News Reedy Creek Improvement District and the Central Florida Tourism Oversight District

[UNCgolf]

Think of it this way.

The U.S. Supreme Court is conservative.

The Eleventh Circuit (which oversees Florida) is conservative.

The Florida Supreme Court is conservative.

These are the legal minds that ultimately matter. Not an attorney in a YouTube video or one who writes an article for Bloomberg.

Laws are complex, with different justices emphasizes different aspects of the law.

How much confidence do you have that all three will rule in favor of RCID/Disney?

I'm certainly not 100% confident, but judges tend to be less politically motivated than, well, politicians. They of course have a particular mindset from which they approach cases, but generally speaking, conservative judges lean towards pro-business decisions in a way that would frown on this. Not just in terms of Disney itself, but also in terms of potential contractual infringement and damage to bondholders.

They also tend to have a wider view about what these decisions will do overall in other circumstances, not just the particular case they're deciding. Look at the number of staunchly conservative judges that repeatedly shot down the election fraud cases.

 

[Chip Chipperson]

Contracts can be changed by mutual agreement by both parties.

Contracts can be transferred.

Contracts (generally) survive when someone dies. Effectively, RCID is "dying", with its inheritors being Orange and Osceola Counties.

Is the State of Florida allowed to transfer RCID bonds to the governing bodies that replace it?

I'll say it again, this time a little differently. It doesn't matter what you and I think. What matters is what the members of the Florida Supreme Court think.

At least until RCID decides to appeal any decision to federal courts.

With this in mind, what's your opinion of the Florida Supreme Court?

Where is the mutual agreement here?

 

[flynnibus]

How much confidence do you have that all three will rule in favor of RCID/Disney?

Conservative tends to lean pro-business, less gov. I'm not sure how pointing out all the conservatives thinks you believe that means they will throw business under the bus?

This is also why it's better RCID fight this - not make this into an emotional argument. Make it about straight up contract law and the power of government.

 

[mikejs78]

I'm simply suggesting that I expect surprises along the way, rulings that I don't necessarily agree with. (Hence why I wrote, "How much confidence do you have" in "all three".)

Right now, Disney is effectively pursuing this through its government (i.e. RCID). (With RCID acting independently of Disney.) Technically, it's one special district within the state of Florida (that the State of Florida created) against the State of Florida.

I expect Disney to ultimately win in the courts, but it could get messy along the way. If this even makes it through the courts before Disney/Florida figure something out.

There may be the odd judge that rules the wrong way, but I think most judges, even conservative ones, will go with RCID on this one. If they don't, Florida's bond rating could tank completely and destroy the Florida economy.

 

[GoofGoof]

I'm simply suggesting that I expect surprises along the way, rulings that I don't necessarily agree with. (Hence why I wrote, "How much confidence do you have" in "all three".)

Right now, Disney is effectively pursuing this through its government (i.e. RCID). (With RCID acting independently of Disney.) Technically, it's one special district within the state of Florida (that the State of Florida created) against the State of Florida.

I expect Disney to ultimately win in the courts, but it could get messy along the way. If this even makes it through the courts before Disney/Florida figure something out.

I would like to hope that the courts cherish their independence and understand the role they play in the checks and balances. I don’t think every conservative judge will automatically back the Republican legislature no matter what they do. Also as has been pointed out numerous times this particular action is ”unRepublican” in the traditional sense so many conservative judges who are not newly appointed won’t necessarily agree with it. Politicians need to tow the party line to get re-elected even if they don’t personally agree with it but judges who are appointed don’t face that same pressure.

 

[UNCgolf]

I would like to hope that the courts cherish their independence and understand the role they play in the checks and balances. I don’t think every conservative judge will automatically back the Republican legislature no matter what they do. Also as has been pointed out numerous times this particular action is ”unRepublican” in the traditional sense so many conservative judges who are not newly appointed won’t necessarily agree with it. Politicians need to tow the party line to get re-elected even if they don’t personally agree with it but judges who are appointed don’t face that same pressure.

I almost mentioned this -- judges who were appointed in the past 6 or so years are more likely to be on board (or will figure out a way to be on board) because judicial appointments have become so hyper partisan. People who were considered unqualified made it onto the bench solely for political reasons.

That's not to suggest that all of the more recent appointees are unqualified or would be on board with it; just that a higher percentage of them are likely to support partisan political goals than longer serving judges.

 

[some other guy]

following up an old post of mine about "well, I'll see how Sabatini feels"
he's totally on-board, from a couple of interviews he's done in the past week
take that for how you will personally, but Sabatini is absolutely on-board, and suggests that incoming Special Sessions will have various hoo-hah to cover MUH BONDS and other noises

 

[Nubs70]

South Park S13E1 - poignant

 

[BuzzedPotatoHead89]

I almost mentioned this -- judges who were appointed in the past 6 or so years are more likely to be on board (or will figure out a way to be on board) because judicial appointments have become so hyper partisan. People who were considered unqualified made it onto the bench solely for political reasons.

That's not to suggest that all of the more recent appointees are unqualified or would be on board with it; just that a higher percentage of them are likely to support partisan political goals than longer serving judges.

This is an important point that bears repeating.

Conservative judges are not modern culture warriors or right-leaning populists in the traditional sense of the current political paradigm. Usually they are broader institutionalist mindsets that favor the private sector in disputes where the burden of proof is placed on government.

Traditionally a more conservative legal theorist would argue in favor of limiting the governments authority over the private sector. This includes in matters of land use (eminent domain) law, corporate speech/personhood, etc. Not to mention matters of stare decisis and a general apathy to make broad reaching rulings that would empower the government against the rights of individuals -or corporations by extension.

Then when you factor in the average age and time/era of appointment of most conservative jurists you’ll find that there are very few judicial activists. Case in point - a state/federal judge appointed by (a Governor or President) Bush is possibly of different political/ideological stripe than a DeSantis/Trump appointee - and even then conservative/liberal legal theory has not yet fully morphed to match the polarization of our body-politic, per se.

 

[lazyboy97o]

following up an old post of mine about "well, I'll see how Sabatini feels"
he's totally on-board, from a couple of interviews he's done in the past week
take that for how you will personally, but Sabatini is absolutely on-board, and suggests that incoming Special Sessions will have various hoo-hah to cover MUH BONDS and other noises

That’s very insightful and specific.

 

[some other guy]

That’s very insightful and specific.

Anthony Sabatini is a Central FL-ish politico who has made no small part of his name in raging at how a lot of the GOP in Florida aren't conservative enough, to the point that he's voted against at least a few of DeSantis's budgets iirc
He's expressed ideas that he feels that the panic around bonds and whatnot is overblown in a couple of radio interviews over the past week. Also he explains that imminent special sessions may include tying up loose ends about Reedy Creek.
Obviously everybody's got an angle but when this guy's angle is "STILL TOO MUCH SPENDING REEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE" it's at least a bit leaning towards the idea that maybe some of the spazzing around the subject is possibly overrated.

 

[Brian]

I would like to hope that the courts cherish their independence and understand the role they play in the checks and balances. I don’t think every conservative judge will automatically back the Republican legislature no matter what they do. Also as has been pointed out numerous times this particular action is ”unRepublican” in the traditional sense so many conservative judges who are not newly appointed won’t necessarily agree with it. Politicians need to tow the party line to get re-elected even if they don’t personally agree with it but judges who are appointed don’t face that same pressure.

To be fair, judges in Florida have to run for office and/or seek reelection to retain their seats, but point taken.

 

[lazyboy97o]

Anthony Sabatini is a Central FL-ish politico who has made no small part of his name in raging at how a lot of the GOP in Florida aren't conservative enough, to the point that he's voted against at least a few of DeSantis's budgets iirc
He's expressed ideas that he feels that the panic around bonds and whatnot is overblown in a couple of radio interviews over the past week. Also he explains that imminent special sessions may include tying up loose ends about Reedy Creek.
Obviously everybody's got an angle but when this guy's angle is "STILL TOO MUCH SPENDING REEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE" it's at least a bit leaning towards the idea that maybe some of the spazzing around the subject is possibly overrated.

That’s still not anything specific. Several representatives have made contradictory claims about how there are no issues or they will fix issue the issues at some undetermined time. None have offered much in the way of specifics and make a lot of incorrect statements regarding the District. Seeing as they created the mess it’s hard to believe that more secret planning will present a solid solution.

 

[peter11435]

Anthony Sabatini is a Central FL-ish politico who has made no small part of his name in raging at how a lot of the GOP in Florida aren't conservative enough, to the point that he's voted against at least a few of DeSantis's budgets iirc
He's expressed ideas that he feels that the panic around bonds and whatnot is overblown in a couple of radio interviews over the past week. Also he explains that imminent special sessions may include tying up loose ends about Reedy Creek.
Obviously everybody's got an angle but when this guy's angle is "STILL TOO MUCH SPENDING REEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE" it's at least a bit leaning towards the idea that maybe some of the spazzing around the subject is possibly overrated.

If there’s anything the last couple weeks should have taught you it’s that politicians at all levels are woefully uniformed about the topics and the legislation they create and vote on. Reedy Creek is just one example among many. Sabatini is no exception.

 

[some other guy]

That’s still not anything specific. Several representatives have made contradictory claims about how there are no issues or they will fix issue the issues at some undetermined time. None have offered much in the way of specifics and make a lot of incorrect statements regarding the District. Seeing as they created the mess it’s hard to believe that more secret planning will present a solid solution.

I can understand there's a lot of Fog Of War going on, and I'll try to give receipts for this guy's claims in the next day or so, but my basic premise is "this guy goes off the chain when he gets a bug up a butt about even his fellow GOP", not "I have clear expenditure claims and how anything will settle out in the end"

 

[Sirwalterraleigh]

Conservative tends to lean pro-business, less gov. I'm not sure how pointing out all the conservatives thinks you believe that means they will throw business under the bus?

This is also why it's better RCID fight this - not make this into an emotional argument. Make it about straight up contract law and the power of government.

There may be the odd judge that rules the wrong way, but I think most judges, even conservative ones, will go with RCID on this one. If they don't, Florida's bond rating could tank completely and destroy the Florida economy.

Barring that the judiciary - especially the Federal judiciary - is not really supposed to be “party agents”…

None…not one…wants to be viewed as “anti-business”…

And that’s exactly how Disney will exert pressure on the politicians that get in the ears of judges.

The web is sticky and interconnected.

 

[Sirwalterraleigh]

If there’s anything the last couple weeks should have taught you it’s that politicians at all levels are woefully uniformed about the topics and the legislation they create and vote on. Reedy Creek is just one example among many. Sabatini is no exception.

Yes…but they used to be more calculated and wouldn’t go on tv and PROVE they didn’t have a clue

 

[Sirwalterraleigh]

Harm is different than fraud. Bond fraud usually is associated with intent to deceive. What's happening is very much in the open. Anyone buying a RCID bond knows exactly what they are getting into. And anyone who has bought any financial instrument knows that "past performance is not indicative of future results."

Has the State of Florida adversely affected RCID's ability to issue future bonds? Certainly and RCID might pursue legal recourse. But I would not consider this fraud, and I originally asked you if you thought fraud was being committed.

Please understand that I'm simply trying to provoke a healthy discussion. I sometimes have taken a contrarian position on this thread just so that people consider another point of view.

The motive behind this is 100% disingenuous/a lie. But that isn’t “fraud”

The point is financial impact/harm is already real.

Is that wise for Tallahassee? Cause RCID and by extension Disney trouble? Deep pockets your ing off there for no reason.

It just proves the lack of skill/vagabond nature of Florida’s politicians these days. I’ll remind they are taking their queues from one of the biggest grifters in US history. Not shocking at all. Cause and effect.

 

[kong1802]

following up an old post of mine about "well, I'll see how Sabatini feels"
he's totally on-board, from a couple of interviews he's done in the past week
take that for how you will personally, but Sabatini is absolutely on-board, and suggests that incoming Special Sessions will have various hoo-hah to cover MUH BONDS and other noises

Are you talking about this guy?

"In a video posted on Sabatini’s Facebook page that is no longer publicly visible, the state representative from Lake County stood in front of the Disney World marquee as someone held a sign behind him that read “Disney is Satan’s church.”

“It is time for the Disney rat to go to hell,” Sabatini said in the video as he gestured toward an image of Mickey Mouse. “No more woke, communist and corporate tyranny telling we Republicans what to do here in the state of Florida.”

 

[peter11435]

Are you talking about this guy?

"In a video posted on Sabatini’s Facebook page that is no longer publicly visible, the state representative from Lake County stood in front of the Disney World marquee as someone held a sign behind him that read “Disney is Satan’s church.”

“It is time for the Disney rat to go to hell,” Sabatini said in the video as he gestured toward an image of Mickey Mouse. “No more woke, communist and corporate tyranny telling we Republicans what to do here in the state of Florida.”

But this was definitely not retaliation….