Hurricane Isabel-Category 5!

Mr D

New Member
Original Poster
A category 5 hurricane is approaching Florida with current winds of 160 mph, this is equal to Andrew that practically erased Homestead from the map and caused $30 billion worth of damage. What should Disney do NOW just in case this storm crosses central Florida? possibly there is 5 days before it arrives.

Here is a link to the Hurricane Tracker

This opens an Orlando Sentinel webpage then click on the Hurricane Tracker link.

Another more direct link is here at Weather Underground
 

The Mom

Moderator
Premium Member
I've been comparing this storm's track with Dora and Andrew. (Dora made landfall at Jacksonville) Both storms were on a NW track, started taking a Northerly turn, and were expected to bypass FL, but both storms took a turn and started heading due west at longitude 65 - 70. I'll be watching Isabel closely when she nears that location.

In 1964, only one local meteorologist predicted that JAX could still be hit, while everyone else thought we were out of the woods. The other interseting thing about Dora is that she continued inland , crossed the AL border, then turned around and came back out to the coast! She followed the coast up to Cape Hattaras, then went back out to sea. Needless to say, everyone in the Carolinas thought they were safe once she landed in Jacksonville.

Let's hope that Isabel isn't as unpredictable as her older sister! I'm certainly watching her closely. :lookaroun
 

MonorailGreen

New Member
Hurricane Isabel

Just to give an update...
The new wind speed of the hurricane is at 150 mph, which is still a powerful storm but it has been downgraded to a category 4 storm. Pressure is rising slightly and the newer tracks have the hurricane steering clear of Florida altogether. Central Florida News 13 and WKMG Local 6, both out of Orlando, have said to "watch the storm carefully and be prepared for the unexpected." It is still moving west though so Florida is not in the clear until we see that turn to the north. Hopefully it will happen and stay clear of any islands or the eastern coast of the United States. We just have to watch this one =)
 

SpongeScott

Well-Known Member
Hurricane predicting and forecasting has gotten a lot better in the past 10 years. Everyone should still be prepared and alert, but I would bet that it will take the turn north and hit from NC and north. Cooler water will also help it to weaken. We're still talking landfall as far away as Wednesday/Thursday.
 

tigsmom

Well-Known Member
Last night's news here in NY was about getting ready for the storm...what everyone needs to be prepared. We are used to getting hit with Nor'easters in the winter, this is a warm weather version. They are predicting rain all week here...stay safe everyone.:wave:
 
Unfortunatley i live in Jacksonville. Alot of hurrucanes look like they are going to pound right into jacksonville, but luckily they usually get caught in a jet stream and stear clear but then they go up to North carolina or South carolina and hit there.

This Morning when i watched the news it said that it weakend and might weaken a little bit more. It also said that it will probaly take a north north west turn. So they are prediciting that it will hit somewhere between mid georgia, and mid southcarolina. Get prepared this one looks very very serious.
 

SpongeScott

Well-Known Member
Originally posted by Michael72688
Still prayin it doesn't hit
well, it's gonna hit, it just depends where (unless it takes a hard turn to the NE). You pray it doesn't hit you, but then you know someone else is gonna get it...
 

X2CommNavISTC

Account Suspended
*Activates Ultra Disney Weather Dome*

Common, I mean, its a good way to block it from coming to visit Disney.....To bad one doesn't exsist that can keep in-laws away.
 

Moustronaut

New Member
Well last time NOAA updated their tracking site, Isabel was 1250-1300 miles east-southeast of Orlando.

Now all the projection models are showing this swinging to the Northeast and likely making landfall sometime around next friday or saturday around the outer banks of North Carolina and then moving up into Virginia and Delaware.

So it's still to early to say Florida is in the clear, the forecast is pretty good for WDW.
 

PurpleFigment

New Member
BACK TO C5!

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ftp/graphics/AT13/refresh/AL1303W5+GIF/132058W5.gif

There is where you can see the latest 5-day projection of Isabel's path.

The thing that worries me is they've got it taking a rather sharp northern turn on Tuesday afternoon. There are a couple of fronts that are currently over the US that will be pushing through into the Atlantic late this weekend/early next week, but it's kind of hard to believe they're going to be powerful enough to steer this storm on that sharp of a turn. I wouldn't put all my chips on that prediction.

Isabel did hit C5, but it's rare for hurricanes to stay at that level for a long time. It did as expected and the winds tappered off a bit, downgrading it back to a C4. This isn't any sort of sign that she's weakening and it certainly doesn't mean that it won't reach C5 again...which she has as she's now sporting 160MPH winds again with higher gusts. Hurricane force winds extend a whopping 90 miles from the center and she's moving at just 12MPH...giving her lots more time to churn, becoming fiercer. The eye of the storm is very compact and visible on ALL radar and satellite images...this isn't always the case. It's a beautiful example of a hurricane, but thinking of what it may do if it makes landfall is frightening.

There's nothing Disney World or anyone else in the storm's possible path can do to prepare for a storm like this. Boarding up windows and the basic hurricane preps will basically be a waste of time. There will be mass destruction and possibly a large amount of casualties should this hit a populated land mass. The only thing that can be done to prepare for a storm of this magnitude is to pack up and get as far away as possible. Get the kiddies and the pets together, get in the car and just drive in the opposite direction. The sooner the better.

The sad thing is storms are so unpredictable. It may look like it's going to one place one minute and another place the next minute, making it difficult to prepare.
 

STGRhost

Member
Disney is pretty well organized when it comes to preparing for hurricanes. They've had to do it many times, so they've had practice.

I was there for Georges (and a few other, milder ones). All the parks have an established "Hurricane Ride-through Crew" which are usually made up of managers and maintenance and custodial CMs. In the days before a storm may hit, the do through the usual stuff - tie things down, move things indoors (the Utilidors get VERY crowded), etc. They do things as inconspicuously as possible, so as not to detract from the Show. If it appears that Central Florida will take a direct hit, they move on to preparing for evacuations, closings, boarding up buildings, etc.

I'm surprised that no current CMs have posted yet, as I'm sure the whole resort is on alert - WDW has a system similar to the one the state has for letting people know how serious the situation is... We used to get memos and stuff all the time when storms were close...
 

Michael72688

New Member
Originally posted by SpongeScott
well, it's gonna hit, it just depends where (unless it takes a hard turn to the NE). You pray it doesn't hit you, but then you know someone else is gonna get it...

Yea, I really dont want it to hit anywhere, too powerful, too much damage
 

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