Thinking
Reflecting on the initial probability, it is essential to consider the base rate of Disney replacing older attractions with new ones. While there is a precedent, it is not a certainty. The recent refurbishment of Muppet*Vision 3D and the potential for fan advocacy to influence decisions are notable factors that could lower the probability.
Additionally, the presence of alternative locations for the Monsters, Inc. land, such as Animation Courtyard, provides a viable option that does not necessitate the removal of Muppet*Vision 3D. This consideration should slightly reduce the initial probability.
After reviewing the factors and adjusting for potential biases, the final probability should reflect a balanced view of the competing considerations.
Final probability: 0.40
