flynnibus
Premium Member
You're referring to an unbundled vs bundled ticket model. Guess what? Airlines can't make money on the old model. Even today, airlines have an awful business that practically makes no money, at least with any predictability or consistency. Why do you think Warren Buffett has said never invest in an airline stock?
I went to Wharton...done case studies on airlines before. Southwest had some impact, but they are peanuts compared to the big boys in terms of routes, miles, and cities serviced...particularly internationally.
The reason they've moved to a fee based model is because the wild swings in commodity prices, high competition, high maintenance and capital costs, etc constantly pressure their profitability. They have to sell snacks, charge for bags, pack planes, and charge fees to even stay viable.
The days of no change fees, fully refundable tickets, food, drinks, and roomy planes are gone...for a reason. It doesn't work.
Disney certainly isn't the airline industry and hasn't moved to this model, but it's similar in that Disney is going to make very little on park tickets. They have enormous capital expense, labor cost, maintenance costs, etc just to open their doors. They are going to make money on the food, merchandise, and special events - the incremental cash you pay to do stuff while in the park. Nothing wrong with that.
It's why I told to go read some case studies because I knew your basis...
They had price competition from carriers that ran more efficient. That established price competition they would be measured by. It wasn't that the old models were not sustainable, it was their big bloated carcasses that tried to do everything blew up when labor strained them, the economy hit their customer base, and commodity prices kicked them while they were down. The "new" competition had more efficient route choices, cheaper labor, cheaper aircraft, and a customer approach that lead to loyalty and appeal.. instead of disdain. Southwest proved that smaller could still hit the critical mass needed and yet could still afford to expand profitable.
The old airlines collapsed under their own weight... and their solution has been consolidation to try to reduce costs, contract to reduce empty seats, and drive new revenue streams through fees.
The shift is not one that is necessary to work as an airline, it was one to save THOSE airlines. At the end we still have the same bloated big carriers... just carrying the carcasses of their buddies. There is a reason they can quickly discount those fees as part of marketing and customer retention... they don't carry the margin of operating the route.
What they proved wasn't sustainable was the union+pension model that also crushed the auto industry