You silly rabbit.
How could ever think they would do that?
I said "more realistic" - not short.
In all seriousness, the two big game changers in terms of guest experience with this new system are getting more people online using it and having better control over the way people use it.
The old system only benefited those with a ticket and to a large degree, hurt everyone else. People who got six fastpasses a day for good rides were making lines all over the park longer for everyone else by getting in front of them. They were having a great time but at the detriment of other guests. This was Disney's fault for creating a flawed system.
Now, not only will it not be possible for people to maximize* their individual usage, it'll be possible for Disney to better manage everyone's usage while encouraging more people to use it.
Think about the old system. You had a block of time in the morning and people came up and got tickets for that time till it was full and then the next closest block of time opened up and it went that way till tickets were gone. There may have been some load balancing built into those blocks of time but if there was, it wasn't obvious.
Now, your suggested return times aren't based purely on when the closest possible time to ride from when you're trying to get the ticket is so they have a lot of room to play with this. Without going into too much more detail on what I'm thinking, they could reduce fastpass availability to almost nothing during the busiest times of the day while offering them a lot more heavily during the lightest times. If you plan to be at the park till closing and are given the option to choose that final hour for your window, it isn't a penalty the way it was with the old system when a popular attraction was spitting out fastpasses for the end of the day by 10am - especially when they can offer you something else for that busier time of day as an alternative, right there at the same time. If you accept one of those times, you aren't even trying for that attraction when the wait would otherwise be the worst... Unlike before, they have the ability to exercise a lot more crowd control with this new system. How well they manage the data is the big question.
*Not trying to imply that those who were getting the most out of the old system were doing anything at all wrong. They were being smart about things and playing totally by the rules but obviously, the old system was not improving many people's visits much and may in some cases, have been making things worse for many because of those using it more aggressively.
[Edited because I forgot to type the *copy
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