I don't blame you for holding out, although it can always get worse. Buying in direct for $86/point a decade ago was a no brainer for 50 years of vacations. Even now it can make financial sense to buy. The problem is DVC is hoping this latest change will push people like you from resale to a direct purchase, but instead it might push you away completely. If this happens with enough people the resale market may start to change which will have a negative effect on us all.
Honestly, I don't believe I'd buy either right now based on recent events, either as an initial purchase or add on.
I am willing to take the risk that prices will rise. I was running some very rough numbers last night to see if it still makes sense for me and it just doesn't. The numbers I used are assuming I can find a contract at the boardwalk for 100 points @ $101 a point. I also added in annual maintenance fees at $7 a point, I know this is higher than the currant cost but I know they will go up so I'm using $7 for a rough estimate over the next 25 years. ( will probably be much higher)
$101x100 points = 10,100 not including closing costs ect...
$7x100= $ 700 a year & $17,500 over the 25 years left on the boardwalk contract.
Total cost of points + maintenance fees over the 25 year contract is $27,600
27,600 divided by 25 years is 1,104 a year
$1,104 divided by 100 points = $11 a point
Now I realize that the cost to rent could go up substantially but I just rented points for a week at $12 a point. Is it really worth the upfront expense to save $1 a point with no additional benefits by buying resale?
If the cost of resale goes down per point because of the new rules, I may rethink everything but at this point the savings just isn't worth the up front cost.
My numbers aren't including any interest charges from financing ( I would pay cash but if someone else was looking at my numbers as a guideline) and who knows how much maintenance dues will cost in 15 -25 years. My calculations are on $7 a point, what if in 20 years they are $20 a point?
I don't blame you for holding out, although it can always get worse. Buying in direct for $86/point a decade ago was a no brainer for 50 years of vacations. Even now it can make financial sense to buy. The problem is DVC is hoping this latest change will push people like you from resale to a direct purchase, but instead it might push you away completely. If this happens with enough people the resale market may start to change which will have a negative effect on us all.
Honestly, I don't believe I'd buy either right now based on recent events, either as an initial purchase or add on.