Distorian
Well-Known Member
No?I don’t think Disneyland will be at all affected with a decline of California declining population. I don’t know why people would move to other states. Most would move back eventually.![]()
No?I don’t think Disneyland will be at all affected with a decline of California declining population. I don’t know why people would move to other states. Most would move back eventually.![]()
I read articles of some Americans thought by the green was green on the other side. One moved to Texas and the other one moved to Florida. All regretted moving there.
Anecdotes are not evidence. Provide an actual study with data that proves the average Californian who moves out of the state returns down the road.I read articles of some Americans thought by the green was green on the other side. One moved to Texas and the other one moved to Florida. All regretted moving there.
I had the same talk with my parent. My dad moved to Minnesota to be with his side of the family and my mom want to think about moving to Arizona. She pressured me to move along. I told her in her face-NO way I am moving out of California. If I had to, I rather think about moving OUT of the country. I blurted out I rather move to Australia than move outside of California.
I read another article how when some Californian move out, other Americans are replacing them. Particularly Utah. I can’t remember exactly. I thought that was interesting.
I am too simple to understand why this is a bad thing in an area where there are housing and water shortages.
Even if California suffers a lasting population decline, it's not like there will suddenly not be tourists coming to Disneyland or suddenly won't be obsessive locals.
I imagine it would take a larger more sustained decline to really begin to make any sort of impact on the park.
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And yet population was on the rise again last year -That's true to an extent. It's just the specific demographics of the people who are now leaving has changed. They aren't working class or lower on the economic ladder, they are mostly middle and upper-middle class families. They are the exact demographic that can afford a Magic Key for the whole family, or at least an annual visit paying $200+ per ticket.
It primarily lower-middle class singles were leaving by the tens of thousands each year, the local Cadillac dealer wouldn't be worried. He'd still sell plenty of Escalades.
But if primarily upper-middle class families were leaving by the tens of thousands each year, the local Cadillac dealer would be very worried. The sales of Escalades would begin to slow.
California has already lost 300,000+ middle and upper-middle class people in the past 5 years, and the pace of departures isn't stopping. At some point, it's going to impact Disneyland's business model based on middle and upper-middle class families.
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Looking at the Census data for metro areas from 2025 is interesting, and should be a boon to all those "Disney is buying up property in Texas for a Disneyland!" rumors we all love so much.
While the LA Metro area lost 62,454 people last year, the Metro areas of Texas had this one-year change in 2025:
Houston metro gained 126,720
Dallas-Ft. Worth metro gained 123,557 people
Austin metro gained 53,796
San Antonio metro gained 38,402
Lone Star Disneyland coming 2031! My barber's bus driver who is married to a realtor told me!
And yet population was on the rise again last year -
California now sits at only ~9k away from its highest ever population hit back in 2020. So these "decreases" that you talk about are really short lived, and are part of the fluctuations that have been happening for a long time. Some leave, more come in, same as in decades past. And estimates have it that it'll hit 40M population by the end of next decade, even with the exodus that you highlight. So I think Disneyland will be just fine.
That's nice. Instead of Disney, can we convince the Angels to move to Texas? Austin or San Antonio would be perfect. It would be nice to have that land available for DLR expansion.
I am too simple to understand why this is a bad thing in an area where there are housing and water shortages.
Except your point is moot, and even outdated. California population is back on the rise (will break its population record in the next couple years) and LA County is STILL the most populated county in the nation (even the article you posted says so) by a healthy margin. So these declines are short lived and not as long impactful as you believe.The point remains, California's population is declining when the population of the nation is increasing.
Where would you rather operate a theme park that caters to middle and upper-middle class people?
- LA Metro Area (Disneyland) = Decline of 62,454 people in 2025
- Orlando Metro Area (Disney World) = Increase of 75,711 people in 2025
- Dallas Metro Area (Six Flags Something, I Assume) = Increase of 123,557 people in 2025
I wouldn't be at all surprised to see California lose another major league sports team or two in the next few years, and the Angels could definitely be among them. It's increasingly a case of when, not if.
The demographic and population shift out of California is well documented, and losing a major league sports team goes hand-in-hand with losing your upper-middle class and wealthy citizens to other states. Just look at Oakland.
But if, or when, the Angels do leave for Las Vegas or Nashville or Austin, they aren't going to use that property for a magical third theme park. It's an area already surrounded by 5-story podium charmless apartments and shoebox condos, and it's going to be an uphill battle to get it zoned for a theme park. Even if, and it's a GIANT IF, Disney would want to spend the money for a high-capacity 5,000 riders per hour mass transit system running the two miles between Theme Park #3 and The Disneyland Resort.
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Now I don't think they would ever build a theme park at Angels Stadium either but the City has or is still looking at adding a Autonomous Gondala system between ARTIC and Disneyland for 2028 Olympics. But from what I gather its a foreign startup company called Swyft Cities and has only one small system in place at amusement park. They have had many US cities interested (One being Irvine) over the years but none have been built so will Anaheim be the first and get it in place by then I doubt it.But if, or when, the Angels do leave for Las Vegas or Nashville or Austin, they aren't going to use that property for a magical third theme park. It's an area already surrounded by 5-story podium charmless apartments and shoebox condos, and it's going to be an uphill battle to get it zoned for a theme park. Even if, and it's a GIANT IF, Disney would want to spend the money for a high-capacity 5,000 riders per hour mass transit system running the two miles between Theme Park #3 and The Disneyland Resort.
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