I've had this thought before:
With Genie, ultimately, they're going to have you pay to ride.
There's all sorts of ways that they can play with the numbers/stand-by times, etc. to coerce you. I don't think they'll have to go to that much trouble, however.
FastPass (original) was geared around:
- improved guest experience
- instead of waiting in line you'd hopefully be spending money.
FastPass+
- this was geared around improving park operations (reducing costs)
Genie+ / Lightning Lane
- This is geared around: Having you pay.
With FastPass (original) the whole "standing in line" bit was tipped on its head. The "FastPass" line was really the "normal line" where everyone waited (virtually) and the Standby Line was just that: Standby. It was like waiting/hoping for a Standby seat on an airplane. Sure, if one pops up you'll get it but, really, the normal line is FastPass.
I think that the end result of this is going to be people, while they won't believe it now, will not only accept that pay-per-ride is the norm, but they'll expect it. You can see this with a kind of false popularity of Peter Pan and TSMM (assuming it's like how it was when people would rush to it 5+ years back - that may have changed in recent years). Basically the word got out, "Oh, TSMM is a MUST and you HAVE to get there when the park first opens and RUN to TSMM if you want a shot at getting a FastPass (normal line) that day!"
Keep in mind: I'm not saying either or these are bad rides. I like both of them. I'm saying that there's a false demand for them created by the word-of-mouth bit which creates a self-fulfilling prophecy.
Anyway, getting back to Lightning Lane. If the FastPass line was the "normal line" then the Lightning Lane really is the new "normal line" and "standby" is still, in reality, "standby".
Even worse:
- With FastPass there was something like a 10:1 ratio of FastPass:Standby. When you were stopped in the FastPass lane to let some Standby guests in you didn't complain because it was no money out of your pocket for this and you were still well ahead of where you'd have otherwise been.
- With Lightning Lane now you're a paying customer and you didn't just pay $20/head to watch the "standby" lane go first. Again, the Standby Lane literally is "Standby" like you're waiting for an empty seat on a plane. As such, I see, eventually, the Standby lane really catering to those who'll go to the airport and buy a standby ticket because their first goal, no matter what, is saving a few $$$ (probably because they have to).
- Lightning Lane won't be the "rich" lane it'll just be the "expected to pay" lane (like how most people get a seat on an airplane. They want to have it scheduled, and they don't want to see a Standby person get their seat).
As such, I'd argue in 5-10 years, the "Lightning Lane" (paid) will become the norm (It is the "normal line" for getting onto a ride as history has shown with FastPass) and, effectively, poor people will be in the standby lane. They had enough money to get into the parks but not quite enough to pay to ride.
I also see this being flipped on its head with:
- "Well, originally Disney had you pay to get into the parks AND pay for rides" (this, of course, forgets that the higher price to get into the parks was in lieu of paying per ride)
- "You don't have to pay to ride if you don't want to - there's always standby" (and your family doesn't have to pay for the full fare of the airline ticket to get to Florida - they have the option of a reduced priced fare which they could wait multiple hours or a day or more to fly)
- (probably the most egregious one - and, yes, I see this being written in the future on this board): "The standby line gives those who can't afford it the option of still riding but they'll just have to wait a little longer."
Meanwhile, everyone else is paying $5-20/head to ride each ride and thinking it's normal, and probably paying $250/head just to get into the park. Also, "...it's a business."
"...but! but!! but!!! Universal and Six Flags have pay-to-skip the lines!"
- Yes they do. The difference is that the normal line is still the normal line. It's a normal queue. The intent is to give someone with lots of $$$$ or little time the ability to pay $$$$ to skip the line. The line is still the line. It's not a "standby" line. The norm isn't, "I have to buy an Express Pass to enjoy the day!" The norm is just getting in the normal line.
If you're thinking this is over the top, consider Bob. This is a man who'll leave nothing free on the table. You getting on the ride? All he sees on the spreadsheet is that ride cost $$$$$$ to operate and generates $0. He would like to sell that to you and, I think, he has a pretty good plan in place to do so.
He also knows: "They'll and then line up and scream, "TAKE MY MONEY!," and, eventually, defend this plan." (regardless of what the plan is.)
With Genie, ultimately, they're going to have you pay to ride.
There's all sorts of ways that they can play with the numbers/stand-by times, etc. to coerce you. I don't think they'll have to go to that much trouble, however.
FastPass (original) was geared around:
- improved guest experience
- instead of waiting in line you'd hopefully be spending money.
FastPass+
- this was geared around improving park operations (reducing costs)
Genie+ / Lightning Lane
- This is geared around: Having you pay.
With FastPass (original) the whole "standing in line" bit was tipped on its head. The "FastPass" line was really the "normal line" where everyone waited (virtually) and the Standby Line was just that: Standby. It was like waiting/hoping for a Standby seat on an airplane. Sure, if one pops up you'll get it but, really, the normal line is FastPass.
I think that the end result of this is going to be people, while they won't believe it now, will not only accept that pay-per-ride is the norm, but they'll expect it. You can see this with a kind of false popularity of Peter Pan and TSMM (assuming it's like how it was when people would rush to it 5+ years back - that may have changed in recent years). Basically the word got out, "Oh, TSMM is a MUST and you HAVE to get there when the park first opens and RUN to TSMM if you want a shot at getting a FastPass (normal line) that day!"
Keep in mind: I'm not saying either or these are bad rides. I like both of them. I'm saying that there's a false demand for them created by the word-of-mouth bit which creates a self-fulfilling prophecy.
Anyway, getting back to Lightning Lane. If the FastPass line was the "normal line" then the Lightning Lane really is the new "normal line" and "standby" is still, in reality, "standby".
Even worse:
- With FastPass there was something like a 10:1 ratio of FastPass:Standby. When you were stopped in the FastPass lane to let some Standby guests in you didn't complain because it was no money out of your pocket for this and you were still well ahead of where you'd have otherwise been.
- With Lightning Lane now you're a paying customer and you didn't just pay $20/head to watch the "standby" lane go first. Again, the Standby Lane literally is "Standby" like you're waiting for an empty seat on a plane. As such, I see, eventually, the Standby lane really catering to those who'll go to the airport and buy a standby ticket because their first goal, no matter what, is saving a few $$$ (probably because they have to).
- Lightning Lane won't be the "rich" lane it'll just be the "expected to pay" lane (like how most people get a seat on an airplane. They want to have it scheduled, and they don't want to see a Standby person get their seat).
As such, I'd argue in 5-10 years, the "Lightning Lane" (paid) will become the norm (It is the "normal line" for getting onto a ride as history has shown with FastPass) and, effectively, poor people will be in the standby lane. They had enough money to get into the parks but not quite enough to pay to ride.
I also see this being flipped on its head with:
- "Well, originally Disney had you pay to get into the parks AND pay for rides" (this, of course, forgets that the higher price to get into the parks was in lieu of paying per ride)
- "You don't have to pay to ride if you don't want to - there's always standby" (and your family doesn't have to pay for the full fare of the airline ticket to get to Florida - they have the option of a reduced priced fare which they could wait multiple hours or a day or more to fly)
- (probably the most egregious one - and, yes, I see this being written in the future on this board): "The standby line gives those who can't afford it the option of still riding but they'll just have to wait a little longer."
Meanwhile, everyone else is paying $5-20/head to ride each ride and thinking it's normal, and probably paying $250/head just to get into the park. Also, "...it's a business."
"...but! but!! but!!! Universal and Six Flags have pay-to-skip the lines!"
- Yes they do. The difference is that the normal line is still the normal line. It's a normal queue. The intent is to give someone with lots of $$$$ or little time the ability to pay $$$$ to skip the line. The line is still the line. It's not a "standby" line. The norm isn't, "I have to buy an Express Pass to enjoy the day!" The norm is just getting in the normal line.
If you're thinking this is over the top, consider Bob. This is a man who'll leave nothing free on the table. You getting on the ride? All he sees on the spreadsheet is that ride cost $$$$$$ to operate and generates $0. He would like to sell that to you and, I think, he has a pretty good plan in place to do so.
He also knows: "They'll and then line up and scream, "TAKE MY MONEY!," and, eventually, defend this plan." (regardless of what the plan is.)