Pandora opening date prediction

[TomHendricks]

April 21st 2017, to coincide with Earth Day. And a page out of Rose & Crowner playbook, when we will be at Disney for vacation.

 

[Tom]

Next Tuesday.

 

[msteel]

I already put out my predictions (Jan 2, 2017, Jan 6, 2017) based on the R&CAODPM, but I really think they plan to have it finished by October 31, 2016 unless they run into delays.

That is the date that is on all the "Morpho" NOCs I have seen. On the other hand, the NOCs for several DAK expansion construction trailers expire somewhere like the end of February 2017.

 

[RSoxNo1]

I already put out my predictions (Jan 2, 2017, Jan 6, 2017) based on the R&CAODPM, but I really think they plan to have it finished by October 31, 2016 unless they run into delays.

That is the date that is on all the "Morpho" NOCs I have seen. On the other hand, the NOCs for several DAK expansion construction trailers expire somewhere like the end of February 2017.

Let's look at some comparison photos for 19 months out at Expedition Everest construction and Seven Dwarfs Mine Train Construction:

Expedition Everest Soft opened in early January 2006. Here's a photo from mid May 2004. The mountain isn't topped out, but there is track inside:

Mine train opened in late May 2014, I don't have any photos of Mine Train from October 2012, but here's a photo from January 2013:

This is from September 2012:

 

[twebber55]

Let's look at some comparison photos for 19 months out at Expedition Everest construction and Seven Dwarfs Mine Train Construction:

Expedition Everest Soft opened in early January 2006. Here's a photo from mid May 2004. The mountain isn't topped out, but there is track inside:

Mine train opened in late May 2014, I don't have any photos of Mine Train from October 2012, but here's a photo from January 2013:

This is from September 2012:

outstanding work Tim

 

[RSoxNo1]

outstanding work Tim

Thanks, the eye test tells me that October 31st, 2016 is entirely possible, but a whole land is larger than a single attraction. Perhaps @Tom can judge better?

 

[George]

Next Tuesday.

Trip booked! DAK here I come. I can't believe it, but Tuesday works perfectly for me! 14K because of the last minute nature, plane fares, and deluxe dining plan, but being there for the open is totally worth it!

 

[danlb_2000]

Thanks, the eye test tells me that October 31st, 2016 is entirely possible, but a whole land is larger than a single attraction. Perhaps @Tom can judge better?

The big variable is how ambitious they are going to get with the bio-luminescent theming. This is something they haven't really done before and could really add to the construction time.

 

[Tom]

Thanks, the eye test tells me that October 31st, 2016 is entirely possible, but a whole land is larger than a single attraction. Perhaps @Tom can judge better?

The big variable is how ambitious they are going to get with the bio-luminescent theming. This is something they haven't really done before and could really add to the construction time.

They appear to be moving at a faster pace than some recent projects...namely 7DMT. But, they have the benefit of not actually working inside an active theme park. Full access from outside, and very few work restrictions.

Given that, based on Tim's comparisons, sure, it could be done in 18 months. But I fear the first-of-its-kind rockwork and the integrated technology/concrete work is going to throw them some curve balls. Really hard to predict, having never seen anything built like this before.

 

[doctornick]

I'm expecting soft openings in Feb/early March 2017 with regular openings by the end of March.

 

[mavlax20]

Well, I do hope it is open early enough so when we visit in June 2017 it won't be as crowded, granted I know there will still be crowds but better than the opening month crowds

 

[HauntedMansionFLA]

They appear to be moving at a faster pace than some recent projects...namely 7DMT. But, they have the benefit of not actually working inside an active theme park. Full access from outside, and very few work restrictions.

Given that, based on Tim's comparisons, sure, it could be done in 18 months. But I fear the first-of-its-kind rockwork and the integrated technology/concrete work is going to throw them some curve balls. Really hard to predict, having never seen anything built like this before.

Hopefully they will open the whole land up at the same time. I keep hearing they might open in stages which I think is a mistake. New Fantasy Land should give them feedback about the impact of opening in stages and yes, the land is all by itself and they aren't trying to build around other attractions.

 

[GhostHost1000]

April 1st, 2016

 

[Homer fan]

Just listened to Jim hill's podcast and he says they are 8 months behind schedule!

 

[Jose]

April 2017.

 

[danlb_2000]

Just listened to Jim hill's podcast and he says they are 8 months behind schedule!

So that would mean August 2017 at the earliest.

 

[mahnamahna101]

So that would mean August 2017 at the earliest.

I thought summer 2017 was the original date?

That would mean late 2017/early-mid 2018.... I don't think TDO wants Pandora opening up against Nintendo and the MSHI revamp or F&F

 

[twebber55]

I thought summer 2017 was the original date?

That would mean late 2017/early-mid 2018.... I don't think TDO wants Pandora opening up against Nintendo and the MSHI revamp or F&F

Both Tom Staggs and Bruce Vaughn always have said early 2017

 

[danlb_2000]

I thought summer 2017 was the original date?

That would mean late 2017/early-mid 2018.... I don't think TDO wants Pandora opening up against Nintendo and the MSHI revamp or F&F

This blog post from October 2013 says "Early 2017"

http://disneyparks.disney.go.com/bl...ampaign=Feed:+DisneyParks+(Disney+Parks+Blog)

 

[twebber55]

This blog post from October 2013 says "Early 2017"

http://disneyparks.disney.go.com/bl...ampaign=Feed:+DisneyParks+(Disney+Parks+Blog)

http://disneyparks.disney.go.com/bl...-of-avatar-to-life-at-disneys-animal-kingdom/

also say it here....this was from February of this year