I am looking on buying a ticket for my January 31-February 4 solo trip. I feel like I usually buy my ticket just a little too early, although I still get relatively good prices.
When do you typically buy your flight ticket? Do you have a specific set of flights picked out, or are you flexible?
I am pretty sure I want to fly on two specific flights because it will maximize my time at WDW. It's currently sitting at 229 basic economy, 279 if I upgrade to economy. Thoughts on whether I should go ahead and book, since I want this specific set of flights, or wait?
Where are you flying out of?
We always fly out of EWR, which means we're flying United. United and to an extent other legacy carriers (American and Delta) are extremely aggressive with dynamic pricing, but you can usually game the system and predict when the lowest flights costs are based on the fare class being sold.
Example Fare Classes with United.
<--Expensive - Cheapest -->
First class: F, A
Business class: J, C, D, Z, P
Coach class: Y, B,M, E, U, H, Q, V, W, S, T, L, K, G, N
United is probably the most open and simple with regards to understanding the their fare structure and knowing when is best to buy. AA and Delta's structure I've found requires a bit more work when looking.
For United when booking, look at the fare class and amount of free seats. Using the business class example if you see seats with a P class fare, buy it immediately because it won't go any lower. If you see a C, D or Z you probably should hold off, provided that there are still lots of open seats. I've found that the opportune time to buy is 4-5 months out.
I've found that Jet Blue does not provide granular details with regards to price movement. So it's a crapshoot with them. I've seen their prices max out 4-5 months prior, only for it to bottom out a month out.
Southwest I've found always is the cheapest, however for us their service out of EWR to MCO is very limited. But you are entitled to two check bags. Which is a big savings because chances are you are checking a bag or two which can add $30/first $40/second bag to the cost of a ticket.
Also don't get the "Flexible refundable tickets" You're stuck paying a hefty premium for an option you will never use.