Maybe there's nothing wrong with the movie or the audience, but with the people who came up with the expectation. They were wrong about several other blockbusters this year.
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2019 Box Office tracking
- Thread starter WhatJaneSays
- Start date
Maybe there's nothing wrong with the movie or the audience, but with the people who came up with the expectation. They were wrong about several other blockbusters this year.
Prince-1
Well-Known Member
Id say that it’s underperforming due to what it was expected to make. It will still be huge.
Disney Irish
Premium Member
Any bets on Iger/Feige renting out a bunch of theaters in Burbank just to push End Game over the finish line if it doesn't make it this weekend.....
I know I'm doing my part, I'll go watch it for the 5th time this weekend.
I will go one more time to see the extras. That will make 6 times. I don't think with the extra scenes they will need to buy out any shows. They are only 37.2 million away and if they still average $9.00 a ticket they only need just under 4.2 million more tickets sold.
Disney Irish
Premium Member
That's the ultimate question though. Are there 4.2M Marvel fans willing to go see it again for what amounts to an end credit scene that'll be on YouTube likely the next day. We'll see, I'm hoping there are.
jt04
Well-Known Member
I don't think you can single out animation as the disappoints seem to be spread across every genre. Disney is the only studio doing consistently well.
TS4 is slightly slower out of the blocks but I just think people are taking their time and spreading out their "must see" summer movies. I expect it to do very well with the summer movie crowds. More a movie people drop their kids at the multiplex for to occupy them for a few hours. It should have holds similar to Aladdin but is off to a much stronger start.
400 north America and 1 billion total seems readily achievable.
Booked my tickets for Lion King. Hyped! Now for some fun facts.
6x Toy Story 4's first hour, and remember the first day of presales for TS4 caused Deadline to predict a potential 200M OW
TS4 = 317 first hour
TLK = 1959 (before adjustment)
forums.boxofficetheory.com
6x Toy Story 4's first hour, and remember the first day of presales for TS4 caused Deadline to predict a potential 200M OW
TS4 = 317 first hour
TLK = 1959 (before adjustment)
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
forums.boxofficetheory.com
When the assumption was this "re-release" was a purely domestic affair I was fairly sure that the mark would still be missed; however now that there is going to be a push back into some international markets ... that's a much lower bar to reach. It remains to be seen which if any truly major markets are getting re-releases or expansions but just a handful of markets popping in with just and extra 500k adds up real quick.
Disney Irish
Premium Member
And I assume they'll leave it out there right up until the July 30th digital release date. So another month of tickets could conceivably do it.
With the weekend estimates in Toy Story 4 maintained it's #1 spot over some fairly mild new comers. While the year overall has still been a bit soft Toy Story 4 is ahead of it's previous installment even with a 52% drop. With an expected run I don't see it quite topping the 415m domestic of Toy Story 3 or the billion world wide.
The somewhat unexpected staying power of Aladdin, now in it's 3 weekend of sub 30% drops, have raised it's take to 305m domestic. Even it's international drops have been fairly good. While it didn't have the initial splash people may have hoped on the front end it seems like it might make it up on legs.
The Endgame record watch continues! With an estimated 5.5m weekend it broke back into the top 10 and brought it's domestic up to 841.3m. On the international market not all places are getting the re-release/expansion at the same time so the numbers may be longer in coming. The estimations from the weekend bring that international total to 1.92 billion, though there will be more accurate numbers in the next week or so as things shake out. That brings the Avatar gap to 26.6m world wide to go. They shaved off 10.5 million in a single week with just hype and on a non-holiday weekend, with not all markets active yet ... that puts the record back in doable range. We're still deep in the run and the margin of error can fall either way but dang it if they are not gonna make this fun to watch.
The somewhat unexpected staying power of Aladdin, now in it's 3 weekend of sub 30% drops, have raised it's take to 305m domestic. Even it's international drops have been fairly good. While it didn't have the initial splash people may have hoped on the front end it seems like it might make it up on legs.
The Endgame record watch continues! With an estimated 5.5m weekend it broke back into the top 10 and brought it's domestic up to 841.3m. On the international market not all places are getting the re-release/expansion at the same time so the numbers may be longer in coming. The estimations from the weekend bring that international total to 1.92 billion, though there will be more accurate numbers in the next week or so as things shake out. That brings the Avatar gap to 26.6m world wide to go. They shaved off 10.5 million in a single week with just hype and on a non-holiday weekend, with not all markets active yet ... that puts the record back in doable range. We're still deep in the run and the margin of error can fall either way but dang it if they are not gonna make this fun to watch.
Indy_UK
Well-Known Member
I've decided to not go to the Avengers re-release as from Twitter people are saying it isn't very good what they added. I been a good fan this year and seen all the Disney releases except Dumbo.
I'll see Spider-Man next week too. Jeeps, I wish Cinemas did annual passes for just films under the Disney banner
I'll see Spider-Man next week too. Jeeps, I wish Cinemas did annual passes for just films under the Disney banner
The Endgame record watch update: The weekend estimates on the domestic and international have both adjusted up. Domestic is at $841,889,897, International is at $1,922,991,959. The world gap to #1 world wide is now just 23 million.
Some international markets will get their expansions/re-releases on July 5th and 11th. One particularly for the 11th will be Brazil, which has historically been a big market for the MCU movies. Endgame had already made over 85m there, gaining an extra million just there is not outside the math. There could be 10m on the table internationally over the next 3-4 weeks and this late in the run that could be game changing.
We're also heading into what is essentially an entire week of "holiday weekend" here in the States. It remains to be seen what the release of Spider-Man: Far From Home will do for Endgame, but I honestly can't see it hurting ... particularly if it strikes certain cords.
Some international markets will get their expansions/re-releases on July 5th and 11th. One particularly for the 11th will be Brazil, which has historically been a big market for the MCU movies. Endgame had already made over 85m there, gaining an extra million just there is not outside the math. There could be 10m on the table internationally over the next 3-4 weeks and this late in the run that could be game changing.
We're also heading into what is essentially an entire week of "holiday weekend" here in the States. It remains to be seen what the release of Spider-Man: Far From Home will do for Endgame, but I honestly can't see it hurting ... particularly if it strikes certain cords.
After reading about what exactly was in the “re-release”, I decided to not go after initially being excited. Give us even 5 minutes of actual new footage and you’d already have beaten Avatar. An unfinished Hulk clip and a 5-minute Stan Lee tribute is about as weak as you can get.
winstongator
Well-Known Member
I grew up loving the x-me. Cartoon series on after school. I remember watching it while in college. I stopped watching at some point - might have been earlier than first class.
You need to watch Logan. Not only one of my favorite superhero movies, but one of my favorites of all time. A superhero movie not really suitable for kids generates the best ROI in a series? It’s no coincidence that the movie with the highest RT and critics scores does the best.
Making great movies makes money at the box office, and makes movies people will re-watch.
Princess Leia
Well-Known Member
All they had to do was finish the Hulk clip and put it in the movie, and that probably would have been enough for me to go out and see it. Instead, I'm going to wait for the blu-ray.
Animaniac93-98
Well-Known Member
Aladdin is now at $900 million worldwide and I think at this point it will either hit $1 billion with its own momentum, or Disney will keep it in theatres long enough to get there so they can brag about how many of their 2019 movies hit that mark.