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Coronavirus and Walt Disney World general discussion

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oceanbreeze77

Well-Known Member

Chi84

Premium Member
Not true. This is just one of many polls:

https://news.gallup.com/poll/321839/readiness-covid-vaccine-falls-past-month.aspx

You can't run a country / business / economy by locking out half of your clientele.
Well you can’t keep running it like this. Right now restaurants in my area have to operate at such limited capacity that allowing vaccinated people to enter without restrictions would be an improvement. Same with Disney. People may change their attitude toward a vaccine if they are excluded from businesses, entertainment venues and employment opportunities as a result of refusing it. Might not be so many against it then.
 

Dan Deesnee

Well-Known Member
This poll is a reflection of the current politicalization and public arguments about the vaccine. But once a SAFE and TRUSTED vaccine is on the market, I think you'll see that change.

It being "safe" will take years to truly establish in the publics mind. That is why the vaccine development process takes 10-15 years.

Politicians and Dr's won't change peoples opinions who are already against taking the vaccine (again, roughly 50% give or take). Reason being is they have made too much of a show about how "rushed" the development is.
 

oceanbreeze77

Well-Known Member
It being "safe" will take years to truly establish in the publics mind. That is why the vaccine development process takes 10-15 years.

Politicians and Dr's won't change peoples opinions who are already against taking the vaccine (again, roughly 50% give or take). Reason being is they have made too much of a show about how "rushed" the development is.
well we have never been in a global pandemic in the modern age so I guess we will find out.
 

Dan Deesnee

Well-Known Member
You are not stating facts.

Like it or not, they are facts. Straight from International Federation of Pharmaceutical Manufacturers & Associations (one of many sources if you were to bother looking this up).

Step 3 of the 5 step process:

CLINICAL DEVELOPMENT
PHASE I 2 years - 10 candidates
PHASE II 2–3 years - 5 candidates
PHASE III 5–10 years - 1 candidate

These lengthy timelines are, in part, for understanding the long term effects of the vaccine before distributing it to millions of people. How do we do that with the Covid vaccines when they have only been in development for 1 year? You can't.
 

Chi84

Premium Member
Like it or not, they are facts. Straight from International Federation of Pharmaceutical Manufacturers & Associations (one of many sources if you were to bother looking this up).

Step 3 of the 5 step process:

CLINICAL DEVELOPMENT
PHASE I 2 years - 10 candidates
PHASE II 2–3 years - 5 candidates
PHASE III 5–10 years - 1 candidate

These lengthy timelines are, in part, for understanding the long term effects of the vaccine before distributing it to millions of people. How do we do that with the Covid vaccines when they have only been in development for 1 year? You can't.
You seem very invested in this, but there are vaccines being developed world-wide. I don’t think the hordes of experts and companies are just wasting their time and money. A whole lot of very knowledgeable people disagree with your position and believe a safe and effective vaccine can be developed to fight COVID. Maybe we should wait to see what they come up with before deciding they will fail.
 

Dan Deesnee

Well-Known Member
You seem very invested in this, but there are vaccines being developed world-wide. I don’t think the hordes of experts and companies are just wasting their time and money. A whole lot of very knowledgeable people disagree with your position and believe a safe and effective vaccine can be developed to fight COVID. Maybe we should wait to see what they come up with before deciding they will fail.

You mistake what I'm posting as taking a position. I'm simply stating that their is a generally accepted procedure in place that takes 10+ years to ensure safety. All I have said is that the long term safety level, if released after just 1 year, will be impossible to determine. Therefore, it is reasonable to opt out of taking the vaccine due to these concerns, and many people likely will.
 

lazyboy97o

Well-Known Member
Like it or not, they are facts. Straight from International Federation of Pharmaceutical Manufacturers & Associations (one of many sources if you were to bother looking this up).

Step 3 of the 5 step process:

CLINICAL DEVELOPMENT
PHASE I 2 years - 10 candidates
PHASE II 2–3 years - 5 candidates
PHASE III 5–10 years - 1 candidate

These lengthy timelines are, in part, for understanding the long term effects of the vaccine before distributing it to millions of people. How do we do that with the Covid vaccines when they have only been in development for 1 year? You can't.
Again, you are conflating an outcome with a requirement. Just because a process usually takes a certain amount of time does not mean it is required.

You’re source is an infographic explaining the typical process, not any scientific and/or regulatory requirements.

In fact, the IFPMA supports the current development of the COVID vaccines.

Did they forget about their ten year requirement?
 

Dan Deesnee

Well-Known Member
Of course they support the Covid vaccine development, what company is going to go against that? People are afraid and want a solution and any organization that tries to delay that solution by 10 years would likely lose all funding due to the bad optics. It isn't just them that states the typical process is 10+ years. It's widely accepted.

If you want to get a vaccine that we have no long term data on it's health effects, you have every right to do so.
 

GimpYancIent

Well-Known Member
Again, you are conflating an outcome with a requirement. Just because a process usually takes a certain amount of time does not mean it is required.

You’re source is an infographic explaining the typical process, not any scientific and/or regulatory requirements.

In fact, the IFPMA supports the current development of the COVID vaccines.

Did they forget about their ten year requirement?
Now more convoluted! Good Job.
 

Heppenheimer

Well-Known Member
The 10-15 year process is in place for a reason. If their were hardly any issues found with vaccines after the first year or two in development then obviously at some point in the past 50 years the process length would have been shortened.

I don't want to go back and forth in depth on a subject neither of us understands enough about. I'll just state the facts. The Covid vaccines are being rushed through. The standard process is 10-15 x longer than the amount of time the Covid vaccine is being given.

If someone can't see the safety (potentially massive) issues there then I'm not sure what to tell them.

I like you GoofGoof so I don't want to go back and forth all night on this. Don't take any of my replies as attacking you :)
The "10-15 year" process you keep referring to has more to do with economics and available case numbers than testing protocols. Much of the delay in traditional vaccine development was due to securing additional funding between trial stages and setting up the infrastructure and processes to manufacture the vaccine once it was approved. Governments throughout the world have provided guaranteed funding so now the pharamceutical companies can work on multiple aspects of the vaccine at once, rather than the step-wise approach that needed new funding with each bit of progress.

The other reason why this process can be accelerated is that with a disease with as high an incidence as COVID-19 (in the millions currently), the "n" number for the studies gives them much more power and quicker turn-over than for a disease with lower incidence, like for example, measles, who's annual incidence before vaccination was only in the 10s of thousands.

As for safety, no vaccine has ever failed a trial or needed to be withdrawn because of delayed side effects. Most of the side effects of vaccines appear within days of receiving the dose. The most severe (and fortunately, extremely rare) complication, Guillan-Barre syndrome, arises within days to weeks after the causitive event, not months to years later.

I would think the reasons for the accelerated development during a pandemic would be obvious, given how this virus has disrupted the lives of virtually everyone on the planet. Vaccine development was traditionally slower not due to policy, but due to a lack of urgency.
 
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