That's a great big - "Yup!"
I don't think people realize the transformation that is going on around us, in so many industries. As always (I need a hat that says this...), the pandemic accelerated trends that were already happening.
People are going to be writing books for many years to come about the "Great Transformation" going on right now.
Yes, a lot of people are going to lose their jobs, especially in the middle, middle-upper tiers. Companies have already spent the last decade or so bringing the front of the line, on the ground jobs to their breaking points by staffing as a little as possible. They can't squeeze any more out of that end, so they are moving up the toothpaste tube.
A lot could be said about why the current state of Hollywood is what it is - why budgets are so high, and how it's gotten so out of control - and it's not just because of executive pay.
One interesting thing to think about - you notice how it's always the creatives who have union problems in Hollywood? Everyone on a Hollywood set is unionized, with dozens of trade unions, yet...they never come up because they are very happy. They have such sweetheart deals in place that have movie sets way over-staffed. If you start to look up the rules as to how many people they require you to hire (you can't just have one camera assistant, you have to have 3, etc.) it's really eye-opening.
I have friends who work on movie sets every day and their biggest complaint is boredom, because most of the time you work a few minutes every few hours. They are long days, but most of it is doing absolutely nothing, when if one person was allowed to do the tasks required they could replace 4 or 5 of the jobs that the union mandates they have. And they literally are not allowed to do anything else - they can't touch anything, they can't even hold a dang door open for someone. In a few select circumstances (prop weapons, or electrical work, etc.) that makes sense, but it's just everywhere. The goals of all the trade unions have always been to make sure the movie sets are employing as many people as possible.
Thing is, Hollywood can afford creatives to go on strike, but not them - so those bloated costs are not going anywhere. With the creatives - let's face it, they can all be replaced by YouTubers. We are far from the days where you had to schlep out to LA or NY to be discovered. There are so many content creators out there across the spectrum - actors, directors, writers, etc. There are very few names these days that sell tickets or streaming subscriptions on just that name alone. And there are a nearly infinite amount of aspiring talents out there in all the creative fields that are just a click away - it's just finding the ones that don't suck.
That's why the studio's are totally willing to play hardball with them. That said, obviously, while they are replaceable, they are not completely irrelevant - and as it goes on public opinion is going to be interesting. On one hand, at the moment it's very much "support the unions!", but on the other - once the content drought really hits (and Iger is right on that one, they were just beginning to recover from the pandemic, and this is really catastrophic) and people are sick of hearing about it, it's going to be hard to find sustained support from the general audience.
I mean, the average writer in Hollywood makes $250K a year. Sure, some make less, but some make more - and while writers will tell you about all the costs of living in LA (at least to their preferred lifestyle...) - it's really difficult for the average person who makes $50K a year to have an endless amount of sympathy, regardless of how much they want to stick it to the corporations. Especially when they aren't getting any new movies or TV shows for a year or more because of it.