Yeah the actual break even point isn’t that many visits when those parkhoppers are what, $220+ It really comes down to how many times would you want to go IF you didn’t have a pass. I definitely wouldn’t go 25 times in one year but felt the more expensive the pass more you feel like you should be going.
I’m not sure the Inspire key makes sense if you’re only going 10-12 times. That means you only save $150 -$180 in parking compared to the Believe Keys but the inspire costs like $400+ more. So unless you plan on buying a lot of merch/ food with the extra Inspire discount I’m not sure you make up the difference.
Good point on Knotts. They re so cheap that it really doesn’t matter. Plus you get the water park. Right now they have a deal for 2024 annual passes that include the rest of 2023 for $90 bucks. How? Lol. Are the burgers $100? Popcorn $50? How does that work? What’s the ambience and clientele like?
I see what you mean, you're right it really is all about how much you would go normally and if it makes sense. But you know what why not live it up and go 25 times a year if you want to?
Disney math time:
From my calculation based on discounts I get for tickets, with hoppers on ticket prices only,
Inspire:
Break even (Hopper Cost) 9.6 visits
30 dollar parking x 9.6 = 288.50
50 dollars of food each day = 480.9
Inspire key would save me 288.50 on parking and 72 on food for a total of 360 dollars in discounts at the breakeven number of visits.
Believe:
Break even (Hopper Cost) = 6.6 visits
30 dollar parking x 6.6 = 198.31
50 dollars of food each day = 330.52
Believe key would save me 99.15 on parking and 33 on food for a total of 122.15 dollars in discounts at the break even number of visits.
So overall as you can see there are benefits that can really add up. If you divide the savings of each at the break even point by ticket costs, you "save" the cost of 1.8 days at breakeven in discounts for the Inspire and .7 days for the Believe.
Which you could argue makes the value of the breakeven more like 7.8 for Inspire and 5.9 for Believe.
I laid this all out in Excel and thought the numbers were pretty interesting when it was all in front of me.
Again though this doesn't even begin to factor things like multiday tickets or so cal ticket deals into the equation so its quite a mind game to truly figure out the value and break even point of a Disney pass.
That being said that 90 dollars for 2 seasons at Knotts is pretty great, I just am more a fan of the Chicken restaraunt and marketplace than the park, and it doesn't require admission.