Well, if VWL is your home resort, I'd suggest a "hope for the best, prepare for the worst" scenario (though this would hardly represent a "worst" scenario). Book a room at VWL as soon as possible (now-ish if you decide to go in January, and April if you decide to go in March). Once the 7-month window rolls around, see if you can even get a room at BLT. There's a chance you won't, but this way you still have your room at VWL booked. You can always get on a waiting list for BLT at that point, without worrying about what'll happen if you don't. Both resorts are close enough to each other that you probably won't have to drastically re-think plans. For example, if you want to have breakfast one day at Ohana's, you can still get there either by the monorail from Contemporary/BLT OR boating from VWL to MK and then taking the resort monorail. One requires more time, but is still doable. If you have the VWL reservations and then you van get the BLT reservation, that's one instance where life will be easier. On the flip-flop if you opt to have dinner one night at Hoop De Do Revue, there may be boats from both resorts to Fort Wilderness; otherwise, staying at BLT may require you to walk to the MK and boat from there. A situation where staying at VWL, as there's an internal bus between FW and WL (and really, it's a walkable distance if weather is accommodating), would be preferable to staying at BLT, but hardly an insurmountable obstacle if you get into BLT. Either way, book VWL ASAP, just to be safe.