Yeah, those places are in an insane amount of trouble no matter what from what I read. I just remember a model (albeit a few days old at this point, back when it was not supposed to get close to what it is now) that showed if it hits the Tampa area, they are looking at 12 feet or so storm surge into the bay. If it hits south, the impact was minimal. Everything to the South was getting like 8-10 feet all the way down to like Ft. Myers. But yeah, this entire thing is scary and awful for a LOT of people.
This is a nightmare for Florida. Imagine trying to evacuate a good portion of Florida's 3rd largest city....