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Disney (and others) at the Box Office - Current State of Affairs
- Thread starter Disney Analyst
- Start date
Agent H
Well-Known Member
It’s against forum rules to insult other posters.
brideck
Well-Known Member
Just to get ahead of how TP might confusingly frame it, I think we should expect to see Snow White's theaters actually go back up a bit this weekend. It looks like it's entering the 2nd-run pricing phase of its release -- went from just 1 AMC near me last weekend back to all 6. I would also not expect that to make too significant of an impact in its weekend take.
Tony the Tigger
Well-Known Member
Is everyone on vacation? 
Thundervengers could hit $100m domestic tonight, possibly $200m worldwide.
I’m not seeing anything about the “big reveal” other than here. I thought if they played that up, it might boost interest. Maybe they’re holding their fire for the moment.
We just got back from WDW and are heading to Atlanta on Sunday, so we’re missing our usual movie days (Monday Tuesday) two weeks in a row. Not sure when we can catch it.
Thundervengers could hit $100m domestic tonight, possibly $200m worldwide.
I’m not seeing anything about the “big reveal” other than here. I thought if they played that up, it might boost interest. Maybe they’re holding their fire for the moment.
We just got back from WDW and are heading to Atlanta on Sunday, so we’re missing our usual movie days (Monday Tuesday) two weeks in a row. Not sure when we can catch it.
BrianLo
Well-Known Member
‘Lilo & Stitch’ Presales Ahead Of ‘A Minecraft Movie’; Best First Day For PG Title YTD
Fandango reports that the live-action Lilo & Stitch movie posted the best first-day PG-rated ticket presales year to date ahead of its May 23 release.
deadline.com
WDW is an excellent trade off to missing a movie weekIs everyone on vacation?
Thundervengers could hit $100m domestic tonight, possibly $200m worldwide.
I’m not seeing anything about the “big reveal” other than here. I thought if they played that up, it might boost interest. Maybe they’re holding their fire for the moment.
We just got back from WDW and are heading to Atlanta on Sunday, so we’re missing our usual movie days (Monday Tuesday) two weeks in a row. Not sure when we can catch it.
Phroobar
Well-Known Member
Tony, would you guess Thunderbolts* stops around $201m worldwide?Is everyone on vacation?
Thundervengers could hit $100m domestic tonight, possibly $200m worldwide.
I’m not seeing anything about the “big reveal” other than here. I thought if they played that up, it might boost interest. Maybe they’re holding their fire for the moment.
We just got back from WDW and are heading to Atlanta on Sunday, so we’re missing our usual movie days (Monday Tuesday) two weeks in a row. Not sure when we can catch it.
Disney Irish
Premium Member
Its the lull before the summer season, not much going on around here until the 23rd when Stitch comes ripping onto the scene.Is everyone on vacation?
Thundervengers could hit $100m domestic tonight, possibly $200m worldwide.
I’m not seeing anything about the “big reveal” other than here. I thought if they played that up, it might boost interest. Maybe they’re holding their fire for the moment.
We just got back from WDW and are heading to Atlanta on Sunday, so we’re missing our usual movie days (Monday Tuesday) two weeks in a row. Not sure when we can catch it.
Sirwalterraleigh
Premium Member
Woah…a 60% second weekend drop??
On to stitch
On to stitch
Animaniac93-98
Well-Known Member
‘Lilo & Stitch’ Presales Ahead Of ‘A Minecraft Movie’; Best First Day For PG Title YTD
Fandango reports that the live-action Lilo & Stitch movie posted the best first-day PG-rated ticket presales year to date ahead of its May 23 release.
Stitch is going to really benefit from being the first big family release of the summer.
Both for not directly competing with anything else, and for having the whole summer to be in theaters
Disney Irish
Premium Member
I'm not sure where you are getting 60%, most predictions I've seen are a 50% drop.
Sirwalterraleigh
Premium Member
Deadline said $30…which would be 59%
Now it’s a ballpark guess…but it’s just as likely that ends up at like $27-28ish than not. Could be $35?
Bomb nonetheless. The drop is sufficiently big enough to seal it. Won’t recoup and way below any reasonable idea of what Disney expects from marvel releases. They might had well have the green goblin put it into a pumpkin and toss it
But way to go ahead and dispute it…cause we know it’s gotta be WWI trench warfare on everything…
Disney Irish
Premium Member
Without any reference and you just randomly saying "60% drop", it hard not to question where you got it from because for all I know you got it from some Reddit, hence why I asked. Also its not warfare, its just discussion, so stop with that.
Now Deadline saying it, I checked and they actually said "60% or less" which means it could be less of a drop than that, is interesting. Most prediction sites, as I mentioned, have it at 50-55% drop. Which is actually respectable for most films.
So we'll see where the numbers end up by Sunday.
The Deadline article said a bare minimum of 30…. But added a + speculating it could be more…. Let’s wait to see how the weekend plays out before declaring flops
Tony the Tigger
Well-Known Member
Sirwalterraleigh
Premium Member
Doesn’t matter…it won’t get close
But we can wait till Sunday if it floats your boat. I think to prevent the constant bickering and “interpretation”…we should just move on mentally.
Hence the “on to stitch”
Sirwalterraleigh
Premium Member
$350? Just a guessNope.*
*Unless the rest of the revenue is tallied as The New Avengers.
A red number on a ledger somewhere down the road…in the end.
TP2000
Well-Known Member
Is everyone on vacation?
Not quite, but I imagine most of us are getting close to it. I know I am! I've recently invested modestly in "packing cubes", which are my new enthusiasm as I prepare for this summer's travels. How did I do it all these years without packing cubes?!?
In the meantime, here's how Thursday's preview box office looks going in to the weekend. Not much new for Thunderbolts to worry about, and I don't even want to ask what "Clown In A Cornfield" might be. With it's large $180 Million budget, Thunderbolts needs to have a very strong hold this second weekend in order to stay on a break even trajectory.
Don't worry, I've received that note and am absorbing it emotionally and productively. Feedback is a gift!
As such, I've just spoken with Mr. Johnson in the TP2000 Global Command Center, and he's going to have Kurt re-calibrate our expectations for Theater Counts, particularly in the Midwest and Upper South regions, on Rachel Zegler's Snow White. Kurt's a whiz at that stuff, and then no one will be confused and frame it all wrong. We're ready to dial it all the way up to 750 theaters if need be. No confusion, no frazzled nerves; just calm re-calibration. Kurt's on it!
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The Numbers - Daily Box Office Chart for Thursday May 8, 2025
Daily Domestic Box Office Chart for Thursday May 8, 2025
thenumbers.com
Disney Irish
Premium Member
FYI, Deadline just updated their prediction, now saying it'll be a 53% drop which again is respectable for most movies including MCU movies, this also falls inline with other predictions I've seen and what I figured as the totals by Sunday -
"Disney/Marvel Studios’ Thunderbolts* is currently playing a bit ahead of Shang-Chi’s second weekend with $9 million Friday and a projected weekend around $35M, off 53% from its opening last week. That will get the Florence Pugh-Wyatt Russell-Sebastian Stan Marvel ensemble past $130M by Sunday."
‘Thunderbolts*’ Simmers $33M 2nd Frame; ‘Sinners’ Strong $21M 4th Weekend; Making Sense Of Single Digit Bows ‘Clown’, ‘Shadow Force’ & ‘Fight Or Flight’ – Box Office Update
Disney Marvel's 'Thunderbolts*' Will Win Second Weekend With $30M. 'Sinners' Crossing $200M, 'Minecraft Movie' crosses $401M.
deadline.com
Deadline has already updated the article to at least 35 million figuring on the outcome of Fridays grosses thus far…. Which if that happens…. It will be 53%…. But either way I would not call the weekend till at least Sunday
It already has been holding better on the weekdays then films like Qunantummania, Shang-chi, and Brave New World…. I suspect The only reason the later opened higher was because of the holiday weekend