Let's do a mid-year checkup on where Burbank stands, shall we? Most of us are Americans so we'll be busy next week with Independence Day Weekend hosting and/or guesting
, so we should do this now even though
Lilo & Stitch might have another $50 Million in box office left.
It would also tell us what sort of heavy lifting
Elio would need to do to get to profitability.
Using the available media info on marketing budgets and using a 60/40 box office take for domestic/foreign; the first five movies from Burbank (and Emeryville) have created a
net loss of $245 Million at this year's box office. I don't see any way that
Elio could make that up, does anyone else? If anything,
Elio seems headed towards a loss of at least $150 Million.
Captain America 4: Production $180, Marketing $90, Domestic $120, Foreign $53 = $97 Million Loss
Rachel Zegler's Snow White: Production $270, Marketing $100, Domestic $52, Foreign $47 = $272 Million Loss
The Amateur: Production $60, Marketing $30, Domestic $25, Foreign $22 = $43 Million Loss
Thunderbolts: Production $180, Marketing $90, Domestic $114, Foreign $77 = $79 Million Loss
Lilo & Stitch: Production $100 (Phew!), Marketing $100, Domestic $236, Foreign $210 = $246 Million Profit
Elio: Production $150, Marketing $75 = ????
View attachment 867347
Or, for our friends on the Metric system and the less specific 2.5X the production blanket formula, you'd get a
profit of $37 Million so far.
That means
Elio needs to make at least $375 Million at the global box office to break even and in order to not start lowering the current '25 profit of $37 Million. For example, if
Elio only does $150 Million at the global box office, the 2025 profit disappears and turns into a
$188 Million Loss by the time
The Fantastic Four debuts in late July, using the 2.5x formula.
Captain America 4 =
$37 Million Loss
Rachel Zegler's Snow White =
$471 Million Loss
The Amateur =
$54 Million Loss
Thunderbolts =
$68 Million Loss
Lilo & Stitch =
$667 Million Profit
Elio =
???
Regardless of what
Elio does, or doesn't do, at the box office, it's obvious to me that the star of this year's box office show is the team at Rideback Ranch that Burbank farmed out
Lilo & Stitch to on the cheap for only $100 Million. If Rideback Ranch can produce a reasonably big hit and make a fat profit no matter which way you slice it with a budget roughly half the normal size Disney spends, why can't the Disney team on the Burbank campus do that same thing with the same IP?
Where does all that money go on the Burbank lot?
Founded by Dan Lin, Rideback Ranch supports and empowers visionary storytellers who share our passion for entertaining audiences across all genres and around the globe.
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