Coronavirus and Walt Disney World general discussion

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lewisc

Well-Known Member
What about NJ Transit? Will they will make announcement for masks to be gone for trains and buses by next year?
Transportation is under a federal rule. I doubt NJ Transit will require masks when, or if :), the federal mandate expires without being extended.

I thought this was already posted, maybe not in this thread.
 

DisneyCane

Well-Known Member
This the reverse of that nonsense. I'm not sure if you mean this, but the way it reads is "Since you cannot guarantee that you won't spread, it's useless to do anything that would reduce spread". This is the same disingenuous argument people who want to do nothing have been making since the beginning. One group says "do X, it'll reduce" and the other says "doing X doesn't stop all so why bother".

The only people concerned with if something stops all, guarantees, or is 100% effective are the people who don't want to do those things. The people advocating for measures are all concerned with reduction being enough.


It also doesn't mean you might as well drive impaired or distracted. Not doing both of those will reduce the chance of an accident, even if it doesn't eliminate it.

Someone driving down a residential street isn't guaranteed to not hit a pedestrian. But, if they're going 25 the chances are significantly reduced vs if they were going 55. That it's still possible isn't a reason to not have speed limits.
I was trying to make the point about the hyperbole that nobody is exercising a right to kill people like they know they are infected and contagious and purposely try to get other people sick. The poster I was replying to seems to have the general attitude that if you aren't vaccinated, getting boosted every six months, masking with an N95 equivalent and social distancing then you are being negligent and nearing the level of serial killer.

My extreme car example was to illustrate how absurd statements like the one he made are.
 

Danissmart

Member
Going back to this study, I'm starting to think the effectivity compared to non-boosted is for symptomatic COVID. Upon re-reading the article, I don't see anything that indicates regular testing was instituted to try catch asymptomatic cases. I'd be interested to see the actual study paper instead of filtered through a reporter to know for sure.
It’s short term. Just like the 1st and 2nd shots. Short term they blunt transmission, it seems like. Long term. Groundhogs day.
 

DisneyCane

Well-Known Member
Imagine if everyone had 6 months of short term immunity all at the same time.......
Be no reason to care about long term
While I agree, the effectivity vs. infection and spread would have to be close to 100% for long term to not be a concern. It remains to be seen what happens after boosters but the original dosing was never that high vs. infection. They were around 90% against symptomatic disease at the post dosing peak.
 

Sirwalterraleigh

Premium Member
Note to @Sirwalterraleigh, I didn't say that anything is "figured out" or that anybody is doing anything right. I'm just pointing out facts. I would not be the least bit surprised if there is another wave in FL at some point.

ahhh…but you did…directly

circa April 2020

nitwit at the podium had it all “figured”…the context was how they were “smart” while New York and California was “stupid”

but predictably…the truth has had its day since

we all make mistakes…none of us knew…

maturity is owning it. We move on.
 

mmascari

Well-Known Member
I was trying to make the point about the hyperbole that nobody is exercising a right to kill people like they know they are infected and contagious and purposely try to get other people sick. The poster I was replying to seems to have the general attitude that if you aren't vaccinated, getting boosted every six months, masking with an N95 equivalent and social distancing then you are being negligent and nearing the level of serial killer.

My extreme car example was to illustrate how absurd statements like the one he made are.
Except he's not, and they kind of are.

I'll accept that nobody is going around trying to infect others on purpose. Give or take a COVID party here and there. I never get invited. :(

But, there are definitely people going around not trying to "not infect" others. I'll also accept that these people aren't trying to kill others on purpose. They are mostly not monsters.

To the people on the other side, it's little comfort if they were infected by someone being negligent instead of on purpose.


The short order cook, under pressure to get meals out fast that skips washing their hands after using the bathroom to save time, isn't trying to make customers sick. They're trying to make them happy by getting their food done faster. They're also not trying to "not make customers sick". To the short term happy diner with the quick meal, they're not going to be happy long term if they're sick because of the skipped step. It wasn't malice, it was negligence. It's also not going to happen every time.


Nobody is recommending extreme measure. Nobody is looking for a booster every 6 months, for everyone to wear and N95, or for nobody to interact at all. That's the boogey man presented as the other side in arguments to do nothing. The ask is to do the things that will provide some level or reduction and not do the things that will increase spread. It's much easier to oppose someone if you change their ask from "help reduce" to "do this extreme thing it's the only thing that will work 100%".


The vaccine safety was tested quickly, but safely. The long term efficacy and whatever will become the final dose schedule was not. We knew the level of efficacy after 6 months against the original strain when we decided it was good enough and safe enough to start giving out. We didn't know the efficacy after a year, if the original dose plan was enough or not. We could have, but that would have delayed starting for another 6 months. Then, the virus changed. So, now we know the efficacy against delta after 6 months, but not so much for a year (or just barely). Again, we'll know eventually as time moves ever forward. That a third dose appears to improve performance today does not mean that another dose will be needed 6 months or even a year later. It may be that 3 is a magic number and that's it. It may be that another dose is needed after a year and that's enough then. It may be that a fourth isn't needed for 5 or 10 years or ever. We don't know. It's just as right to assume that we've finally had enough as it it is to assume we'll need more. We just aren't going to know until that much time has passed and we can see how people with the initial doses and follow ups are doing. Combined with how prevalent spread is at the time. Everyone is effectively 6 months (maybe a year) behind the initial group.


Most of the stuff on that chart has more than one dose. I didn't see any with more than 5 and most are less than 5. It's just as likely that COVID ends up like them and not like the flue with a new one every year. So far, a mutation hasn't been enough that a different vaccine is needed. That's why the flu is different every year, the mutation is so different it needs a different vaccine.

From the chart, DTaP looks like 5 doses over a 4-6 year span. We could have waited to start giving out COVID vaccines until we had followed trial participants for 6 years and determined if they need 5 doses over that time. Probably would have needed 8+ years to really know it was done after the 6 years.

Instead, we put everyone on the same path, just 6 months to a year behind them. Imagine the devastation if we had waited 6-8 years to start vaccinating everyone just so we would know the final dose schedule and timing?

Measles looks like 2 doses 3 years apart. Hopefully COVID will land at 3 doses over a year. Maybe it lands at a fourth after more time or maybe not, we'll know when we get there.
 

Andrew C

You know what's funny?
Over the last week or so (maybe longer) I see some are comparing the COVID vaccines to the measles vaccine, expecting how we will need to vaccinate for COVID will somehow align or closely align with measles. Is there any indication at all that this will be the case? Or is this simply wishful thinking?
 

Bob Harlem

Well-Known Member
Florida Covid Hospitalization has hit a new low today, 1374 in the entire state and still falling. It's about half what it was when the Florida Hospital Association stopped releasing daily numbers 4 weeks ago. Currently in Florida, both hospital and ICU census are the lowest they've been since HHS started recording numbers in April 2020.


7 day new case average has fallen to levels not seen since June of 2020. And still falling.
 
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Parker in NYC

Well-Known Member
Original Poster
Over the last week or so (maybe longer) I see some are comparing the COVID vaccines to the measles vaccine, expecting how we will need to vaccinate for COVID will somehow align or closely align with measles. Is there any indication at all that this will be the case? Or is this simply wishful thinking?
Hahaha, that’s funny.
 

lazyboy97o

Well-Known Member
Over the last week or so (maybe longer) I see some are comparing the COVID vaccines to the measles vaccine, expecting how we will need to vaccinate for COVID will somehow align or closely align with measles. Is there any indication at all that this will be the case? Or is this simply wishful thinking?
Measles shows how near universal vaccination is actually possible, that it works to greatly reduce circulation of a highly infectious disease and how maintenance of vaccination rates is important. It also highlights the disingenuous politicization of vaccines.
 
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Parker in NYC

Well-Known Member
Original Poster
Measles shows how near universe vaccination is actually possible, that it works to greatly reduce circulation of a highly infectious diseases and how maintenance of vaccination rates is important.
I’d like to introduce you to a post-2020 world where none of that matters. Horse pills, however. There’s the answer.
 

Andrew C

You know what's funny?
Hahaha, that’s funny.
Why is that funny? You get a couples shots for measles and then are done from what I recall. Do we expect it to be the same for the Covid vaccine, and if so why? Or maybe that is all we will need long term once Covid is shut down, to keep it shut down?

I’m just wondering why we are framing everything around how the measles vaccine worked and still works, rather than something like the flu vaccine. How would we even know at this point? Just thinking long term. From what I read, how Covid transmits and infects is quite different than measles
 

Parker in NYC

Well-Known Member
Original Poster
Why is that funny? You get a couples shots for measles and then are done from what I recall. Do we expect it to be the same for the Covid vaccine, and if so why? Or maybe that is all we will need long term once Covid is shut down, to keep it shut down?

I’m just wondering why we are framing everything around how the measles vaccine worked and still works, rather than something like the flu vaccine. How would we even know at this point? Just thinking long term.
It’s funny that you think this will actually happen. Have you read the news? Thousands of people are walking off jobs that now require COVID vaccinations. Maybe if leaders and radio hosts didn’t continually poo-poo it, I’d have hope. But I do not. It’s a conspiracy to these idiots, still.
 

Andrew C

You know what's funny?
It’s funny that you think this will actually happen. Have you read the news? Thousands of people are walking off jobs that now require COVID vaccinations. Maybe if leaders and radio hosts didn’t continually poo-poo it, I’d have hope. But I do not. It’s a conspiracy to these idiots, still.
I don’t know what will happen. I’m just asking questions based on the continuous call out about the measles vaccine.
 
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