Thanks
The day job caught up to me. I still post occasionally on the Twitter and Facebook for UltimateOrlando, and more rarely from UltimateOrlando.com itself (a vanity site I've owned since 2004) - but they are seldom of the depth you saw at MiceAge and MousePlanet, and way less frequently.
I still follow everything and read relevant boards and social media accounts (less religiously blogs and sites themselves); I'm just less likely to publicly express my take on it. Hours of the day and all...
I'd have to think hard about how the actual state of WDW should be classified. It's not automatically in full decline; things get plussed, new stuff gets built, and occasionally streets are free of trash. But at the same time, the upcharging is waaaaay out of control, the pricing is as insane as ever (or worse even), and the overall guest experience doesn't really seem on par with a decade ago, let alone two or three decades ago.
So superficially, we've got a Yogi Berra moment. "No one goes there anymore; it's too crowded."
Looking deeper than that, I'd probably come down on the side of believing the business side IS performing, but increasingly through the use of enticements rather than "on the merits." Want 97% hotel occupancy? Boom - free dining. Want to make food and wine more profitable each year? Boom - raise prices slightly, reduce portions slightly, remove freebies, add upcharge events.
People are still buying the product, possibly because increasingly there is a niche product just for them. Early morning Magic Hours or three hours of Late Magic for $150 (or whatever) sounds like a horrible deal to me, but it keeps coming back. Someone is paying for it. Ditto character meals, or fireworks dessert parties. Or hippo treks, or safari meals.
The shift, in other words, is away from a homogenized experience that succeeds for all guests "on the merits" itself, and toward a product that is niche-tailored to your ability to pay and/or interests. To judge by the numbers, it's working for them. The question is whether it's a sustainable trend. Part of me thinks this is a House of Cards.
The core experience is priced so far at premium that people will notice. I just spent 10 days in Paris, many of them at Disneyland Paris. I also visited the regional park Parc Asterix, which costs half the price of Disney. It was fine; great even. Do they have an Elsa with an animated face, or $45 buffets of chicken nuggets and Minnie Mouse's seasonal outfit? Nope, they don't. But it was a satisfying day indeed.