Coronavirus and Walt Disney World general discussion

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havoc315

Well-Known Member
Does that happen on cruise ships or do they hide behind the country of registration?
I am genuine in this question, it seems to be a good analogy. Do the cruise lines have a standard of care in a virus outbreak onboard?

actually.... cruise lines routinely screen for illness and won’t let people board if they are sick. Never seen temperature checks, but same legal concept.
 

havoc315

Well-Known Member
Yes, great idea, the news will love the people who tested positive in the middle of their trip who can say they caught it at Disney and have a confirmed test result that Disney provided to enforce the possibility whether true or not. Same bad PR if they do not check. Now we have jumped from screening temps to they are going to test and confirm?

hmmm PR choices:
Choice 1: hundreds of people die an agonizing death because of their Disney vacation, because Disney put its profits over public safety.
choice 2: a few people complain that Disney wouldn’t let them in while they had a fever and only offered them refunds and discounted future trips and provided them transportation to the hospital.

hmmm which is worse from a PR perspective... hundreds of deaths, or a few people complaining that Disney wouldn’t let them in to spread Covid...
 

DisneyDoctor

Well-Known Member
Obviously, an asymptomatic person will spread more disease in the park then a symptomatic person that stays home.

But we are talking about symptomatic people who still opted to go to the park.
For that reason alone Disney won’t open anytime soon. China closed their movie theaters after reopening them for fear of a second outbreak. There’s no way the most visited theme park in the world opens anytime soon.
 

TrainsOfDisney

Well-Known Member
To be fair, caffeine withdrawal doesn’t usually end up with people in the hospital (as we are all trying to avoid right now) the same way alcohol withdrawal can (and does).

To be fair, I can get coffee at the grocery store or gas station just like I can get alcohol.

No way Disney does this for guests. CM's, maybe, but not guests.

They already do in Shanghai.
 

celluloid

Well-Known Member
hmmm PR choices:
Choice 1: hundreds of people die an agonizing death because of their Disney vacation, because Disney put its profits over public safety.
choice 2: a few people complain that Disney wouldn’t let them in while they had a fever and only offered them refunds and discounted future trips and provided them transportation to the hospital.

hmmm which is worse from a PR perspective... hundreds of deaths, or a few people complaining that Disney wouldn’t let them in to spread Covid...

You are acting like they are opening tomorrow. If things are that bad, they would be just as irresponsible to open before this is a lot better.

Most are speaking when this is comparable to meningitis.
 

havoc315

Well-Known Member
For that reason alone Disney won’t open anytime soon. China closed their movie theaters after reopening them for fear of a second outbreak. There’s no way the most visited theme park in the world opens anytime soon.

that might be true. There is huge pressure to re-open. From a pure public safety perspective, it may not really be advisable to re-open for anywhere from 6-18 months.

but I suspect it will re-open sooner with restrictions.
 

havoc315

Well-Known Member
You are acting like they are opening tomorrow. If things are that bad, they are just irresponsible to open.

Most are speaking when this is comparable to meningitis.

Im talking about if it re-opens in the next 2-4 months.
It won’t be comparable to meningitis for another 1-3 years.
 

GoofGoof

Premium Member
Swab tests don't provide immediate results... though testing is starting to become available with results in 15-45 minutes. But still not practical -- Swab someone, then have them stand off to the side for 15-45 minutes??

But temp checks are more than a fake measure just to promote safe feelings.
Don't confuse elimination of disease transmission with reduction of disease transmission.

Yes, asymptomatic people *CAN* spread the disease. But symptomatic people are more likely to spread the disease. And coronavirus does produce symptoms in 50-75% of those infected.

So imagine -- No temperature checks, 50 infected people walk through the gates. Of which about 30 are symptomatic, and the most highly transmitting.
With temperature checks -- Only 20 infect people get through the gates, and they are relatively low transmitters.

Which scenario is better? 30 high transmitters + 20 low transmitters, or just 20 low transmitters?

Temperature checks are certainly not a guarantee... but they do make things safer. Extra handwashing stations are not a guarantee, but they make things safer. etc, etc.
The only way to stop most transmission would be to require every guest to be tested. We talked about this already, but in theory you could require all on-site guests to be tested at check-in. You would also have to keep them on property or retest them after they return from off property. Off-site guests tested maybe at somewhere like TTC. You would also have to test all CMs daily when they arrive at work. By doing this you eliminate most if not all of the actual transmission (there’s still false negatives or timing lags). Not very practical or likely to happen.

I don’t disagree that a temperature scan would reduce the number of infected people who get in, but if the goal is to avoid actual spread of the disease and more importantly to avoid liability or having to shut down the parks again due to an outbreak traced back to WDW it’s not very effective. It would in theory make some people feel more safe, but that in itself may result in people being less careful. If they are lulled into a false sense of security then maybe they don’t wash their hands as thoroughly or use the hand sanitizer provided.
 

DisneyDoctor

Well-Known Member
that might be true. There is huge pressure to re-open. From a pure public safety perspective, it may not really be advisable to re-open for anywhere from 6-18 months.

but I suspect it will re-open sooner with restrictions.
That’s kinda scary. Disney can only do so much, I’m sure people will slip through the cracks. And, I’m sure people will maneuver their way through the cracks when they shouldn’t attend in the first place.

A vaccine changes everything, though. At least speeds of the process safely.
 

peter11435

Well-Known Member
Yes, great idea, the news will love the people who tested positive in the middle of their trip who can say they caught it at Disney and have a confirmed test result that Disney provided to enforce the possibility whether true or not. Same bad PR if they do not check. Now we have jumped from screening temps to they are going to test and confirm?
People complaining about being denied entrance is not the “same bad PR” as would exist if there was no screening or preventive methods implemented. Not even close.

Look if the argument is that with this being necessary they should just stay closed then that is a valid argument that is worth debate. Staying closed is certainly preferable over any preventive measures when it comes to reducing transmission. But if we establish that the parks are open, temperature checks and additional screening will do more to reduce transmission than doing nothing.
 

natatomic

Well-Known Member
But they already rode the monorail/ferry/bus to the park and waited in a huge crowd. The damage has already been done.

Plus, they stood in line at security at the airport, the rode a packed airplane, they rode the ME to the hotel, they stood in line to check-in. They could easily infect many people at Disney without ever stepping foot inside the park. If Disney doesnt want to be sued for someone getting sick on their property, they need to not let sick people into their property. But let’s say they do get on property. Can Disney really send them back home when their stay is up? Wouldn’t Disney be in trouble with the airlines for knowlingly allowing a sick person to head home on a plane? So, does Disney need to force quarantine the person? What about their family, who should now be quarantined for 2 weeks? Is Disney going to let them extend their stay for free? Who is gonna pay for them to change their flight back home? Who is going to pay for their additional missed work?

All of that is, of course, ridiculous. This whole thing is ridiculous. I can’t believe we’re discussing Disney not allowing a family in for a fever, and that somehow refunding their ticket and then giving them a free ticket for a future visit is gonna make up for it. Who is gonna pay for their next airplane ride? How is Disney gonna make up for the time they took off work for nothing? Will people sue if they get sick at Disney? Probably. That already happens. But people are also going to sue if they’re not allowed into the park because of a fever and they’re later proven to not have covid-19.

Don’t get me wrong, I’m not taking this lightly. I know people are dying. But I’m also wary of these ridiculous policy changes, which most of us agree are security theater at best. I feel like we are on a very slippery slope toward a police state (as a whole, not specifically for getting into Disney), and this kind of talk is scaring me far more than the virus is.
 
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GoofGoof

Premium Member
People complaining about being denied entrance is not the “same bad PR” as would exist if there was no screening or preventive methods implemented. Not even close.

Look if the argument is that with this being necessary they should just stay closed then that is a valid argument that is worth debate. Staying closed is certainly preferable over any preventive measures when it comes to reducing transmission. But if we establish that the parks are open, temperature checks and additional screening will do more to reduce transmission than doing nothing.
Forget about bad PR, if Disney opens the parks and does nothing they are facing a major problem with negligence. They need to at least appear to be trying to do something.
 

DisneyCane

Well-Known Member
I’d argue that asymptomatic people will pass the virus more frequently than symptomatic. If the asymptomatic patient isn’t feeling crummy they’ll be out and about touching everything and exposing way more people than the symptomatic person at home isolating themselves.

We can argue the variability of shedding between the two subtypes, but that doesn’t take into account their behavior based on symptoms.
Hopefully this is going on somewhere but a research lab needs to find some asymptomatic positives and put them in a controlled environment to study how contagious they are and by what means. Does an asymptomatic breathing contain a significant amount of virus? Coughing? Sneezing? Picking their nose and touching things?

Nobody knows how contagious asymptomatic or pre-symptomatic patients are. It is all just guesses and estimates at this point. I would theorize that one of two things is true:

1) They are extremely contagious and a huge percentage of the population has already been infected or;

2) They aren't very contagious and only transmit the virus in rare instances.

When the antibody test is available, if a large percentage come back with antibodies then the answer is likely #1. However, if a large number have antibodies and the answer is #2 then symptomatic patients are extremely contagious and the Ro is much higher than 2.3.
 

DCBaker

Premium Member
Some data from Henry Ford Health System in Detroit.

"Dr. Adnan Munkarah said 734 employees — 2.1% of the health system's workforce of 31,600 — have tested positive for the novel coronavirus since tracking began March 12."

“We have tested nearly 2,500 team members across our organization, the majority of whom have tested negative," Munkarah said in a statement, noting that some workers may have also contracted the virus in the community."

 
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