Maybe I should provide more details, we are going the last couple days of November and the first week of December when it generally has lower crowds since it is in between the Thanksgiving and Christmas crowds (of course I know that there are pretty much no slow seasons anymore). Also, we always rope drop every morning and always take the first bus from the resort so we will get the headliners we want from rope drop anyways. I was just wondering if the headache of Genie+ would even be worth it to someone like us who rope drop the big rides and then doesn't care to wait in line for some of the middle rides later on the day. Plus we have been to Disney during Holiday Season before and saying only getting on 5 rides all day is a pretty big exaggeration unless you only arrive at the parks at 11:00 am or something.
1) last year we went for 2 weeks...end of nivember/start of December - it was very VERY busy. The busiest I've seen DW in any of my other 10 visits throughout the year.
2) The 5 rides I quoted you'd get without Genie+ were obviously the decent attractions....not including the silly ones that are almost walk on....lets say you do Holywood studios without G+ or LL+
Let's say for argument sake you rope drop RotR, as a non resort guest you will wait at least an hour, maybe 90 mins...you come off that and go on SR...again..another 90 minute wait, possibly shorter. By this time you're thinking about lunch..another hour taken away (if you're lucky to get a reservation or a table)...youre in early afternoon and go for MnMRR...another 90 minutes..then ToT - 2 hours (maybe less if they have finished the refurb and all 4 lifts are in use...so by this time it's late afternoon and you go for SDD...another 90 minute to 2 hour wait at the time of year youre going.
So that's your 5...which you'll do by around 7 or 8pm
I normally visit orlando from the UK every year January, May and September....we changed last years to late November and we could bot believe how busy the parks were...and we thought the same, get in before the Xmas holidays but no, it was manic.
We asked a few Americans why it was so busy even though the holiday season hadn't really started and kids would be at school...the answers we got were..".in America we wind down early for Xmas and the schools do too so we just take out kids out of school as there's not kuchen going on anyway."
Don't know how true that it but I got that from 3 families I spoke to.
But back to your point...I stand by my prediction that you may only get on 5 rides without any G+ or LL+....but you may get lucky and get 6 or 7.
But from my experience last November/December, without G+ and LL1+ I would not have bothered going as I worked out the queue saving times with G+ and would have only got on 5 rides on our Hollywood studios days