News Reedy Creek Improvement District and the Central Florida Tourism Oversight District

pdude81

Well-Known Member
The news is saying Disney is submitting plans for a 5th gate to the committee. I’m extremely skeptical that this is accurate. How/when will we know? @wdwmagic

I think they are confusing what is allowed in the agreement with what is guaranteed by the agreement. I didn't hear anything about them submitting this to the board, although they didn't make clear at the end when the quote from the CFTOD admin stopped and when their musing on a 5th gate restarted.
 

MisterPenguin

President of Animal Kingdom
Premium Member
This is just the 2030 land use agreement.

The ""news"" is presenting everything in the agreement as if it's all greenlit, which is just stupid.

Their quote from a source does not in any way confirm any specific thing is being built. Just that it's great Disney will be spending money and creating jobs.

You would think that a local news station would be able to get someone from WDW on the line to confirm or deny their reporting.
 

zulemara

Well-Known Member
In the Parks
Yes
This is just the 2030 land use agreement.

The ""news"" is presenting everything in the agreement as if it's all greenlit, which is just stupid.

Their quote from a source does not in any way confirm any specific thing is being built. Just that it's great Disney will be spending money and creating jobs.

You would think that a local news station would be able to get someone from WDW on the line to confirm or deny their reporting.
Thank you! That’s what I figured. Someone I know posted about a 5th gate on Facebook and I’m like…oh lord here we go.
 

Unbanshee

Well-Known Member
The news is saying Disney is submitting plans for a 5th gate to the committee. I’m extremely skeptical that this is accurate. How/when will we know? @wdwmagic


Unsurprisingly, the local news appears to have next to zero comprehension of what a development agreement is and what it isn't

In this article about the development agreement, blog mickey says:
"Inevitably, someone will read this and think that a 5th gate is coming – that’s not what’s happening at all. The development agreement lists development maximums, not development outcomes. So while the development agreement allows for the densities listed above, whether or not Disney will use all of the allowed densities remains a business decision for the theme park giant."

 

danlb_2000

Premium Member
I think they are confusing what is allowed in the agreement with what is guaranteed by the agreement. I didn't hear anything about them submitting this to the board, although they didn't make clear at the end when the quote from the CFTOD admin stopped and when their musing on a 5th gate restarted.

Yeah, I would agree, especially since they are using the "major/minor park" terminology from the agreement.
 

MisterPenguin

President of Animal Kingdom
Premium Member

Tha Realest

Well-Known Member
$8B in 10 years.
Park normies: Well its not $17 billion over the next decade but that’ll buy a lot of attractions!

Disney: Yeah that includes “investment in existing infrastructure, new construction, and technology investment.”

1717471430463.png
 

Advisable Joseph

Well-Known Member
So investment is more general here than in Disneyland.

But the $8 billion is a minimum.

And using the ratio of $8 non-ship parks and experience capex to $5 parks expansion capex, the planned $17 billion for the next decade becomes $10.625 billion. It is just that some of this may be delayed, but at least $5 billion (=8*5/8) will be spent in the next decade.

If some parks and experience technology spending is not charged to a specific resort, this ratio could be even better.

Also, recall that @Henry Mystic was saying the possible fifth park that has been talked about would be after the planned $17 billion round of expansion, if I'm not mistaken -- and although it is not confirmed, there had been a lot of chatter.

There's also this recent article from the Orlando Sentinel. (Use desktop mode or a computer.) Dennis Speigel, CEO and "founder of International Theme Park Services, which provides management and development services" talks about the fifth park he has been hearing about.
 
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JoeCamel

Well-Known Member
So investment is more general here than in Disneyland.

But the $8 billion is a minimum.

And using the ratio of $8 non-ship parks and experience capex to $5 parks expansion capex, the planned $17 billion for the next decade becomes $10.625 billion. It is just that some of this may be delayed, but at least $5 billion (=8*5/8) will be spent in the next decade.

If some parks and experience technology spending is not charged to a specific resort, this ratio could be even better.

Also, recall that @Henry Mystic was saying the possible fifth park that has been talked about would be after the planned $17 billion round of expansion, if I'm not mistaken -- and although it is not confirmed, there had been a lot of chatter.
If you think what will happen 10 years from now is what they are saying will happen today I've got some prime south Florida land you will be interested in......
 

John park hopper

Well-Known Member
10 million over the next 10 yrs for affordable housing --a million a year so I ask how many house can you build for a million dollar -----I'm thinking not many

The average cost to build an apartment complex is $150 to $400 per square foot, or $75,000 to $600,000 per unit. Building a standard mid-rise apartment complex with 50 units costs $3.8 to $30 million, depending on the size of each unit, labor fees, material quality, and the building location.Nov 20, 2023
 

wdwmagic

Administrator
Moderator
Premium Member
10 million over the next 10 yrs for affordable housing --a million a year so I ask how many house can you build for a million dollar -----I'm thinking not many

The average cost to build an apartment complex is $150 to $400 per square foot, or $75,000 to $600,000 per unit. Building a standard mid-rise apartment complex with 50 units costs $3.8 to $30 million, depending on the size of each unit, labor fees, material quality, and the building location.Nov 20, 2023
Disney isn't building the actual housing.
 

monothingie

Evil will always triumph, because good is dumb.
Premium Member
10 million over the next 10 yrs for affordable housing --a million a year so I ask how many house can you build for a million dollar -----I'm thinking not many

The average cost to build an apartment complex is $150 to $400 per square foot, or $75,000 to $600,000 per unit. Building a standard mid-rise apartment complex with 50 units costs $3.8 to $30 million, depending on the size of each unit, labor fees, material quality, and the building location.Nov 20, 2023

Disney isn't building the actual housing.
It likely would primarily be for land acquisition or other expenses like infrastructure for the affordable housing sites.

For-Profit and Not-For-Profit companies like the Michaels Organization, which exclusively specialize on low-income housing development, are given these properties and use a combination of grants, federal funding, and tax credits to build affordable housing complexes at almost no cost to them. They then manage the properties, collect rent, and guide residents/applicants through the application and financial aid process to get them placed into the respective units.
 

HauntedPirate

Park nostalgist
Premium Member
"Disney has pledged to invest up to $17 billion over the next 10 to 20 years, with an initial $8 billion allocated for the first decade."

But... but... Bob and Josh said $17 billion over the next decade, remember?!?! 5th gates and expansions at all the parks and more more more everything!

Intimidating Season 4 GIF by The Office


Also note the carefully worded "up to $17 billion over the next 10 to 20 years". After that initial $8 billion (we'll run with it), they could build a single spinner in the second decade and still meet that.
 

Dranth

Well-Known Member
"Disney has pledged to invest up to $17 billion over the next 10 to 20 years, with an initial $8 billion allocated for the first decade."

But... but... Bob and Josh said $17 billion over the next decade, remember?!?! 5th gates and expansions at all the parks and more more more everything!

Intimidating Season 4 GIF by The Office


Also note the carefully worded "up to $17 billion over the next 10 to 20 years". After that initial $8 billion (we'll run with it), they could build a single spinner in the second decade and still meet that.
It says minimum of 8 billion under the economic development terms in Exhibit C:

"Disney agrees to make at least an initial capital investment of $8billion dollars within the first ten (10) years of the term of the Agreement, consisting of capital investment in existing infrastructure, new construction and technology investment."

They may well end up not doing all 17 in the first 10 but that is a pretty typical safety measure to guard against unforeseeable economic issues (think 9/11, housing crash or Covid) where you need to drastically reduce spending.

Personally I don't think they do all of it in 10 years as I expect a new CEO to come in long before many of the projects that money would go towards have started, halt everything to evaluate the potential projects, can a number of them and restart the whole design process pushing things back years.
 

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