RunnerEd
Well-Known Member
Heres something to think about - how much did DCA cannibalize WDW? Im sure some people skipped FL this year as a result.
That's exactly what we're doing in July! Can't wait!!!
Heres something to think about - how much did DCA cannibalize WDW? Im sure some people skipped FL this year as a result.
I dunno, if I were Disneyland Resort, I'd be pretty happy with a 22.6% gain at the second gate with only a 1.1% decrease at the main gate. That's a huge increase with very little cannibalization. And the growth occurred in mostly the second half of the year, since the first 5.5 months of the year, DCA was still torn up (remember the temporary entrance behind Soarin'?).
I also see it as significant because it shows that while small additions in DCA (World of Color, TSMM, Mermaid) moved the needle a tad, big budget tent-pole expansion is what it took to see significant growth. Disney should see that and realize that's the right course of action to take at WDW, too, if they want similar results.
Also significant is that Disneyland Resort doesn't feel significantly more crowded than it did before Cars Land opened. The back corner is packed near RSR, but the parks have done a great job of absorbing the crowds. Even over Memorial Day, the parks were fine...
Quick number crunching....
MK's average, daily attendance for 2012 would have been 48,000. This is before New Fantasyland opened.
Others:
Epcot - 30,000.
DAK - 27,000.
DHS - 27,000.
While we look at a lack of growth in the parks, especially at Dak/DHS still being under 30k/day, they're still above UOR.
IOA - 21,800.
UOR - 17,000.
Other interesting things....
The Louve in Paris: 9.7 million.
.... Which would be tied for 9th Worldwide in Theme Parks with Uni Studios-Japan. Ahead of ISO/USF.
Natural History Museum in DC: 7.6 Mil.
... Falls 12th on the Worldwide Theme Park list. Just behind IOA & DCA. Ahead of USF.
Air & Space Museum: 6.8 Mil.
... Falls 13th on the Worldwide Theme Park List. Ahead of USF.
Wow - So the Louvre attracts more visitors than IOA, DCA, USF, USH, SWO and the dreadful WDSP.Other interesting things....
The Louve in Paris: 9.7 million.
.... Which would be tied for 9th Worldwide in Theme Parks with Uni Studios-Japan. Ahead of ISO/USF.
Natural History Museum in DC: 7.6 Mil.
... Falls 12th on the Worldwide Theme Park list. Just behind IOA & DCA. Ahead of USF.
Air & Space Museum: 6.8 Mil.
... Falls 13th on the Worldwide Theme Park List. Ahead of USF.
And your point? Everyone visits those museums when in DC, it's a rite of passage, sorta like WDW.
Whats your point?
Doesn't seem like the numbers show this yet? But how many people saw RSR on TV or in an ad after it opened and decided to do this in 2013? Most people book vacations like WDW in advance and people with kids like to travel in the summer so the bump might come in 2013 in DCA 2.0s first full year.Heres something to think about - how much did DCA cannibalize WDW? Im sure some people skipped FL this year as a result.
You compare them as if there is a bias against Universal parks.
The 2012 WDW numbers don't seem to jibe with guidance provided by Iger and Rasulo at the quarterly conference calls. See my analysis here:
http://forums.wdwmagic.com/threads/...-show-increase-over-2011.866141/#post-5523497
The WDW numbers seem a bit too high. Even taking the most optimistic interpretation of Rasulo's statements (an approach that's questionable for any earnings call at any company), it's hard to imagine how WDW as a whole was up more than about 1.5% for the year.
Since their focus had shifted from adding more guests to up selling existing ones they probably don't want to highlight attendance growth at WDW. They wanted to promote the success of DCA to justify the money spent.The 2012 WDW numbers don't seem to jibe with guidance provided by Iger and Rasulo at the quarterly conference calls. See my analysis here:
http://forums.wdwmagic.com/threads/...-show-increase-over-2011.866141/#post-5523497
The WDW numbers seem a bit too high. Even taking an optimistic interpretation of Rasulo's statements (an approach that's questionable for any earnings call at any company), it's hard to imagine how WDW as a whole was up more than about 1.5% for the year.
Forget my last post. This is what I was trying to say. Just said much better than I did.These reports are fun to toy with... but I don't think they are a great gauge of actual good theme park business.
Important and interesting things like..
- unique guests
- spending per guest
- time in park per guest
- # of visits per guest statistics
- park attendance trends in terms of utilization (days above a % of capacity or utilization)
Are the cool things and those are all kept close to the chest by the parks. The whole system is based on external estimates and tracks a relatively insignificant #.
The flattening out of IOA was to be expected
Yes, I agree, if DCA is cannibalizing DL only a few percentage points (assuming it's over an entire 12 months) I have to imagine TWDC would be fairly satisfied with that performance. As of late, Iger and Rasulo have been absolutely crowing about the vastly improved balance between the two parks.I dunno, if I were Disneyland Resort, I'd be pretty happy with a 22.6% gain at the second gate with only a 1.1% decrease at the main gate. That's a huge increase with very little cannibalization. And the growth occurred in mostly the second half of the year, since the first 5.5 months of the year, DCA was still torn up (remember the temporary entrance behind Soarin'?).
Just as an aside, and we've talked a lot about California Adventure. Before we redid California Adventure, at a typical day at the Disneyland Resort, you would see about 75% of attendance going to Disneyland and 25% going to California Adventure. That's now in most days more like 55%/45%.
Still, it isn't quite fair to compare a theme park to a museum. One is more costly, when you factor in ticket prices, food, merchandise, etc. The museums are more of a day trip, they are not as costly, and are located in the centers of major cities which attract a TON of tourists.
Interesting nonetheless.
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