Disney’s Q3 FY23 Earnings Results Webcast

MisterPenguin

President of Animal Kingdom
Premium Member
The current minimum price that Disney is obligated to pay is $9B, regardless of the actual worth of Hulu. Analyst estimates have valued Hulu being worth up to $60B, making Disney responsible for 1/3 of that.
Do you have a source for that $60B that isn't a Comcast executive?
 

Indy_UK

Well-Known Member
Disney will sink money into Disney+ now but say they got the same number of subscribers as Netflix, isn’t it then just going to stagnate and aim will just to keep the subscribers you have?

DVC direct sales are certainly slow. Just got an email from my guide who I have never met with current incentives, $5k discount on 150 points at the Grand Flo if I fancied dropping $28k
 

JD80

Well-Known Member
Disney will sink money into Disney+ now but say they got the same number of subscribers as Netflix, isn’t it then just going to stagnate and aim will just to keep the subscribers you have?

DVC direct sales are certainly slow. Just got an email from my guide who I have never met with current incentives, $5k discount on 150 points at the Grand Flo if I fancied dropping $28k

D+ will want to get to the point where they can maximize ad-tier and keep a rolling profit selling ads but now they have probably better viewer data to be able to sell more expensive targeted ads.
 

Minnesota disney fan

Well-Known Member
This. I 100% subscribe to Peacock just to watch the old stuff. I'd do the same for D+. I think they are missing a decent sized market where they could charge a lower cost for all backlog over so many years old.
We are collecting the classic disney DVD's and online movies, and have a pretty good collection so far. The classics can't be replicated, IMO>
 

MAGICFLOP

Well-Known Member
Is there a lot of growth potential for Disney+? I mean once you get to around the same numbers as Netflix that’s got to be it I would think.

And with Disney+ and Netflix upping the price, doesn’t that mean less people willing to pay for both?

And realistically- before Disney+ is profitable they have to pay off the losses for the past 4 years.
If I were advising Netflix, I would say up the price a bit, with the economy sliding more and more, more people will be forced to choose one or the other and they will drop D+ for lack of content and ads.
 

MAGICFLOP

Well-Known Member
Well Netflix added 6 million subs.

D+ lost 11.7 million.

Before you even start with the spin they DID lose domestic subs and the number will accelerate when we get a price increase.
I was the shortest hulu subscriber ever. about 4-5 years ago I signed up for Hulu and it was about 5 buck ish and it came with the 1st 30 days free trial yada yada cancel before 30 days and not be billed... I clicked on a TV show and wham I got hit with an Ad in like 3 minutes. Cancelled immediately... I lasted about 8 mins total..

Point being, for me, its D+/hulu at $20/mo or netflix at $15.50 is a no brainer..
 

flynnibus

Premium Member
Well Netflix added 6 million subs.

D+ lost 11.7 million.

Before you even start with the spin they DID lose domestic subs and the number will accelerate when we get a price increase.
First) Netflix added on the back of converting shared accounts to paid sharing - not really organic growth. And it's only 2.5%. They even call this out in their forecast where they see the bulk of their revenue growth next quarter coming from higher avg sub price (aka added sharing prices).

Second) You can't just dismiss the domestic/international split of D+'s reporting. Disney (mistakenly) has grouped these services together and is now paying the price. Expect further spinouts in the future to separate this stink even further.

Third) Netflex has over 230M subs... where do you get D+ being at that level? It's no where close.

Fourth) While D+ domestic lost subs, it was 0.06% loss. If you are beating the drum over less than 1% delta while Disney still works on converting all it's packages and migration from bundles... well then I think you're just predisposed to see the negative.
 

flynnibus

Premium Member
Disney company combined subs is close. At one time it was higher than Netflix but not sure if it currently is.
Screenshot 2023-08-10 at 6.24.36 PM.png


I mean, these aren't hard things to find... Adding Hulu + D+ is disingenuous for this discussion as Hulu is the legacy product with it's own base.
 

Trauma

Well-Known Member
First) Netflix added on the back of converting shared accounts to paid sharing - not really organic growth. And it's only 2.5%. They even call this out in their forecast where they see the bulk of their revenue growth next quarter coming from higher avg sub price (aka added sharing prices).

Second) You can't just dismiss the domestic/international split of D+'s reporting. Disney (mistakenly) has grouped these services together and is now paying the price. Expect further spinouts in the future to separate this stink even further.

Third) Netflex has over 230M subs... where do you get D+ being at that level? It's no where close.

Fourth) While D+ domestic lost subs, it was 0.06% loss. If you are beating the drum over less than 1% delta while Disney still works on converting all it's packages and migration from bundles... well then I think you're just predisposed to see the negative.
The same exact charlatan that said that Disney would hit 260 million subs in a couple years is now saying it will be profitable in a couple years.

I don’t need spin I need results.
 

TrainsOfDisney

Well-Known Member
View attachment 736732

I mean, these aren't hard things to find... Adding Hulu + D+ is disingenuous for this discussion as Hulu is the legacy product with it's own base.

“The Disney streaming service, comprised of Disney+, Hulu and ESPN+, reported 221 million customers at the end of its fiscal year third quarter of 2022, beating out Netflix's subscriber count of 220 million for the same period.” - Forbes
 

flynnibus

Premium Member

monothingie

Evil will always triumph, because good is dumb.
Premium Member
But their stock went up, and most analysts are stating the move toward profitability being the reason. You said sub counts were the only thing that mattered.
$DIS popped 2-3% after Iger came back too.

This report was at best a mixed bag. Perhaps you saw investors buying in on the cheap.

 

Sirwalterraleigh

Premium Member
$DIS popped 2-3% after Iger came back too.

This report was at best a mixed bag. Perhaps you saw investors buying in on the cheap.
It’s a mini pump and dump…this has happened numerous times over the last couple of years…it’s an easy way for the computers to make $5 a share.

Neither Disneys numbers…nor the overall economic numbers…are good this week

Ask yourself: why would a 2 year slide be corrected at all by these sorry numbers?
 

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