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Elio (Pixar - June 2025)
- Thread starter DCBaker
- Start date
nickys
Premium Member
But it isn’t opening worldwide this weekend.
Tha Realest
Well-Known Member
You were a lot more emphatic and without any qualifiers in the Box Office thread (and there’s a bunch of receipts).
As for Elio, it’s settled into Good Dinosaur/Brave territory in RT, and the opening weekend prospects are looking very grim.
Anyway, we’ll see how this ages:
The Wrap and Vulture basically are bloggers that look prestige and connected because they're part of The Wrap and Vulture... but really aren't.
When I see one of their articles say "I was talking to a Disney rep on the phone and they said..." -- then I'll pay attention.
Otherwise it's a lot of repeating what other people say without sources in the echo chamber.
DisneyWarrior27
Well-Known Member
That’s just wrong.
Brave/Good Dinosaur territory is 75-80%, dumb man.
It’s actually settled into Onward territory (85-90%).
And even if it’s opening weekend is low, with strong word of mouth like Elemental had if it gets that, it might let out to be a sleeper hit or break even.
DisneyWarrior27
Well-Known Member
That’s good to hear.
Guess positive reviews might be what turns people out to see Elio this weekend.
DisneyWarrior27
Well-Known Member
My thoughts exactly on the Hoppers teaser trailer.
Thanks for posting a receipt or two.
The amount of ego and hypocrisy wrapped up in one poster is astounding - So he can "say, speak, or think" whatever he wants, but others are not allowed to do the same simply because they want to sometimes reference a website he vehemently dislikes because it goes against his worldview that's based on the 4 Hollywood-shill websites he frequents. On a website he does not own, nor has any authority over.I do hope to get to the theater to see 'Elio'. Scheduling could be the hard part, however, we have a lot packed in our calendar over the next month.
DisneyWarrior27
Well-Known Member
Well, folks, we have the opening night numbers for Disney/Pixar’s #Elio, it managed to hit the high-end of its opening night numbers with a $3M opening night number, which I know includes $500K from the Early Access Screenings on Wednesday, which without means it did $2.5M (barely $100K higher than Elemental’s opening night number) but, even without it, it’s still $100K higher than Elemental’s $2.4M opening night number.
If it can manage to multiply like #Elemental did from its opening night number (12.33X), combined with its early access number, it might be able to open above $30M and open to $31.3M by my calculations. Whether it legs out like Elemental for the rest of its run, we’ll have to wait and see.
But that may depend on if it gets an “A” CinemaScore or not.
It can’t get an “A-“ like Lightyear or it may fail to hit $100M domestically.
Guess we’ll have to wait and see how it fares.
If it can manage to multiply like #Elemental did from its opening night number (12.33X), combined with its early access number, it might be able to open above $30M and open to $31.3M by my calculations. Whether it legs out like Elemental for the rest of its run, we’ll have to wait and see.
But that may depend on if it gets an “A” CinemaScore or not.
It can’t get an “A-“ like Lightyear or it may fail to hit $100M domestically.
Guess we’ll have to wait and see how it fares.
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Disney Irish
Premium Member
Funny, since you were the one insisting we would get a teaser with Elio, which I told you at the time not to expect it and seems I was right to tell you that.
DisneyWarrior27
Well-Known Member
Still feel that what we got of Hoppers was an end-credits teaser similar to that of the first Avengers movie after the end credits of Captain America: The First Avenger.
Disney Irish
Premium Member
Nope, not at all the same thing, as its not even a teaser. That "bumper" as I'm calling it really didn't give any indication it was for Hoppers, or even what they were trying to "tease" until the title card popped up. At least with Avengers you have some indication what its for.
And I imagine that very few if any will even see it, as I was the only person left in my theater who stayed all the way to the end. Because very few kids are going to want to wait that long through boring credits to watch something that makes no sense.
Phroobar
Well-Known Member
28 years later debuted at $5.8 million.
Phroobar
Well-Known Member
Box Office Preview: Will ‘How to Train Your Dragon’ Eat ’28 Years Later’ and Pixar’s ‘Elio’ for Lunch?
Projections are all over the place for Danny Boyle's long-awaited '28 Days' sequel as 'Elio' braces for a soft opening, and possibly the lowest in the storied studio's history.
www.hollywoodreporter.com
Prerelease tracking suggests that Elio — about a young boy whose wish to travel to outer space and interact with aliens comes true — will open to $30 million plus in North America. That’s on par with Pixar’s original title Elemental, which was raked over the coals when debuting to $29.6 million in June 2023. That was the second-lowest, 3-day debut of all time for Pixar behind the $29.1 million launch of its first very first film, 1995’s Toy Story, not adjusted for inflation. (Toy Story opened over Thanksgiving, and amassed $39 million over the long five-day holiday weekend.)
DisneyWarrior27
Well-Known Member
Might still leg out like Elemental did if word of mouth is strong.Box Office Preview: Will ‘How to Train Your Dragon’ Eat ’28 Years Later’ and Pixar’s ‘Elio’ for Lunch?
Projections are all over the place for Danny Boyle's long-awaited '28 Days' sequel as 'Elio' braces for a soft opening, and possibly the lowest in the storied studio's history.
Prerelease tracking suggests that Elio — about a young boy whose wish to travel to outer space and interact with aliens comes true — will open to $30 million plus in North America. That’s on par with Pixar’s original title Elemental, which was raked over the coals when debuting to $29.6 million in June 2023. That was the second-lowest, 3-day debut of all time for Pixar behind the $29.1 million launch of its first very first film, 1995’s Toy Story, not adjusted for inflation. (Toy Story opened over Thanksgiving, and amassed $39 million over the long five-day holiday weekend.)
As someone said, it’s not about how it starts, it’s about how it finishes.
And since Elio has nothing to worry about until The Bad Guys 2 in August, especially if Smurfs is a piece of garbage, it should be fine.
DisneyWarrior27
Well-Known Member
Different audiences.
Also, apparently the word of mouth on 28YL is so toxic to the point that it might fizzle out after a little while.
The Hollywood Reporter, Deadline, and Variety are not shill publications…. They are highly respected media in the industry…. I have rarely seen articles that are purely rumors….. most of what they print eventually happens
Also when Vulture reports something positive they are shills… but negative…. Posters will site vulture to embolden their opinions
disneylandtour
Well-Known Member
Nothing about these numbers looks good. US pre-sales were around $1M. General industry opening expectations are $20M domestically--which is not good. And sure there are movies every now and then that come back from a weak opening, but this is not at all the norm. When elemental came out two years ago, there was very little else following it...for weeks...of quality...for families. That, plus word of mouth, created a unique situation. Also, 2023 was a weak summer for releases overall. That's not at all the situation this summer. I don't know anyone who thought Elio would do well when released. However I know a lot of people who think that Fantastic Four will do just fine when it comes out. (And with that, Dear Disney, in case you haven't noticed, Marvel films with top tier characters from the comics overall tend to do fare better at theaters. If you're confused as to what constitutes a top tier Marvel character from the comics, go to any downtown section of a large city and notice what characters teens and young adults are wearing on their t-shirts. Also, let me know how long you have to sit there before you find someone wearing an Ironheart, Eternals, Ms. Marvel, Ironfist, etc. t-shirt. Anyway, a t-shirt test would be a really great way to move forward.)
DisneyWarrior27
Well-Known Member
Yeah. Tell them, DK.