TrainsOfDisney
Well-Known Member
Sick does not equal = contagious.SO.... if they're getting sick much less often, then they are contagious much less often.
Sick does not equal = contagious.SO.... if they're getting sick much less often, then they are contagious much less often.
That's what the R0 adjusts for.Sick does not equal = contagious.
I’m saying that I could be contagious and not know it because I’m not “sick.”That's what the R0 adjusts for.
Or did you think that in this context 'sick' didn't mean 'sick with COVID' and you want to make a point that someone with the sniffles might have had a cold?
Perhaps those brainy IT teams can dream up incorporating the vaccine passports into the infamous Magic Bands!Or shut down WDW until a certain vaccination threshold is met. Or use vaccine passports to keep the unvaccinated out of theme parks, restaurants, theaters, etc.
That's the latest shouting point/misinformation coming out of the anti-vax lunatics. They don't care whether it's true or not, as long as they can try to discredit the vax.Absolutely not.
Just because both *can* spread COVID doesn't mean "it's the same." Absolutely not.
First of all, the vaccinated get breakthroughs at a fraction of the rate of the unvaccinated. Just look at those hospitalized for COVID, and the vaccinated is a small fraction of the total. SO.... if they're getting sick much less often, then they are contagious much less often.
Secondly, the number of days a vaccinated breakthrough infection is contagious is only a few days, wherein for someone not vaccinated, it's over a week.
So, let's say the more contagious Delta Variant has an R0 of 1.5. Now consider this scenario: a convention of 10,000 unvaccinated people begins with 10 infected people. The first day, they infect 15 more. On day two, the 25 infected people infect 37 more people. On day three, the 62 infected people infect 93 more people. And so on... The infection will explode in this superspreader event.
Now consider another scenario: there's another convention of 10,000 people who are all vaccinated. Ten of them show up infected with COVID. But, in the vaccinated population, the R0 is a fraction of what it is for the unvaccinated... let's say it's 0.15. So, the first day, the ten infected will infect at most 2 people. On day two, the 12 infected infect another 2. On day three, the 14 infected infect another 2. On day four, there are now only 6 infected people, because the first 10 are no longer infected BECAUSE THEY WERE VACCINATED. In a few more days, COVID will be eliminated from the convention of the vaccinated.
So... they don't spread it just the same.
The CDC handed them that point on a silver platter by saying vaccinated people can carry the same viral load, without providing additional context.That's the latest shouting point/misinformation coming out of the anti-vax . They don't care whether it's true or not, as long as they can try to discredit the vax.
I’m as pro-vaxx as can be, but the messaging and communication about all of this between the CDC, the FDA, the Biden administration, and Dr. Fauci has been awful. It’s almost like they don’t communicate at all, and one will say something that seems to catch the others completely off-guard.The CDC handed them that point on a silver platter by saying vaccinated people can carry the same viral load, without providing additional context.
I don't have the answer, and I don't make policy.*crickets*
The CDC handed them that point on a silver platter by saying vaccinated people can carry the same viral load, without providing additional context.
No one has all the answers, but in my opinion it's not enough for people to criticize governmental responses without providing any viable alternatives. I'm aware that many people feel it's their right to do so - I just find it unproductive in the context of a discussion.I don't have the answer, and I don't make policy.
In contrast to many here who are convinced that they have all of the answers.
I also have a life, and do not live to respond back to every response to my comments. I never look at these boards on my phone for instance.
What I can tell you with certainty however is that acting in a manner that is directly in keeping with the the way your opposition believes you to be - is not the way to go.
It's not my responsibility to come up with viable alternatives, as I said - I don't make policy.No one has all the answers, but in my opinion it's not enough for people to criticize governmental responses without providing any viable alternatives. I'm aware that many people feel it's their right to do so - I just find it unproductive in the context of a discussion.
The fact remains that policy must be made, and where a novel virus is concerned, it's made by people who likewise don't have all the answers. Doing nothing is not an option, and just about any action will upset a significant number of people. If government policy is not in accordance with what most people want, the people making that policy will be voted out. From what I'm seeing, right now most people do not want the government to just throw up its hands and do nothing - exactly what should be done will always be a tough call.
Absolutely.The CDC handed them that point on a silver platter by saying vaccinated people can carry the same viral load, without providing additional context.
You are falsely believing these people are acting in some sort of rational manner. They are not. Again, any action or lack of action will be twisted as proof. People said they wanted an FDA approved vaccine, they got one, so they twisted it to be that the vaccine was not really approved. These are people running on feed stores because they’re convinced horse dewormer is some sort of viral miracle cure. Biden could go full on following DeSantis repealing and prohibiting mitigations and it would still be proof of the sinister plot and lies.I don't have the answer, and I don't make policy.
In contrast to many here who are convinced that they have all of the answers.
I also have a life, and do not live to respond back to every response to my comments. I never look at these boards on my phone for instance.
What I can tell you with certainty however is that acting in a manner that is directly in keeping with the the way your opposition believes you to be - is not the way to go.
That’s the problem. At this point, you’re not dealing with rational actors, as we said in a game theory class I once took in college. Once it comes down to your job or the vaccine, a lot of reluctant people will ultimately get the shot, if polling can be believed. The ones left- I just don’t know how you get through to them, unless you make it exceedingly difficult for them to travel or partake in any sort of leisure activity like eating out, going to the movies, etc.You are falsely believing these people are acting in some sort of rational manner. They are not. Again, any action or lack of action will be twisted as proof. People said they wanted an FDA approved vaccine, they got one, so they twisted it to be that the vaccine was not really approved. These are people running on feed stores because they’re convinced horse dewormer is some sort of viral miracle cure. Biden could go full on following DeSantis repealing and prohibiting mitigations and it would still be proof of the sinister plot and lies.
Except that the “they” you refer to are not taking action to create a wedge or drive it deeper. “They” are just trying to solve the problem, which is what a sane and rational society would expect them to do.It's not my responsibility to come up with viable alternatives, as I said - I don't make policy.
I can only tell you that "they" have just driven the wedge deeper and given the detractors more of the "evidence" as they see it.
Absolutely.
Sorry, but you are wrong here. If the government does nothing to try to prove that they are the opposite of what the “opposition” thinks then nothing gets done either and covid rages on unchecked. There are 2 options, do nothing and nothing changes (we tried that since April and it was a complete failure) or do something that upsets a minority of people but may actually get us closer to the end of this. It’s an easy choice to me. It comes with political risk, but we didn’t elect a guy to only do things that are politically safe. Good for him for choosing the more aggressive action that comes with some political risk but is for the greater good.I don't have the answer, and I don't make policy.
In contrast to many here who are convinced that they have all of the answers.
I also have a life, and do not live to respond back to every response to my comments. I never look at these boards on my phone for instance.
What I can tell you with certainty however is that acting in a manner that is directly in keeping with the the way your opposition believes you to be - is not the way to go.
The wedge is deeper but who cares at this point. Can you honestly say that the vast majority of people who are opposed to this action were ever going to support the Biden Administration on just about anything or were going to come around and make the choice to get vaccinated on their own? That’s a pipe dream. Any action the administration takes is going to be viewed negatively by the opposition and if they did nothing to try to appease those people as you suggest, come the next election the same people would be attacking them on not taking any action to stop or slow covid. The sad part of American politics today is the detractors don’t need any “evidence” they would just make stuff up anyway.It's not my responsibility to come up with viable alternatives, as I said - I don't make policy.
I can only tell you that "they" have just driven the wedge deeper and given the detractors more of the "evidence" as they see it.
Absolutely.
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