Locals have AP's and they usually don't go when it's so crowded. Locals don't stay at hotels. I know because I am one. There are universities located in MI, DC, IN, MA, NJ, etc that have spring break from the end of feb to March 7. There even high schools, junior highs, etc located in the midwest that have spring break the first week in march.There is also college spring training held at Disney ESPN complex from Feb until April.Just a thought, but this is also tax refund time. I've stayed on property with people using their refund to vacation. Locals head to Disney to staycation. It's not everything but it adds to the crowds. Florida spring break is in March usually not that early but much earlier than up north and not at Easter.