made. It won’t effect the stats that, at this point in the crisis, folks are most concerned with - hospitalizations, ICU use, and negative outcomes.

We will hopefully find out the cause and extent of the screw-up and get further verification in the coming days.
 

GoofGoof

Premium Member
Regarding the Fox 35 report about inflation. How may these revelations affect totals? I am admittedly not a statistician.
It has zero impact on total case numbers. The only thing it impacts is percent positive. Since we have stopped looking at percent positive as a metric and are now solely focused on hospital capacity and deaths (although deaths are in question now too) I guess it’s completely irrelevant. Or do we pivot back to percent positive now? Hard to say where the goal posts move next :cool:
 

Casper Gutman

Well-Known Member
We know this is likely spread over weeks, or even months, so it doesn’t well us much. But more deaths do suck. Not what you want.
Again, if the nature of the lag is steady, it tells us a lot - it tells us negative outcomes are increasing, and things have been worse then we thought over the last several weeks.
 

Andrew C

You know what's funny?
Does it matter if they happened today or if they were spread out? Either way it's still bad. Florida should be doing more to mitigate them.
It matters when tracking current trends. But as I said. More deaths suck. Not what I want to see.
 

Andrew C

You know what's funny?
Again, if the nature of the lag is steady, it tells us a lot - it tells us negative outcomes are increasing, and things have been worse then we thought over the last several weeks.
I was referring specifically to current trends. Either way, we know deaths are slightly increasing. But it still is important to note that this record death count isn’t all from one day or one week.
 

mickeymiss

Well-Known Member
It has zero impact on total case numbers. The only thing it impacts is percent positive. Since we have stopped looking at percent positive as a metric and are now solely focused on hospital capacity and deaths (although deaths are in question now too) I guess it’s completely irrelevant. Or do we pivot back to percent positive now? Hard to say where the goal posts move next :cool:

Most of the people wanting Disney shuttered again emphasized the positivity rate as most important a week ago so we've now moved on to hospital capacity and mortality? Deaths are still in a lag, no? Are hospitals overrun?

Dizzy emoji.
 

Casper Gutman

Well-Known Member
I was referring specifically to current trends. Either way, we know deaths are slightly increasing. But it still is important to note that this record death count isn’t all from one day or one week.
I’m pretty sure it means we had some days with record increases a couple weeks ago and didn’t know it.

Overall, what we are seeing is a bureaucratic system, with all the usual inefficiencies, and a lack of strong central management.
 

MisterPenguin

President of Animal Kingdom
Premium Member
I am new to posting on these specific boards but not new to reading them. Just like almost all of you I am a life long disney-holic who lives for my next trip to Disney. We spend 10 days every August at the Poly and have been on 11 cruises. Some years we do two trips a year so you can see where my hard earned dollars have gone. I always joke that half my salary should just be direct deposited to Disney. But I am happy to do it because it provides us memories like no other.

In saying that we have thought long and hard about our upcoming trip this August. Back when Disney first announced they were re-opening we booked our park reservations and re-made our dining reservations and were fully intent on going. I am by no means a hypochondriac. However with the state of the virus in Florida my wife and I decided that it just wasn't worth the inherent risk for us to make the trip this year. It breaks our heart and we want to go so badly, but we just feel it may be too risky for us and our kids. Not because of anything Disney has done, as we fully believe they are doing everything possible to keep everyone safe. But as I said this is a CHOICE we are making.

Reading these boards, which are usually filled with great info and some fun debate, I am honestly blown away by the amount of people who believe it's OK to shame others or feel they have an invitation to tell others what they should do. We are making the decision not to go, because we feel it is too risky...that is OUR choice. However I would never begrudge anyone who felt differently and felt it was safe enough for them to go. If you feel safe...go and I hope you have a wonderful time.... if you don't feel safe, then do as we are and stay at home. It really sucks, but it's the choice we feel we have to make.

Public policy is essentially telling people what they can and can't do (and to a lesser extent, what they should and shouldn't do).

Stay at Home Order? Telling people what to do.​
Park closed? Telling people they can't attend, which is telling them what to do.​
Mask policy? Telling people what to do.​

In our democracy, public policy is made by those we elected with constant input from the public. So, we all have a say in what public policy should be which means we all have a say in telling one another what they can and can't do. And in the arena of public health which could be life and death decisions, such input isn't trivial.

People who think it goes against the common public safety for theme parks to be open will be critical of authorities that allow them to be open, park officials for being open, and members of the public who attend.

People who think it's fine for parks to be open will be critical for authorities who try to close or curtail the parks, park officials who decide to close down or curtail attendance, and people calling for the parks to close.

It's the American way.
 

Horizons '83

Well-Known Member
In the Parks
No
It has zero impact on total case numbers. The only thing it impacts is percent positive. Since we have stopped looking at percent positive as a metric and are now solely focused on hospital capacity and deaths (although deaths are in question now too) I guess it’s completely irrelevant. Or do we pivot back to percent positive now? Hard to say where the goal posts move next :cool:
It was my understanding that it does effect total tests. If there are actually more tests being conducted than reported then that would effect the positivity rate no?
 
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