In a nutshell, converting a room to DVC provides
fantastic cash flow for 1 year, and subpar cash flow for 49 years. (The typical DVC property is for 50 years.)
Let's consider the Polynesian Villas & Bungalows (PVB).
Someone buying there will pay $165/point. It costs 169 points to stay there in the summer. That means someone who wants to stay at the PVB for a week every summer will hand Disney
$27,885 this year!
Sounds great but ...
After their initial purchases, PVB members will pay the 2015 equivalent of
$1015/week ($145/night) to stay during the summer at WDW's second-most expensive resort in rooms that normally start at over
$3,800/week ($543/night) and go up from there.
Meanwhile, in 2014, Disney's net income was
$7.5 billion. However, Disney repurchased
$6.5 billion in its own stock and paid out another
$2.0 billion in dividends.
That $27,885 sale sounds great but all of the net proceeds (and then some) are simply going to be fed into the Disney Stock Machine.
That money is not going into the hotel itself.
Considering that, overwhelmingly, most Disney executive compensation is in some form of stock instrument, is it any wonder why?
What does that mean for the Polynesian?
That means that the hotel needs to remain profitable on income of $145/night, whereas before it needed to remain profitable on income of $543/night. Even assuming a lower occupancy rate when they were cash rooms, the Polynesian will end up collecting only a fraction of what it used to realize when it was a hotel-only business.
How are they going to do that?
Simple - reduce expenses.
That means cheapen hotel services for the next 49 years so that Iger & co. could collect big, fat bonuses this year.
Returning to the point of this thread, what do you think will happen at the Wilderness Lodge as a larger percentage of hotel Guests become those paying timeshare rates for the next 50 years?