Yeah, i just saw a click bait article come across my Google feed with something a long the lines of 'star wars hotel is only 50% full for months'. And they based the whole article on the stupid availability calendar as if that tells us how many cabins are actually available. A few of us, including you, have repeatedly said we have no idea how many free rooms there are. There isn't a doubt that there are cancellations. There isn't a doubt many of those cancellations are because people don't like what they have seen so far (we have several posters on this board say that). It does seem most cancellations are coming in around 90 days where people have to make final payment.Yes, the majority of cruise dates in May have openings. But how many openings?
There are 15 cruise dates in May. That's 1,500 room reservations. How many of those 1,500 are now 'open'? We don't know. At least 12 rooms are free. We don't know how many more.
All the dates in March that had opened due to people backing out before they had to give a non-refundable full payment are now pretty much filled. Now the first half of April is under the gun to pay in full, and at least one reservation per cruise has backed out.
We'll see if that gets filled again like March did. It might not. But it's not the 'avalanche' that a certain unscrupulous blogger calls it. At least, not yet.
I do think with how expensive this is, Disney will find it hard to get last minute reservations. this is likely why they want full payment or cancellation by 90 days. If it were the standard 30 days like a hotel, there would be very little chance of filling that cabin. I also don't think Disney would calculate ROI on 100% of rooms being sold. Yes, they probably expected it to be sold out for months, but it won't break them in the long run. As long as they deliver and have positive reviews and good word of mouth (previous promo videos aside, which were bad).
Again, not denying there have been cancellations which may be more than what even Disney expected. But no one has any idea of how full or empty these initial cruises will be except Disney. Anyone suggesting anything else is foolish.