I was able to book my latest trip that I just came back from three weeks out and still get an AP discounted room. Also for EMH, the parks weren't that crowded.
I was in WDW from 7/11 to 7/18. The first three or so days were great because the crowds were light. Then the tour groups came in and everything changed.
One of the bus drivers told me (I know... ) that crowds have been down lately. I didn't think he'd be making that up