Coronavirus and Walt Disney World general discussion

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DisneyCane

Well-Known Member
Have a better solution? Im asking because China put a lock down on tens of millions to control the spread. Italy has done the same. I realize we in the states haven’t done anything that drastic yet but will we have to if it continues to break out here? Where I live the governor has asked for all nonessential businesses to close for a few weeks. Just grocery and pharmacies to stay open. It’s voluntary and guess what.. everything is open. Just came back from a drive around and Target is mobbed, local casino is packed. Restaurants all full. Don’t know what the answer is but this isn’t going to work if the experts are right.

What will happen in China when they stop the lockdown? They will still have some people with the virus. This whole thing started from "patient zero" and will start again.

I do have a better solution. Get the testing rolled out so infected people can be isolated. Recommend that people 70+ stay at home until the virus is somewhat controlled.
 

Rimmit

Well-Known Member
A vaccine is at least 12 months away. If the only way to slow the spread is essentially shut down the world, are we to keep living like this for the next year?

Because a large number of cases are either asymptomatic or mild AND it spreads relatively easily, it is impossible to eradicate without a vaccine. If you unlock the world a month from now after the rate of new cases becomes a trickle, it is likely that the spread will repeat the same pattern again and get to the same level a month or two later. Does it become SOP to keep shutting the world economy down each time until a vaccine is available? All for a disease that isn't all that deadly. Yes it is more deadly than the flu but it isn't nearly as deadly as SARS, MERS, Ebola, etc. where this type of drastic action would be warranted.

I never stated a vaccine was a quick fix. And I think 12 months is pretty agressive in getting one out.

Actually, because this virus spreads easily and is relatively mild in 80 percent of the cases, this is actually a perfect disease to gain innate immunity. A truly virulent disease is difficult to gain immunity to because the people die too fast to spread the disease so the population gains immunity. That’s why the worst diseases tend to burn out (Ebola). This disease was a perfect storm in that the young can spread it easily and survive reasonably unscathed but the elderly are leveled by it, so it doesn’t burn out.

In the same way when I was growing up we had “Chicken Pox parties.” Prior to the VZV (chicken pox) vaccine people would have their kids have a party with a child with known chicken pox. The purpose of this was to gain innate immunity to Chicken Pox and to prevent the disease in older adults where a primary infection was notably more severe. In kids you had a little fever, had some vesicular rash and felt a little bad for a week. But you recovered and were now immune. In elderly patients it could result in pneumonia and death. So you got the disease early on to prevent you from contracting it later in life when it would be more complicated.

In theory we could do the same here. Since kids and younger people are relatively minimally effected we could have Covid parties. The issue here is that Covid is only mild in 80 percent of patients. If we have 20 percent requiring hospital admission,CPAP, ventilator, possibly ecmo, that is an issue.

As an ICU physician, I will tell you this is an issue. There is only so many ventilators in a hospital. Only so many ICU nurses and doctors. These systems already can be at capacity without Covid running around. Add in a disease in which 1/5 ends up admitted and no healthcare system can absorb that level of acuity. I have had to make decisions in the past where I have had to push people off a vent before I felt they were 100 percent ready because I needed the vent for someone else. This was before Covid. On top of that, this is impacting not just those with Covid but elective procedures and some emergency procedures. With Covid running around elective procedures will likely be halted altogether. So let’s say you have breast cancer and need a mastectomy, guess what, not happening of the hospital are overrun with Covid. If you have a heart attack and require a ventilator so they can do a bypass on you and they are all used up for covid, guess what, someone isn’t going to make it. Let’s say you have a stroke, or get in a car wreck and need a ventilator, again, not available.

It’s not just about those infected, it’s about the trickledown effects on everyone else
In healthcare. I totally see your point of view, but there is more to this than the deaths of elderly patients.
 
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21stamps

Well-Known Member
Does any have a quick link to see exactly how many people have been tested in each state, broken down to the counties.. with published results?

I didn’t see anything that specific and wide ranging.
 

GoofGoof

Premium Member
I do have a better solution. Get the testing rolled out so infected people can be isolated. Recommend that people 70+ stay at home until the virus is somewhat controlled.
The problem is the bug is out there and we have no idea how many are infected. If they rolled out mass testing back in Jan we could have done exactly that with no need for this extreme social distancing. With people having majority mild symptoms it would have also been hard to get them to show up for testing back in Jan. I think people’s eyes are wide open now so roll it out and get this over with.
 

DisneyDebRob

Well-Known Member
What will happen in China when they stop the lockdown? They will still have some people with the virus. This whole thing started from "patient zero" and will start again.

I do have a better solution. Get the testing rolled out so infected people can be isolated. Recommend that people 70+ stay at home until the virus is somewhat controlled.
I agree with you that it may start again. As for the testing, we should have been more prepared a month and a half ago at least. Problem was our leaders, and this is not a political stand by me just facts, were saying no worries, we are safe and ok. Then when it got here and started spreading, we didn’t have the testing ready. Now we are in this position to try to move ahead from here. I don’t know what the answers are, I just know what we are doing now,IMO, won’t work.
 

GoofGoof

Premium Member
Does any have a quick link to see exactly how many people have been tested in each state, broken down to the counties.. with published results?

I didn’t see anything that specific and wide ranging.
This is just PA (on PA dept of health website):

COVID-19 Testing in Pennsylvania*

Persons Under Investigation (PUIs)NegativePendingPositive
44620518363
* Table last updated at 12:00 p.m. on 3/15/2020

Sadly we have only tested 446 people in total.

Here’s the positive cases by county (I live in Montgomery)

  • Counties impacted to date include:
    • Allegheny (3)
    • Bucks (4)
    • Chester (2)
    • Cumberland (5)
    • Delaware (7)
    • Lehigh (1)
    • Luzerne (1)
    • Monroe (6)
    • Montgomery (24)
    • Northampton (1)
    • Philadelphia (6)
    • Pike (1)
    • Washington (1)
    • Wayne (1)
 

GoofGoof

Premium Member
As I have stated, Korea has only tested 0.4 % of their population.
So this idea of snap of the finger mass testing of 350 million people is illogical.
Why would 350 million need to be tested? That would be a bad waste of resources. Just test the people with symptoms and make it easy to get tested immediately. If they did this from the start the sick would have been identified, isolated and their contacts traced. This thing would be more contained.
 

21stamps

Well-Known Member
This is just PA (on PA dept of health website):

COVID-19 Testing in Pennsylvania*

Persons Under Investigation (PUIs)NegativePendingPositive
44620518363
* Table last updated at 12:00 p.m. on 3/15/2020

Sadly we have only tested 446 people in total.

Here’s the positive cases by county (I live in Montgomery)

  • Counties impacted to date include:
    • Allegheny (3)
    • Bucks (4)
    • Chester (2)
    • Cumberland (5)
    • Delaware (7)
    • Lehigh (1)
    • Luzerne (1)
    • Monroe (6)
    • Montgomery (24)
    • Northampton (1)
    • Philadelphia (6)
    • Pike (1)
    • Washington (1)
    • Wayne (1)
Thank you.
Yeah.. nothing I can find has the amount of tests per county.

The area I live in is 3 counties that make up ‘Greater Cincinnati’ (on the Ohio side).. In all 3, there is only 1 family confirmed positive. Zero in the other 2.

It would be a lot more helpful to know how many were tested in each!
 

DisneyDebRob

Well-Known Member
This is just PA (on PA dept of health website):

COVID-19 Testing in Pennsylvania*

Persons Under Investigation (PUIs)NegativePendingPositive
44620518363
* Table last updated at 12:00 p.m. on 3/15/2020

Sadly we have only tested 446 people in total.

Here’s the positive cases by county (I live in Montgomery)

  • Counties impacted to date include:
    • Allegheny (3)
    • Bucks (4)
    • Chester (2)
    • Cumberland (5)
    • Delaware (7)
    • Lehigh (1)
    • Luzerne (1)
    • Monroe (6)
    • Montgomery (24)
    • Northampton (1)
    • Philadelphia (6)
    • Pike (1)
    • Washington (1)
    • Wayne (1)
I saw this chart also and by the time I read it, my county went up by 4.
 

DCBaker

Premium Member
Does any have a quick link to see exactly how many people have been tested in each state, broken down to the counties.. with published results?

I didn’t see anything that specific and wide ranging.
You may have to go to state health department websites. Here is the link to the FL Heath Department, which has this information.

 

GoofGoof

Premium Member
Thank you.
Yeah.. nothing I can find has the amount of tests per county.

The area I live in is 3 counties that make up ‘Greater Cincinnati’ (on the Ohio side).. In all 3, there is only 1 family confirmed positive. Zero in the other 2.

It would be a lot more helpful to know how many were tested in each!
My guess is not many. It’s still very hard to qualify for testing mostly anywhere...unless you work for an NBA team.
 

ImperfectPixie

Well-Known Member
Does any have a quick link to see exactly how many people have been tested in each state, broken down to the counties.. with published results?

I didn’t see anything that specific and wide ranging.
I live in MA, and on one of the larger news station's websites, the state map of data is incomplete with 3 counties showing no data available out of 13...and the map was just updated as I checked less than 30 minutes ago and our county was one of the ones showing no data. Our county now has one confirmed positive.
 

DisneyDebRob

Well-Known Member
We can only make so many test kits. And as POTUS said there was abunch of bureaucratic red tape and FDA hoops.
Korea is supposed to be the standard and they've only tested 0.4 % of their population.
We didn’t have enough test kits to test people with symptoms, for the US, that’s just not good enough. We aren’t a third world country. We saw it coming. No excuse.
 

21stamps

Well-Known Member
I’ve looked and everything I’ve found seems like just a guess.
You may have to go to state health department websites. Here is the link to the FL Heath Department, which has this information.



This is what is so frustrating!

Why can’t we view the info? It’s like they are creating more panic.. we don’t even have the info available to us to know what’s really going on.
 
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