Potential Major Hurricane Idalia Possibly to Impact Central/Northern Florida 8/29

[monothingie]

 

[monothingie]

Global models are disagreeing. Nothing formal from NHC yet.

European Model is showing a TS or Weak Cat 1 going into Central/Northern Eastern Florida.

GFS is showing a weak Tropical Depression into the same area.

 

[monothingie]

NHC has updated and recognized the storm system as Invest 93.

 

[IanDLBZF]

Many models are pointing at a possible landfall towards the Florida panhandle.

 

[monothingie]

Many models are pointing at a possible landfall towards the Florida panhandle.

It's still too early to tell how this will play out.

While SST is favorable for rapid storm development once it gets into the open waters of the gulf, there is a large amount of wind shear prevalent in that same area which would significantly hamper storm intensification.

The latest run of the GFS model for the first time developed the system into an organized storm centered on Panama City and the Panhandle. The European is favoring north of Tampa but slower. This will likely fluctuate with every model run.

NHC track maps likely soon.

 

[monothingie]

Note that the storm will be entering an area unfavorable for intensification.

 

[IanDLBZF]

Latest spaghetti models

 

[IanDLBZF]

Latest spaghetti models

View attachment 739206

Updated. Most of the models here are showing pretty tightly towards the big end and panhandle. Nothing for NHC as of yet, but that could be coming later this weekend…

 

[CJR]

Definietly don't want a storm, but we can certainly use some rain over here. Hope it stays weak and helps give us some relief.

 

[scpergj]

Definietly don't want a storm, but we can certainly use some rain over here. Hope it stays week and helps give us some relief.

We are pretty dry in the western suburbs of Jacksonville.

been watching this one for a few days now - currently looks like rain and winds - not tropical storm strength. That remains to be seen however.

 

[vikescaper]

As a resident of St. Petersburg that is currently on vacation in Minnesota and will be returning to FL in time for this to hit, I really hope it does not develop into a strong storm. I should have prepared before I left but I didn’t.

 

[Touchdown]

The gulf is like bath water right now, anything can happen, I hope it doesn’t, but rapid intensification is a real possibility if everything else lines up.

 

[networkpro]

The bad news is there won't be any Publix Hurricane Cakes. Seriously it's an expected phenomenon that occurs yearly.

 

[tissandtully]

Latest spaghetti models

View attachment 739206

Yeah this does not look like it will have an effect on park ops, but still early

 

[TheMaxRebo]

We leave for WDW tomorrow.... obviously when we choose to travel this time of year we know storms are a possibility - we have Party tickets for Tuesday and that would be the one big disappointment for me if the weather then was bad enough to cancel the entertainment, etc (I know, thinking selfishly)

 

[Lilofan]

The bad news is there won't be any Publix Hurricane Cakes. Seriously it's an expected phenomenon that occurs yearly.

That's not an issue. A travesty is if Publix no longer sells their chicken tender sandwich with all the fixings.

 

[Gringrinngghost]

As of now the expected conditions for the parks will be rain with some wind.

 

[DisneyCane]

That's not an issue. A travesty is if Publix no longer sells their chicken tender sandwich with all the fixings.

Agree. Thier chicken tender recipe is amazing. They could launch standalone fried chicken restaurants and compete very favorably!

 

[celluloid]

The bad news is there won't be any Publix Hurricane Cakes. Seriously it's an expected phenomenon that occurs yearly.

It is as silly as Dairy Queen stopping their signature cupped treat due to Blizzards.

 

[Lilofan]

It is as silly as Dairy Queen stopping their signature cupped treat due to Blizzards.

Pat O Briens signature hurricane mix does a brisk business being sold during hurricane season and during the storms some have wild and crazy hurricane parties.