The US is vaccinating at a pace of 967 doses a day per 100,000 people.
The UK is vaccinating at a pace of 641 doses a day per 100,000 people.
Because we are doing both shot 1 and shot 2 and the UK has delayed shot 2 we are about the same number of new people a day getting shot 1. We are doing roughly 2 to 1 shot one vs two so about 635 of those 967 shots a day are shot 1s. I’m not seeing any signs currently of falling behind. Despite the JnJ pause we still haven’t seen doses per day decline. They are up slightly and deliveries continue to increase. Pace will decline as we get closer to the end but that’s true for both nations.
Yet --- Cases have fallen MUCH more significantly in the UK. And UK is hitting vaccination rates of 95%+ among eligible groups.
Yes, the pace will decline in the UK -- as they hit 95%. For us, the decline in pace is happening at a much lower vaccination rate.
So again -- why are cases falling so much more in the UK and then US?
Because they are achieving higher vaccination rates and because they are simultaneously mitigating.