Depends on the time of year. If the park is super busy, don't count on it. But when I went in February, the park was dead and the wait was never more than 40 mins. During Fantasmic, it probably dropped to 20.
But is it just me or the posted time on TSMM always seems inflated compared to the actual wait time? Sometimes I feel as much as 10 to 20 mins.
I don't know as I NEVER would do TSM without a FP. Even with a FP it was a 20 min. wait. I have to confess that I really do not understand the insane length of the lines there, it's a really nice attraction but it is not the best ride ever. I would never wait 2 hours or even only 45 minutes for it.
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