Coronavirus and Walt Disney World general discussion

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DisneyFan32

Well-Known Member
In the Parks
Yes


By end of the year during mayor elections, I'm afraid there will be a massive COVID-19 wave like Delta variants so it will have future variants to end vaccines as the end of the world!:eek:
 

havoc315

Well-Known Member
The political will doesn't seem to exist even in the deep blue states to do it. I also think that doing things to force vaccination may have the opposite of the intended effect and make the resistant become more resistant.

If it was implemented in some states and not others, most of the anti-vax people would just travel to states that didn't implement them and they'd just avoid air travel if it was required for air travel.

Agreed on the lack of will. That's why it's important to hear voices to sway that will..

But -- there are millions of unvaccinated people who lived in pro-vax states, who would be swayed to get the vaccine. It's not like New York and California are at 100% vaccinated.
And for travel, we aren't just talking about an annual vacation. Sure, some tourists might say, "guess I won't visit NY since they require vaccines." But millions of Americans cross state lines regularly for business, etc. Is a truck driver going to refuse routes that cross through pro-vax states?
 

DisneyCane

Well-Known Member
Agreed on the lack of will. That's why it's important to hear voices to sway that will..

But -- there are millions of unvaccinated people who lived in pro-vax states, who would be swayed to get the vaccine. It's not like New York and California are at 100% vaccinated.
And for travel, we aren't just talking about an annual vacation. Sure, some tourists might say, "guess I won't visit NY since they require vaccines." But millions of Americans cross state lines regularly for business, etc. Is a truck driver going to refuse routes that cross through pro-vax states?
I honestly think that something that would work better is to offer tax breaks to companies that require their employees to be vaccinated. At the same time make people who are unemployed due to refusal to be vaccinated ineligible for unemployment compensation.
 

drizgirl

Well-Known Member
The shortages of Tyson chicken were a direct result of outbreaks in their plants because they weren't making any efforts at safety with regards to COVID.


ETA: There was a big to-do about it...employees complaining about working conditions, etc.
That story is a year old.
I mean.. we could have totally locked down the country (a real lockdown) and closed all state borders a year ago and gotten things under control in a couple months. Basically the Australia method.
How's Australia doing with it right now? Looks like numbers are back on the rise.
 

havoc315

Well-Known Member
I honestly think that something that would work better is to offer tax breaks to companies that require their employees to be vaccinated. At the same time make people who are unemployed due to refusal to be vaccinated ineligible for unemployment compensation.

I wouldn’t mind that approach. Could also do a tax credit for those individuals vaccinated and a tax surcharge on those unvaccinated.
 

havoc315

Well-Known Member
That story is a year old.

How's Australia doing with it right now? Looks like numbers are back on the rise.

Rising from nearly non-existent to still really tiny.

They are up all the way to 114 cases per day.
That would be the equivalent of 1500 cases per day in the US.

Their worst day of the entire pandemic has been infinitely better than the US’s best day.
 

Polkadotdress

Well-Known Member
There is no way that the conclusion from the study in Israel is accurate. If the Pfizer vaccine is only 64% effective at preventing infections of Delta it would be impossible for Orange County, FL to have so few infections in vaccinated people. Delta is the dominant variant and it accounts for over half of cases (probably a lot more by now). For fewer than 5% of new cases to be in vaccinated people, the effectiveness against Delta has to be much higher than 64%. Every other study I've seen concluded that it is over 80% effective in preventing infections of Delta and most of them conclude that it is very close to the same effectiveness it has against other variants.
One reason that breakthrough cases are so low, is because they are only tracked/counted if they result in hospitalization.
 

drizgirl

Well-Known Member
Rising from nearly non-existent to still really tiny.

They are up all the way to 114 cases per day.
That would be the equivalent of 1500 cases per day in the US.

Their worst day of the entire pandemic has been infinitely better than the US’s best day.
Sure. But apparently you can't just "lock down for a couple of months" and beat this thing.
 

correcaminos

Well-Known Member
One reason that breakthrough cases are so low, is because they are only tracked/counted if they result in hospitalization.
I don't think so.... or we wouldn't hear about asymptomatic cases for those who tested positive. Pretty darn sure they are tracking beyond super severe.
 

Polkadotdress

Well-Known Member
I don't think so.... or we wouldn't hear about asymptomatic cases for those who tested positive. Pretty darn sure they are tracking beyond super severe.
From the CDC:
"As of May 1, 2021, CDC transitioned from monitoring all reported vaccine breakthrough cases to focus on identifying and investigating only hospitalized or fatal cases due to any cause. This shift will help maximize the quality of the data collected on cases of greatest clinical and public health importance."


We are hearing about asymptomatic cases from "celebrity" cases (Olympians, politicians, etc)
 

Trauma

Well-Known Member
Mitigation’s only delay the virus

“slow the spread”

Everyone is saying we need to wait until more people are vaccinated.

Oh really?

At our current pace everyone in the U.S. will be vaccinated in 1000 years.

I don’t have that long do you?
 

Angel Ariel

Well-Known Member
That’s not even what I mean. If your kid goes to school they have to eat.

I don’t know how to eat with a mask on do you?

It is not possible to have full school hours with masks on 100% of the time.

They are saying it takes just seconds to catch Delta.

What’s going to happen at lunch time?

This is not passing judgement on the kids or their parents.

It’s the reality that humans need to eat.
I am well aware, which is why I agreed that when schools open it’s going to spread. Yes, spread will happen during lunch. And snack. And breakfast. All of which happen during a regular school day. Which is why the actions of the adults to move forward with no mitigations at all (which is what is happening in my state) before children have an opportunity to be vaccinated was and is a mistake. The adults have decided that the children who will and do react poorly to covid infection are an acceptable sacrifice.

cynical? Yep. For a reason.
 

DisneyCane

Well-Known Member
One reason that breakthrough cases are so low, is because they are only tracked/counted if they result in hospitalization.
On a national level, yes. @DCBaker has been posting information from Orange County and they are analyzing every positive test to determine if the person was vaccinated or not. The highest percentage of positive tests from vaccinated people on any day was less than 4%.
 

mmascari

Well-Known Member
I think Australia proves that it is impossible to get rid of COVID through mitigation, testing and contact tracing. The only thing those measures do is "flatten the curve" and slow the pandemic. The only thing that will ever get rid of COVID is herd immunity gained through vaccination, natural infection or a combination of the two.

Sure. But apparently you can't just "lock down for a couple of months" and beat this thing.
That's always been true, since day 1. The entire point of those items was to buy time. Not to reach an end goal but to buy time to get a better solution. It's always been about buying time until vaccination was available and then enough people were vaccinated. With no vaccine, it would have been about getting early warning and response processes in place to tamp down outbreaks as fast as possible locally.

We've been making the same mistake since day 1 too, thinking that the first step was enough and we could just end it without the second steps. As evidence, we have no early warning and response process at all. Of course, we never got cases low enough for that to work anyway. Other than the vaccine, we didn't do anything else with the time we were buying. It was mostly just wasted time delaying. We did manage to flatten enough to avoid complete healthcare system failure, so that was nice.

That's kind of my point. Locking down for a couple months, weeks or whatever would not have stopped this for us.
What's the Australia vaccination rate? They can't really "open up" until they get that high enough. In their case, "open up" really means opening the boarders. Since that's how they're mitigating, working like a huge bubble with strict ingress quarantine restrictions. They're not really locking down within the bubble.

If we had gotten the cases low enough (they did), and created the early warning and response processes to find outbreaks fast and contain them while still small (they seem to have done this), and done the controls to minimize ingress of infected people (easier for them than in the US), overall cases and impacts could have been smaller. None of that works once case counts are large enough.


The US plan is clearly Vaccinate or Bust. There is no fallback plan. Unfortunately, there's currently to many people nationally choosing Bust. The good news, for some, is that it's not equally distributed. Some areas are achieving the Vaccinate goal, others are way down the Bust path. Given the choice on where to travel to, I'm avoiding the Bust areas and places people from the Bust areas tend to visit.
 
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