The Mandalorian & Grogu (Lucasfilm - 2026 Theatrical)

[DisneyWarrior27]

Ah yes, the sacred 2.5× budget rule, declared by the internet’s premier cinema savant, shouting ‘that’s final’ like a keyboard warrior with Excel open. Cute, but reality (marketing, distribution costs, Disney’s accountants. etc) might have other things that factor in. $500M WW isn’t automatically a hit. And just because you "say it". It doesn't "make it so".

Remember this guy?

View attachment 884455

He made ~$300 Million. And lost ~$200 Million. That was 13 years ago. Adjust it for inflation and all the sudden your sure fire number of $500 Million doesn't seem to be as can't miss as you make it out to be. Now does it? Plug that into your spreadsheet.

Yeah, because the movie cost $250M to make.

Which The Mandalorian & Grogu doesn’t as it cost, again, $144.65-$166.4M to make.

Stop it.

Really STOP.

It WILL be successful with $500M WW on that budget.

Add that to your spreadsheet.

 

["El Gran Magnifico"]

Yeah, because the movie cost $250M to make.

Which The Mandalorian & Grogu doesn’t as it cost, again, $144.65-$166.4M to make.

Stop it.

Really STOP.

It WILL be successful with $500M WW on that budget.

Add that to your spreadsheet.

And they still have 8 months to make the movie look better.

And Reshoots won't factor into that a bit? I'm giving you an out. Since you don't seem inclined to take it. Let's go to the next batter in the line-up:

 

[DisneyWarrior27]

And Reshoots won't factor into that a bit? I'm giving you an out. Since you don't seem inclined to take it. Let's go to the next batter in the line-up:

View attachment 884457

Stop.

Really, STAHP.

The Mandalorian and Grogu will likely not have any reshoots, because unlike Solo, it didn’t change directors in the midst of a troubled production and it had no troubled production like Solo did. Which is why Solo ended up costing $275M to make.

So, they won’t factor into them because they won’t have any to do.

 

["El Gran Magnifico"]

Stop.

Really, STAHP.

The Mandalorian and Grogu will likely not have any reshoots, because unlike Solo, it didn’t change directors in the midst of a troubled production and it had no troubled production like Solo did. Which is why Solo ended up costing $275M to make.

So, they won’t factor into them because they won’t have any to do.

 

[DisneyWarrior27]

View attachment 884458

Listen here, you deaf ape.

The Marvels and Solo are not going to be the signs of the same fate Mando & Grogu will fare.

Those two movies and John Carter had over-inflated budgets because of reshoots and change in directors.

Mando & Grogu will not flop and be a hit on the budget it has with $500M WW.

Okay.

Get that through your fu—ing skull.

You’re obviously not as smart as you or most others in these forums who thinks they know better seem.

 

["El Gran Magnifico"]

Listen here, you deaf ape.

The Marvels and Solo are not going to be the signs of the same fate Mando & Grogu will fare.

Those two movies and John Carter had over-inflated budgets because of reshoots and change in directors.

Mando & Grogu will not flop and be a hit on the budget it has with $500M WW.

Okay.

Get that through your fu—ing skull.

You’re obviously not as smart as you or most others in these forums who thinks they know better seem.

 

[Disney Irish]

In defense of some here, it was reported earlier this year that because of the recent increase in California's Film Tax credit Mando/Grogu is currently set at a budget of $166.4M. Making it one of the cheapest SW movies in the modern era.

'The Mandalorian & Grogu' Gets a Bountiful California Tax Credit

The Mandalorian & Grogu is bringing Star Wars back to California in a big way, with the film receiving a multimillion dollar tax credit.

collider.com

Now with reshoots (if any) we don't know what that will do. But at the very least its starting off as a more modest budget for a blockbuster.

We'll see how things go between now and its release date next summer.

 

[Mr Ferret 75]

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